Arizona Cardinals @

Carolina Panthers

Sun, Oct 4
10:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 255
Odds: Carolina Panthers +3.5, Total: 51.5

Game Analysis

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Arizona (-3.5) vs CAROLINA

The Cardinals are playing fast and only getting faster, recording a season-high 53% no-huddle rate last week. Kyler Murray seems more comfortable in Kliff Kingbury’s offense this year and DeAndre Hopkins is proving to be a great offseason addition – leading the NFL in receiving yards. However, Hopkins will line up opposite Carolina’s best CB Donte Jackson on Sunday, so perhaps he’ll be slowed a bit.

Panthers’ QB Teddy Bridgewater still seems to be relying on passes to players coming out of the backfield even without Christian McCaffrey, as their backup running back Mike Davis had 9 receptions last week. The Cardinals are surrendering over 10 yards per target to opposing running backs so expect Davis to have even more success in the passing game this week.

Carolina’s top wide receiver, Robby Anderson, is gaining 2.76 yards per route run (10th) and has a difficult matchup against 8-time Pro Bowl cornerback Patrick Peterson this week. However, there may be space to get behind Peterson for the speedy WR as Arizona’s defense will be without safety Budda Baker due to thumb surgery. Baker is worth 0.7 points by our metrics.

Our model favors the Cardinals by 5.1 points, with a predicted total of 50.9 points but the matchup favors Carolina and the Panthers’ upset win last week should put some wind in their sails after starting the season with two losses. Game 4 underdogs of more than 1 point are 53-21-3 ATS after winning their first game of the season in week 3.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Cardinals
  • Panthers
AZ
Offense
Defense



Pass



  • Pass Plays 39.7 36.0
  • Succ Pass Plays 45.9% 43.6%
  • Sack Rate 5.0% 10.2%
  • Int Rate 4.6% 0.0%
  • Deep Pass Rate 17.7% 15.5%
  • Big Pass Yards 32.2% 46.1%
  • NYPP 6.5 6.3



Rush


  • Rush Plays 31.7 25.0
  • RB YPR 3.6 4.4
  • Stuff Rate 15.7% 23.6%
  • Succ Rush Plays 51.9% 46.2%
  • Big Rush Yards 52.7% 30.8%
  • Yards Per Rush 4.7 4.4




Game

  • All Snaps 71.3 61.0
  • Early Down Succ 48.9% 48.0%
  • Succ Rate 48.6% 44.3%
  • Big Yards Rate 40.5% 40.9%
  • Yards Per Play 5.7 5.5
  • Fumble Lost Rate 0.0% 1.1%
  • Time Per Play (sec) 26.0 28.7
  • Run Ratio 44.3% 41.0%
  • Starting Field Pos 22.9 32.0
  • Game Control 4.1 -4.1
 
  • Points 25.7 20.3
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