Game Analysis
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PHILADELPHIA (-12.5) vs Carolina
- The Eagles are allowing a league-best -0.17 EPA/play after the week 6 bye and the elite defense is allowing them to put games to bed along with a ground game leading the NFL averaging 0.08 EPA/rush.
- Philadelphia’s offense has only a 21% dropback rate in the 4th quarter since the bye week.
- Panthers CB Jaycee Horn is allowing only 0.84 yards per cover snap (16th) and he will battle with wide receiver AJ Brown, who is averaging 0.72 EPA/target (2nd). Jalen Hurts will want to look the other direction toward WR DeVonta Smith if he is back in uniform on Sunday. Smith is averaging 0.47 EPA/target (16th).
- Eagles RT Lane Johnson ranks 2nd in pass blocking efficiency, and he will shut down edge defender Jadeveon Clowney, who has 12 more pressures than any other Panther.
- Bryce Young is up to -0.09 EPA/play and he has basically caught Andy Dalton, who was averaging -0.08 EPA/play.
- Young has a league-low 1.8% turnover-worthy play rate when pressured.
- Our model makes Philadelphia a 12.2-point favorite with a predicted total of 45.3.