Arizona Cardinals @

Chicago Bears

Sun, Dec 5
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 453
Odds: Chicago Bears +7.5, Total: 42.5

Game Analysis

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Strong Opinion – Under (44.5) Arizona (-7.5) vs CHICAGO

Chicago is 21-9 and 20-9-1 ATS versus dome/warm weather teams at Soldier Field in the second half of the season since 2005 and it certainly won’t be ideal conditions for Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins to make their return, as it looks like there will be high winds and possible precipitation for this game.

Tight end Zach Ertz is averaging 1.96 yards per route run since joining Arizona in week 7 (4th) but the Bears have conceded only 377 yards to opposing TEs (3rd). WR Christian Kirk is averaging 2.28 yards per route run in the slot (2nd) and Murray will likely look in his direction often as Chicago’s nickelbacks are surrendering 2.13 yards per slot cover snap.

The Bears’ pass play rate is only 52% (30th) and they should continue to run the ball against a Cardinals rush defense ranked 29th. Chicago is targeting tight ends on 25.6% of passes (8th), but Arizona’s defense is conceding only 6.5 yards per target to opposing TEs and Cole Kmet is banged-up with a groin injury.

Our model favors the Cardinals by 6.4 points with a predicted total of 43.2 points, assuming Kyler Murray and Andre Hopkins both play (both are listed as game time decisions). The Under is a Strong Opinion at 44.5 or more (-115 or better).

Note: There will be an update on Sunday morning if Murray is inactive.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Cardinals
  • Bears
AZ
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 34.73 36.36
  • Succ Pass Plays 52.4% 45.5%
  • Sack Rate 6.8% 7.3%
  • Int Rate 2.2% 1.9%
  • Deep Pass Rate 18.6% 15.2%
  • Big Pass Yards 44.8% 27.9%
  • NYPP 7.37 5.61



Rush


  • Rush Plays 30.64 24.00
  • RB YPR 4.17 4.66
  • Stuff Rate 26.1% 24.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 51.3% 53.4%
  • Big Rush Yards 37.8% 50.6%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.04 4.74




Game

  • All Snaps 65.36 60.36
  • Early Down Succ 55.1% 55.3%
  • Succ Rate 51.9% 48.6%
  • Big Yards Rate 42.6% 35.6%
  • Yards Per Play 5.81 5.27
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.4% 1.7%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 29.32 27.83
  • Run Ratio 46.9% 39.8%
  • Starting Field Pos 28.11 28.80
  • Game Control 4.70 -4.70
 
  • Points 28.18 18.36
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