Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Matchup Analysis

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

BALTIMORE (-6.5) vs Cincinnati

Joe Burrow is averaging 7.5 yards per pass play (6th) and his top two targets will have favorable matchups in Baltimore. Ja’Marr Chase leads the NFL with 8 receptions on passes with at least 20 air yards and I expect him to get behind the defense on Sunday when lined up across from CB Anthony Averett, who is being targeted on one out of 5.6 cover snaps which ranks 62nd out of 76 qualifying cornerbacks. Tyler Boyd is averaging 1.69 yards per route run in the slot (7th) and he should be featured across from CB Tavon Young, who is conceding 1.49 yards per cover snap in the slot, which ranks 21st out of 23 qualifying nickelbacks.

The Ravens should be able to move the ball on the ground versus Cincinnati’s 25th-rated rush defense, but Lamar Jackson likely won’t have much time in the pocket. LT Alejandro Villanueva ranks 56th out of 57 qualifying tackles in pass blocking efficiency and will struggle to contain edge defender Trey Hendrickson, who has 29 pressures (6th).

Our model makes Baltimore a 6.9-point favorite with a predicted total of 46.6 points.

Team Stats
Game Log

Bengals
Ravens

CIN

Offense

Defense

Pass

Pass Plays 32.71 42.57
Succ Pass Plays 49.7% 41.9%
Sack Rate 6.7% 6.4%
Int Rate 3.8% 1.5%
Deep Pass Rate 15.9% 19.0%
Big Pass Yards 46.5% 36.7%
NYPP 7.53 5.83

Rush

Rush Plays 26.57 23.57
RB YPR 4.08 3.35
Stuff Rate 25.6% 28.7%
Succ Rush Plays 45.5% 39.8%
Big Rush Yards 34.0% 42.6%
Yards Per Rush 4.00 3.88

Game

All Snaps 59.29 66.14
Early Down Succ 51.1% 44.5%
Succ Rate 47.7% 42.1%
Big Yards Rate 43.6% 38.7%
Yards Per Play 5.87 5.15
Fumble Lost Rate 0.3% 0.2%
Time Per Play (sec) 31.62 28.96
Run Ratio 45.0% 36.8%
Starting Field Pos 0.00 0.00
Game Control 2.69 -2.69

Points 27.43 17.86

2021 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	MIN	27 – 24 W	3.43	46.9% / 43.4%	15.6% / 5.7%	0.0% / 0.0%	6.78 / 6.34	52.8% / 36.4%	25.0% / 45.5%	4.14 / 3.05	68 / 75	60.4% / 41.1%	50.0% / 41.3%	40.0% / 37.3%	5.38 / 5.37	0.0% / 1.3%	52.9% / 29.3%	0.00 / 0.00
2	@CHI	20 – 17 W	-6.62	41.2% / 25.9%	11.8% / 11.1%	10.0% / 4.2%	5.26 / 3.07	40.0% / 41.2%	15.0% / 32.4%	3.45 / 3.62	54 / 61	42.1% / 34.9%	40.7% / 34.4%	26.8% / 28.0%	4.59 / 3.38	1.9% / 0.0%	37.0% / 55.7%	0.00 / 0.00
3	@PIT	24 – 10 W	8.82	55.6% / 41.9%	0.0% / 6.5%	5.6% / 3.4%	9.56 / 4.79	33.3% / 20.0%	29.2% / 26.7%	4.00 / 3.00	42 / 77	45.5% / 38.5%	42.9% / 37.7%	31.0% / 25.9%	6.38 / 4.44	0.0% / 0.0%	57.1% / 19.5%	0.00 / 0.00
4	JAX	24 – 21 W	-4.43	54.5% / 60.0%	3.0% / 4.0%	0.0% / 0.0%	10.36 / 8.08	45.5% / 53.3%	18.2% / 13.3%	3.55 / 4.63	55 / 55	51.1% / 60.0%	50.9% / 56.4%	49.8% / 47.8%	7.64 / 6.20	0.0% / 0.0%	40.0% / 54.5%	0.00 / 0.00
5	GB	22 – 25 L	-1.94	48.8% / 43.9%	7.3% / 4.9%	5.3% / 2.6%	6.44 / 8.12	62.5% / 36.4%	25.0% / 31.8%	4.29 / 6.05	65 / 63	59.6% / 44.0%	53.8% / 41.3%	39.1% / 63.3%	5.65 / 7.40	0.0% / 0.0%	36.9% / 34.9%	0.00 / 0.00
6	@DET	34 – 11 W	13.06	50.0% / 46.5%	6.3% / 2.3%	3.3% / 0.0%	8.00 / 4.47	55.6% / 33.3%	16.7% / 38.9%	3.94 / 2.00	68 / 61	52.0% / 45.5%	52.9% / 42.6%	49.0% / 13.9%	5.85 / 3.74	0.0% / 0.0%	52.9% / 29.5%	0.00 / 0.00
7	@BLT	41 – 17 W	6.48	51.3% / 31.9%	2.6% / 10.6%	2.6% / 0.0%	10.49 / 5.91	29.2% / 58.3%	50.0% / 12.5%	4.63 / 4.79	63 / 71	46.8% / 47.9%	42.9% / 40.8%	69.8% / 54.5%	8.25 / 5.54	0.0% / 0.0%	38.1% / 33.8%	0.00 / 0.00

2021 Game Log				PASS				RUSH			GAMES
Wk	Opp	Score	Game Control	Succ Pass Plays	Sack Rate	Int Rate	NYPP	Succ Rush Plays	Stuff Rate	Yds per Rush	All Snaps	Early Down Succ	Succ Rate	Big Yards Rate	Yds per Play	Fum Lost Rate	Run Ratio	Starting Field Pos
1	@LV	27 – 33 L	4.68	42.4% / 50.8%	9.1% / 5.1%	0.0% / 1.8%	6.58 / 6.93	38.2% / 38.1%	23.5% / 47.6%	5.56 / 3.90	67 / 80	43.4% / 50.0%	40.3% / 47.5%	59.2% / 48.5%	6.06 / 6.14	3.0% / 0.0%	50.7% / 26.3%	0.00 / 0.00
2	KC	36 – 35 W	-16.80	59.3% / 64.5%	3.7% / 0.0%	7.7% / 3.2%	8.52 / 11.06	68.3% / 50.0%	17.1% / 22.2%	6.12 / 3.44	68 / 49	66.1% / 65.1%	64.7% / 59.2%	48.6% / 43.7%	7.07 / 8.27	0.0% / 2.0%	60.3% / 36.7%	0.00 / 0.00
3	@DET	19 – 17 W	4.64	37.1% / 54.5%	11.4% / 6.1%	3.2% / 0.0%	7.74 / 5.82	54.5% / 40.7%	22.7% / 33.3%	5.27 / 3.44	57 / 60	53.5% / 52.0%	43.9% / 48.3%	57.3% / 31.3%	6.79 / 4.75	0.0% / 0.0%	38.6% / 45.0%	0.00 / 0.00
4	@DEN	23 – 7 W	6.17	50.0% / 28.6%	7.5% / 11.9%	0.0% / 2.7%	7.60 / 3.52	58.6% / 47.1%	17.2% / 11.8%	3.28 / 6.24	69 / 59	59.6% / 40.5%	53.6% / 33.9%	40.9% / 34.9%	5.78 / 4.31	0.0% / 0.0%	42.0% / 28.8%	0.00 / 0.00
5	IND	31 – 25 W	-8.82	77.8% / 54.1%	4.4% / 5.4%	0.0% / 0.0%	9.71 / 10.54	44.0% / 61.5%	24.0% / 23.1%	3.44 / 4.73	70 / 63	71.7% / 58.8%	65.7% / 57.1%	32.4% / 61.7%	7.47 / 8.14	1.4% / 1.6%	35.7% / 41.3%	0.00 / 0.00
6	LAC	34 – 6 W	14.75	50.0% / 39.0%	10.0% / 4.9%	7.4% / 2.6%	4.67 / 4.44	65.8% / 33.3%	21.1% / 25.0%	4.92 / 2.17	68 / 53	61.8% / 43.2%	58.8% / 37.7%	32.8% / 25.8%	4.81 / 3.92	0.0% / 0.0%	55.9% / 22.6%	0.00 / 0.00
7	CIN	17 – 41 L	-6.48	31.9% / 51.3%	10.6% / 2.6%	0.0% / 2.6%	5.91 / 10.49	58.3% / 29.2%	12.5% / 50.0%	4.79 / 4.63	71 / 63	47.9% / 46.8%	40.8% / 42.9%	54.5% / 69.8%	5.54 / 8.25	0.0% / 0.0%	33.8% / 38.1%	0.00 / 0.00

Cincinnati Bengals @

Baltimore Ravens

Sun, Oct 24

10:00 AM Pacific

Game Analysis