Washington Wizards @

Orlando Magic

Fri, Nov 25
FS-FL
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 703
Odds: Orlando Magic PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – Washington (-2) over ORLANDO

Rotation #703 – 4:05 pm Pacific

Washington blew a double-digit lead here in Orlando and lost by 2 points to the Magic earlier this month, but the Wizards played that game without star John Wall and there is no doubt that the Wizards are the better team. The Wizards are better than they’ve shown, as negative defensive 3-point shooting variance (39.5% allowed will regress towards the mean) has affected their performance. John Wall has also missed a couple of games and Bradley Beal missed 3 games. Washington is 4-5 and only 2 points worse than average team when both Wall and Beal play and my ratings favor the Wizards by 4 ½ points. I’ll lean with the Wizards at -2 or better.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Washington Wizards
  • Orlando Magic
WAS
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 106.8 109.4 107.0
  • Pace 95.8 95.8 96.2

4
Factors


  • eFG % 49.2% 52.8% 50.2%
  • D reb % 75.8% 73.9% 77.0%
  • O reb % 26.1% 24.2% 23.1%
  • TO % 14.3% 15.4% 14.2%
  • Free Throw Rate 26.3% 28.1% 27.5%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 47.9% 50.0% 49.2%
  • 3Pt % 34.4% 39.0% 34.9%
  • 3pt Rate 23.8% 33.4% 30.6%
  • Assist Rate 51.5% 59.2% 57.0%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 6.1% 7.1% 6.0%
  • Foul Rate 22.6% 22.1% 21.2%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 16.5% 13.0% 12.9%
  • Steal Rate 8.3% 8.2% 8.1%
  • Block Rate 5.2% 5.1% 5.9%
  • Paint Points 42.4% 38.6% 41.4%
  • Fast Break 14.4% 13.4% 12.5%
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