Dallas Cowboys @

Minnesota Vikings

Sun, Oct 31
5:20 PM Pacific
Rotation: 275
Odds: Minnesota Vikings -4, Total: 49.5

Game Analysis

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Strong Opinion – Under (49.5) Dallas-Minnesota Under 49 or more

Dak Prescott has been officially ruled out for Dallas, which we have an adjustment of 7 points to the Cowboys’ offense. The Vikings have one of the best DE tandems in the NFL as Danielle Hunter has 6 sacks (7th) and Everson Griffen ranks 13th in pass rushing efficiency. However, Cooper Rush will may not be pressured as much as expected with RT La’el Collins likely returning to the lineup after serving his five-game suspension for violating the league’s drug policy. Collins conceded just a 4.6% pressure rate his last full season in 2019 and Cowboys LT Tyron Smith ranks 4th in pass blocking efficiency.

The Dallas rush defense ranks 4th and should be able to take away Dalvin Cook on Sunday night. Kirk Cousins will be behind an improved offensive line with rookie LT Christian Darrisaw replacing Rashod Hill, who ranks 51st out of 53 qualifying tackles in pass blocking efficiency. Darrisaw conceded only a 2% pressure rate during first start in week 6 and will battle with edge defender Randy Gregory, who ranks 7th in pass rushing efficiency.

Our model favors Minnesota by 3.0 points, with a predicted total of 46.2 points, and the Under is a Strong Opinion at 49 points or higher.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Cowboys
  • Vikings
DAL
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 37.67 40.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 57.9% 49.5%
  • Sack Rate 4.6% 4.9%
  • Int Rate 1.7% 4.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 15.0% 17.8%
  • Big Pass Yards 37.6% 46.8%
  • NYPP 7.97 7.53



Rush


  • Rush Plays 32.33 20.17
  • RB YPR 4.98 5.13
  • Stuff Rate 21.2% 17.8%
  • Succ Rush Plays 49.9% 49.4%
  • Big Rush Yards 44.3% 30.6%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.91 4.35




Game

  • All Snaps 70.00 60.17
  • Early Down Succ 57.7% 53.1%
  • Succ Rate 55.0% 49.2%
  • Big Yards Rate 40.9% 43.8%
  • Yards Per Play 6.59 6.37
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.7% 0.9%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 28.55 28.33
  • Run Ratio 47.3% 33.9%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 3.23 -3.23
 
  • Points 34.17 24.33
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