New Orleans Pelicans @

Charlotte Hornets

Sat, Mar 11
FS-SE
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 707
Odds: Charlotte Hornets PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – CHARLOTTE (-3 ½) over New Orleans

Rotation #708 – 4:05 pm Pacific

The DeMarcus Cousins trade hasn’t transformed the Pelicans into a good team as some thought it would, as the Pelicans are just 1-6 straight up and 2-4-1 ATS with Cousins playing (they won easily against Detroit in the game he was suspended). New Orleans is not quite as bad as they’ve shown recently but they’ve been slightly worse than their season rating (3 points worse than average) after adjusting for variance in their games with Cousins and Charlotte is better Cody Zeller back from a prolonged absence. My ratings, based on current rotations, favor Charlotte by 5 ½ points even after factoring in the 2nd of back-to-back nights against a rested team. I lean with the Hornets based on the line value and I’d play Charlotte in a 1-Star Best Bet at -3 or less.

I also have an NBA 2-Star Best Bet for just $15.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • New Orleans Pelicans
  • Charlotte Hornets
NOP
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 104.6 107.8 109.2
  • Pace 97.5 97.5 95.8

4
Factors


  • eFG % 49.8% 50.6% 51.3%
  • D reb % 77.7% 81.6% 76.8%
  • O reb % 18.4% 22.3% 23.2%
  • TO % 12.2% 13.1% 13.9%
  • Free Throw Rate 25.1% 22.9% 27.6%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 48.2% 49.6% 50.2%
  • 3Pt % 35.2% 35.1% 35.7%
  • 3pt Rate 30.3% 33.2% 31.5%
  • Assist Rate 58.4% 58.8% 57.6%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 4.7% 5.5% 5.9%
  • Foul Rate 18.5% 19.3% 20.8%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 10.6% 11.5% 12.2%
  • Steal Rate 7.7% 7.5% 8.0%
  • Block Rate 6.9% 5.4% 5.7%
  • Paint Points 42.0% 41.7% 41.1%
  • Fast Break 14.6% 13.1% 12.4%
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