Arizona Cardinals @

Los Angeles Rams

Sun, Jan 3
1:25 PM Pacific
Rotation: 131
Odds: Los Angeles Rams +3, Total: 41

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

Lean – Arizona (-3/-2.5) over LA RAMS

Lean – Over (41)

Sean McVay’s offense has scored at least 30 points in all three meetings against Vance Joseph’s Cardinals defense, but the Rams will be without Jared Goff this time around. Backup QB John Wolford has mobility as he averaged 20 rushing yards per game in the AAF. Wolford will likely need to use his scrambling ability to escape collapsing pockets with edge defender Markus Golden (10th in pass rushing efficiency) lined up across from backup LT Joseph Noteboom. Cooper Kupp is averaging 1.84 yards per slot route run (4th) but he will not be in the lineup due to Covid, which is worth about a point to the Los Angeles offense. Arizona’s rush defense ranks 31st and McVay will have to win this game using the ground game with so many injuries affecting the passing attack.

Kyler Murray is banged-up with a lower-leg injury, but he will still be at the helm on Sunday. Murray is a much different quarterback without his rushing ability and he won’t have many options in the passing game. Larry Fitzgerald didn’t practice all week with a groin injury and DeAndre Hopkins (2.29 yards per route run) may be shadowed by Jalen Ramsey, who is conceding only 0.48 yards per cover snap (2nd).

Our model favors the Cardinals by 5.2 points, with a predicted total of 43.3 points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Cardinals
  • Rams
AZ
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 38.2 38.5
  • Succ Pass Plays 49.1% 47.2%
  • Sack Rate 4.3% 8.8%
  • Int Rate 2.1% 1.8%
  • Deep Pass Rate 16.5% 16.2%
  • Big Pass Yards 37.3% 37.7%
  • NYPP 6.7 5.8



Rush


  • Rush Plays 30.7 27.1
  • RB YPR 3.9 4.3
  • Stuff Rate 19.4% 21.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 51.8% 51.1%
  • Big Rush Yards 51.2% 45.2%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.7 4.6




Game

  • All Snaps 68.9 65.6
  • Early Down Succ 52.7% 51.5%
  • Succ Rate 50.3% 48.8%
  • Big Yards Rate 42.9% 40.7%
  • Yards Per Play 5.8 5.3
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.8% 1.0%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 25.7 28.6
  • Run Ratio 44.6% 41.9%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.7 28.5
  • Game Control 1.5 -1.5
 
  • Points 26.9 23.3
Share This