San Antonio Spurs @

Orlando Magic

Wed, Feb 15
FS-FL
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 503
Odds: Orlando Magic PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – San Antonio (-10) over ORLANDO

Rotation #503 – 4:05 pm Pacific

Orlando won in San Antonio back in late-November so the Spurs should be more focused than expected from a double-digit road favorite. San Antonio is 11-3 ATS in road revenge games against losing teams going back to the start of the Popovich era (they don’t lose often to losing teams, which is why there aren’t many of these revenge games) and my ratings favor the Spurs by 12 ½ points in this game against a Magic team in flux after their trade of Serge Ibaka to Toronto (Terrance Ross, who they got in that trade is not expected to play tonight).

The fact that Orlando just Orlando is just upset the Heat also gives coach Popovich some ammunition to get his team more focused the Spurs are 42-15 ATS as a road favorite of more than 6 points against a team coming off a win and cover, and it’s not likely that the Magic will play well in consecutive games, especially with a new lineup. Orlando is also not as good at home as they are on the road, as the Magic are just 7-17-2 ATS at home this season. I’ll lean with the Spurs minus the points to get their revenge with a double-digit win.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • San Antonio Spurs
  • Orlando Magic
SAS
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 113.1 104.4 109.2
  • Pace 94.2 94.2 95.8

4
Factors


  • eFG % 53.2% 49.2% 51.3%
  • D reb % 77.6% 77.4% 76.8%
  • O reb % 22.6% 22.4% 23.2%
  • TO % 13.4% 14.8% 13.9%
  • Free Throw Rate 28.2% 26.0% 27.6%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 50.4% 48.7% 50.2%
  • 3Pt % 40.5% 34.3% 35.7%
  • 3pt Rate 27.0% 29.6% 31.5%
  • Assist Rate 60.3% 57.5% 57.6%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 5.4% 6.2% 5.9%
  • Foul Rate 19.5% 21.3% 20.8%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 11.6% 12.6% 12.2%
  • Steal Rate 8.6% 8.0% 8.0%
  • Block Rate 7.1% 5.1% 5.7%
  • Paint Points 36.6% 41.8% 41.1%
  • Fast Break 11.2% 13.2% 12.4%
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