Cincinnati Bengals @

Tennessee Titans

Sun, Nov 27
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 259
Odds: Tennessee Titans +1, Total: 43

Game Analysis

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Lean – TENNESSEE (+1) over Cincinnati

· Tennessee was favored by 4 in last year’s playoff matchup between these teams and we’ve seen this market move a fair amount since January. Nonetheless, both rosters taking the field on Sunday will be different from the Divisional Round.

· The Bengals will not have top WR Ja’Marr Chase and top CB Chidobe Awuzie. The Titans traded wide receiver AJ Brown in the offseason and will not have edge defender Denico Autry, who has 44 pressures (7th).

· Tennessee rookie WR Treylon Burks replaced Brown and is averaging 2.08 yards per route run in limited action. Cincinnati CB Eli Apple surrendered 79 yards on 15 cover snaps versus rookie WR George Pickens last week and Burks should get the better of him as well.

· Although, I do not think we will see much from Ryan Tannehill’s passing attack today. There will be high winds and potentially slick conditions. The Titans would prefer to pound the rock with Derrick Henry anyway.

· The weather is more likely to play a factor for Joe Burrow’s offense. Tennessee’s defense is allowing a league-low -0.168 EPA/rush and I don’t think the Bengals want to bother with the ground game without RB Joe Mixon, who appeared to suffer a concussion in the third quarter last week. Attacking downfield into this wind could be a problem though.

· Cincinnati slot receiver Tyler Boyd has a 64% success rate (4th) but he will be limited in the quick game by Tennessee nickelback Roger McCreary, who is conceding just 0.80 yards per cover snap in the slot (2nd).

· Bengals rookie LG Cordell Volson surrendered 3 pressures last week versus Steelers interior defender Cameron Heyward and his matchup remains tough on Sunday against Titans interior defender Jeffery Simmons, who ranks 11th in pass rushing efficiency.

· Our model makes Tennessee a 0.9-point favorite with a predicted total of 43.5 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Bengals
  • Titans
CIN
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 0.00 0.00
  • Succ Pass Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Sack Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Int Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Pass Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • NYPP 0.00 0.00



Rush


  • Rush Plays 0.00 0.00
  • RB YPR 0.00 0.00
  • Stuff Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rush Plays 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Rush Yards 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Rush 0.00 0.00




Game

  • All Snaps 0.00 0.00
  • Early Down Succ 0.0% 0.0%
  • Succ Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Big Yards Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Yards Per Play 0.00 0.00
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 0.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 0.00 0.00
  • Run Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
  • Game Control 0.00 0.00
 
  • Points 0.00 0.00
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