Milwaukee Bucks @ Toronto Raptors Matchup Analysis

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – TORONTO (-7 ½) over Milwaukee

Rotation #504 – 4:35 pm Pacific

Toronto is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games the Raptors are 7-1 ATS this season as a home favorite of 7 points or more while Milwaukee has struggled on the road against good teams (0-4 ATS as a road dog of 4 points or more). My ratings favor Toronto by 9 and while that’s not enough line value to make this a Best Bet I will lean with the Raptors based on the line value (the line opened at 8.5).

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Team Stats
Game Log

Milwaukee Bucks
Toronto Raptors

MIL

Avg

Def

Off

Efficiency 107.5 107.2 107.9
Pace 96.3 96.3 95.9

4
Factors

eFG % 51.4% 49.5% 50.6%
D reb % 76.3% 77.0% 76.7%
O reb % 23.0% 23.7% 23.3%
TO % 14.7% 14.5% 14.1%
Free Throw Rate 27.0% 28.9% 27.5%

Skill

2Pt % 51.3% 49.5% 49.5%
3Pt % 34.0% 33.2% 35.1%
3pt Rate 29.5% 35.8% 31.1%
Assist Rate 61.0% 63.8% 57.3%
Non-Steal Turnovers 6.4% 5.8% 6.0%
Foul Rate 21.6% 20.3% 20.9%

Hustle

2nd Chance Rate 12.0% 13.2% 12.7%
Steal Rate 8.6% 8.3% 8.1%
Block Rate 6.5% 6.3% 5.8%
Paint Points 47.4% 40.1% 41.2%
Fast Break 15.0% 11.3% 12.5%

TOR

Avg

Def

Off

Efficiency 118.2 108.7 107.9
Pace 93.9 93.9 95.9

4
Factors

eFG % 53.6% 51.1% 50.6%
D reb % 74.6% 74.2% 76.7%
O reb % 25.8% 25.4% 23.3%
TO % 12.0% 15.5% 14.1%
FT Rate 30.8% 28.3% 27.5%

Skill

2Pt % 50.9% 50.5% 49.5%
3Pt % 39.7% 33.6% 35.1%
3pt Rate 28.9% 34.3% 31.1%
Assist Rate 50.5% 59.4% 57.3%
Non-Steal Turnovers 5.4% 6.2% 6.0%
Foul Rate 22.6% 21.9% 20.9%

Hustle

2nd Chance Rate 12.0% 13.4% 12.7%
Steal Rate 9.3% 6.6% 8.1%
Block Rate 5.3% 4.9% 5.8%
Paint Points 39.1% 41.5% 41.2%
Fast Break 13.6% 10.2% 12.5%

*Record: 11 – 12

GAME LOG					FOUR FACTORS				SKILL				HUSTLE
Date	Opp	Score	Efficiency	Pace	eFG %	Off rebound %	TO %	FT Rate	3pt Rate	Assist Rate	Non-Steal Turnover	Foul Rate	2nd Chance Rate	Steal Rate	Block Rate	Paint Points	Fast Break
2016-10-26	CHA	96 – 107 L	99.5 / 110.9	96.5	44.0% / 48.9%	20.0% / 23.4%	8.3% / 10.4%	21.7% / 27.0%	17.4% / 25.8%	59.0% / 67.5%	3.1% / 6.2%	22.8% / 22.8%	12.5% / 14.0%	4.1% / 5.2%	5.6% / 10.9%	58.3% / 52.3%	16.7% / 3.7%
2016-10-29	BKN	110 – 108 W	108.6 / 106.7	101.3	51.1% / 50.6%	20.9% / 23.4%	13.8% / 17.8%	27.3% / 33.3%	25.0% / 41.7%	61.0% / 62.2%	2.0% / 4.0%	23.7% / 21.7%	8.2% / 10.2%	13.8% / 11.9%	6.0% / 6.8%	49.1% / 38.9%	18.2% / 15.7%
2016-10-30	@DET	83 – 98 L	89.0 / 105.1	93.2	41.4% / 47.2%	19.2% / 34.8%	12.9% / 16.1%	16.1% / 22.7%	19.5% / 22.7%	64.7% / 59.0%	4.3% / 5.4%	17.2% / 15.0%	12.0% / 13.3%	10.7% / 8.6%	4.5% / 4.6%	55.4% / 57.1%	10.8% / 21.4%
2016-11-01	@NOP	117 – 113 W	114.7 / 110.8	102.0	53.8% / 49.4%	25.0% / 18.8%	14.7% / 12.7%	23.1% / 50.0%	35.2% / 31.7%	68.2% / 63.9%	2.0% / 3.9%	24.5% / 16.7%	10.3% / 10.6%	8.8% / 12.7%	6.1% / 5.5%	49.6% / 33.6%	8.5% / 13.3%
2016-11-03	IND	125 – 107 W	124.8 / 106.8	100.2	65.4% / 53.1%	36.4% / 25.6%	22.0% / 21.0%	29.6% / 33.3%	33.3% / 28.4%	68.1% / 76.3%	7.0% / 11.0%	23.0% / 23.0%	13.6% / 7.5%	10.0% / 15.0%	7.4% / 3.7%	49.6% / 39.3%	14.4% / 11.2%
2016-11-05	SAC	117 – 91 W	130.4 / 101.4	89.7	58.5% / 45.2%	42.5% / 26.5%	16.7% / 15.6%	30.5% / 22.6%	40.2% / 33.3%	68.3% / 81.8%	7.8% / 2.2%	24.5% / 21.2%	15.4% / 17.6%	13.4% / 8.9%	11.9% / 3.7%	39.3% / 37.4%	22.2% / 1.1%
2016-11-06	@DAL	75 – 86 L	75.3 / 86.4	90.2	40.2% / 42.6%	20.0% / 19.2%	27.1% / 15.1%	14.6% / 13.6%	35.4% / 43.2%	46.7% / 42.4%	15.1% / 4.0%	26.1% / 20.1%	16.0% / 3.5%	11.0% / 12.1%	2.3% / 2.4%	37.3% / 41.9%	16.0% / 7.0%
2016-11-10	NOP	106 – 112 L	107.7 / 113.8	98.4	47.3% / 48.9%	23.4% / 22.9%	11.2% / 10.2%	27.5% / 30.3%	19.8% / 28.1%	57.5% / 56.4%	2.0% / 6.1%	20.3% / 19.3%	10.4% / 9.8%	4.1% / 9.1%	5.6% / 7.7%	43.4% / 30.4%	11.3% / 12.5%
2016-11-12	MEM	106 – 96 W	114.9 / 104.0	92.3	58.1% / 48.7%	14.7% / 9.1%	13.0% / 14.1%	52.9% / 26.9%	26.5% / 38.5%	55.6% / 57.1%	4.3% / 4.3%	21.7% / 28.2%	1.9% / 5.2%	9.8% / 8.7%	6.4% / 5.9%	47.2% / 39.6%	14.2% / 10.4%
2016-11-16	@ATL	100 – 107 L	101.2 / 108.3	98.8	43.9% / 55.6%	29.4% / 8.6%	14.2% / 16.2%	18.4% / 43.1%	32.7% / 44.4%	64.1% / 82.9%	8.1% / 7.1%	25.3% / 17.2%	18.0% / 3.7%	9.1% / 6.1%	4.2% / 8.2%	50.0% / 26.2%	17.0% / 10.3%
2016-11-17	@MIA	73 – 96 L	80.2 / 105.4	91.1	37.1% / 43.8%	22.2% / 32.1%	14.3% / 7.7%	15.3% / 21.6%	27.1% / 30.9%	71.4% / 48.7%	8.8% / 3.3%	22.0% / 19.8%	19.2% / 27.1%	4.4% / 5.5%	8.2% / 9.4%	46.6% / 56.3%	9.6% / 6.3%
2016-11-19	GSW	121 – 124 L	121.9 / 124.9	99.3	57.3% / 51.6%	27.0% / 36.7%	13.1% / 12.1%	28.1% / 33.7%	22.5% / 40.0%	58.7% / 71.4%	5.0% / 5.0%	23.2% / 25.2%	13.2% / 17.7%	7.1% / 8.1%	1.1% / 5.6%	43.0% / 32.3%	15.7% / 8.9%
2016-11-21	ORL	93 – 89 W	93.7 / 89.7	99.2	45.3% / 46.1%	13.7% / 25.0%	13.1% / 24.2%	24.4% / 31.2%	33.7% / 32.5%	71.4% / 65.6%	5.0% / 8.1%	22.2% / 18.1%	8.6% / 19.1%	16.1% / 8.1%	11.7% / 5.8%	47.3% / 42.7%	29.0% / 13.5%
2016-11-25	TOR	99 – 105 L	114.7 / 121.6	86.3	58.2% / 56.3%	20.6% / 22.5%	12.7% / 10.4%	15.2% / 23.8%	36.7% / 38.8%	65.0% / 47.4%	9.3% / 5.8%	22.0% / 19.7%	10.1% / 19.0%	4.6% / 3.5%	2.5% / 6.3%	48.5% / 28.6%	14.1% / 9.5%
2016-11-27	@ORL	104 – 96 W	109.8 / 101.4	94.7	52.3% / 45.1%	21.7% / 18.9%	11.6% / 7.4%	23.3% / 18.5%	27.9% / 30.4%	58.5% / 63.2%	5.3% / 1.1%	16.9% / 17.9%	11.5% / 4.2%	6.3% / 6.3%	6.5% / 5.8%	53.8% / 43.8%	11.5% / 19.8%
2016-11-29	CLE	118 – 101 W	118.4 / 101.4	99.6	57.6% / 52.0%	26.3% / 17.5%	17.1% / 19.1%	26.7% / 41.3%	22.1% / 52.0%	58.7% / 53.1%	10.0% / 4.0%	22.1% / 19.1%	14.4% / 14.9%	15.1% / 7.0%	8.0% / 7.0%	57.6% / 33.7%	16.9% / 13.9%
2016-12-01	@BKN	111 – 93 W	116.3 / 97.4	95.5	54.4% / 44.9%	33.3% / 26.1%	18.9% / 17.8%	36.3% / 18.0%	42.5% / 44.9%	63.9% / 58.8%	9.4% / 9.4%	18.9% / 23.0%	16.2% / 15.1%	8.4% / 9.4%	11.2% / 11.3%	32.4% / 45.2%	15.3% / 19.4%
2016-12-03	BKN	112 – 103 W	107.5 / 98.9	104.2	50.6% / 43.4%	16.3% / 20.4%	10.6% / 13.4%	42.4% / 36.3%	28.2% / 45.1%	62.5% / 61.8%	4.8% / 4.8%	23.0% / 25.0%	9.8% / 16.5%	8.6% / 5.8%	11.0% / 5.9%	55.4% / 42.7%	8.9% / 17.5%
2016-12-05	SAS	96 – 97 L	100.4 / 101.5	95.6	45.2% / 47.3%	17.1% / 25.0%	14.6% / 14.6%	46.6% / 15.1%	32.9% / 30.1%	53.3% / 65.0%	8.4% / 10.5%	16.7% / 23.0%	9.4% / 16.5%	4.2% / 6.3%	7.5% / 6.8%	35.4% / 45.4%	17.7% / 3.1%
2016-12-07	POR	115 – 107 W	119.1 / 110.8	96.6	58.4% / 53.5%	12.8% / 21.7%	10.4% / 15.5%	48.1% / 22.4%	31.2% / 47.1%	47.5% / 67.6%	3.1% / 7.2%	13.5% / 22.8%	7.0% / 8.4%	8.3% / 7.2%	8.2% / 5.2%	47.0% / 29.9%	23.5% / 12.1%
2016-12-09	ATL	110 – 114 L	106.3 / 110.2	103.4	53.2% / 54.8%	19.6% / 20.9%	14.5% / 16.4%	14.9% / 34.5%	29.8% / 40.5%	59.1% / 80.0%	7.7% / 5.8%	24.2% / 10.6%	11.8% / 19.3%	10.6% / 6.8%	6.0% / 8.5%	41.8% / 45.6%	14.5% / 5.3%
2016-12-10	@WAS	105 – 110 L	109.9 / 115.1	95.6	58.9% / 50.0%	20.0% / 26.7%	20.9% / 9.4%	19.0% / 31.8%	31.6% / 23.9%	55.0% / 72.5%	10.5% / 8.4%	22.0% / 17.8%	12.4% / 12.7%	1.0% / 10.5%	3.4% / 5.1%	47.6% / 43.6%	6.7% / 14.5%
2016-12-12	@TOR	100 – 122 L	108.6 / 132.5	92.1	49.4% / 59.0%	27.3% / 39.0%	11.9% / 15.2%	19.1% / 33.7%	27.0% / 30.1%	64.3% / 61.9%	4.3% / 6.5%	21.7% / 19.5%	15.0% / 18.9%	8.7% / 7.6%	3.6% / 2.2%	54.0% / 36.1%	11.0% / 9.8%

*Record: 17 – 7

GAME LOG					FOUR FACTORS				SKILL				HUSTLE
Date	Opp	Score	Efficiency	Pace	eFG %	Off rebound %	TO %	FT Rate	3pt Rate	Assist Rate	Non-Steal Turnover	Foul Rate	2nd Chance Rate	Steal Rate	Block Rate	Paint Points	Fast Break
2016-10-26	DET	109 – 91 W	114.5 / 95.6	95.2	49.4% / 44.0%	30.4% / 17.8%	11.6% / 13.7%	33.7% / 26.2%	20.9% / 26.2%	41.5% / 48.6%	3.2% / 5.3%	23.1% / 25.2%	7.3% / 6.6%	8.4% / 8.4%	0.0% / 0.0%	49.5% / 44.0%	5.5% / 17.6%
2016-10-28	CLE	91 – 94 L	96.9 / 100.1	93.9	41.1% / 49.4%	36.7% / 21.4%	19.2% / 18.1%	20.0% / 27.8%	17.8% / 40.5%	34.3% / 60.6%	10.6% / 8.5%	21.3% / 16.0%	23.1% / 18.1%	9.6% / 8.5%	3.8% / 3.3%	41.8% / 29.8%	22.0% / 5.3%
2016-10-31	DEN	105 – 102 W	114.9 / 111.6	91.4	48.9% / 46.3%	23.9% / 25.6%	7.7% / 8.8%	28.4% / 43.2%	18.2% / 27.2%	39.0% / 42.4%	5.5% / 1.1%	30.6% / 19.7%	11.4% / 8.8%	7.7% / 2.2%	11.1% / 10.2%	55.2% / 45.1%	10.5% / 15.7%
2016-11-02	@WAS	113 – 103 W	118.0 / 107.6	95.7	62.3% / 60.4%	11.8% / 18.2%	13.6% / 20.9%	32.5% / 33.3%	32.5% / 13.9%	48.8% / 50.0%	5.2% / 4.2%	25.1% / 20.9%	8.0% / 9.7%	16.7% / 8.4%	2.8% / 6.5%	24.8% / 66.0%	8.0% / 14.6%
2016-11-04	MIA	96 – 87 W	104.2 / 94.5	92.1	47.6% / 43.8%	29.5% / 24.5%	16.3% / 14.1%	21.4% / 17.0%	29.8% / 31.8%	37.8% / 55.9%	5.4% / 6.5%	17.4% / 23.9%	10.4% / 16.1%	7.6% / 10.9%	5.7% / 6.0%	41.7% / 46.0%	17.7% / 13.8%
2016-11-06	SAC	91 – 96 L	106.1 / 111.9	85.8	39.9% / 46.8%	27.7% / 30.2%	7.0% / 10.5%	36.9% / 39.7%	35.7% / 20.5%	73.3% / 61.8%	2.3% / 3.5%	30.3% / 25.6%	14.3% / 19.8%	7.0% / 4.7%	6.4% / 6.0%	33.0% / 54.2%	15.4% / 8.3%
2016-11-09	@OKC	112 – 102 W	120.0 / 109.3	93.3	58.4% / 50.0%	20.0% / 28.2%	11.8% / 20.4%	26.5% / 41.9%	31.3% / 45.9%	58.1% / 58.1%	5.4% / 9.6%	25.7% / 22.5%	8.0% / 16.7%	10.7% / 6.4%	8.1% / 6.0%	41.1% / 31.4%	18.8% / 10.8%
2016-11-11	@CHA	113 – 111 W	119.2 / 117.1	94.8	51.1% / 50.0%	17.0% / 32.7%	5.3% / 11.6%	24.4% / 25.8%	24.4% / 44.1%	41.9% / 57.9%	4.2% / 3.2%	22.2% / 16.9%	11.5% / 18.0%	8.4% / 1.1%	5.4% / 4.4%	44.2% / 28.8%	21.2% / 3.6%
2016-11-12	NYK	118 – 107 W	119.6 / 108.5	98.6	51.2% / 49.0%	25.6% / 34.0%	11.2% / 16.2%	45.8% / 16.5%	26.5% / 23.7%	46.2% / 43.2%	8.1% / 6.1%	20.3% / 23.3%	7.6% / 17.8%	10.1% / 3.0%	6.2% / 2.4%	40.7% / 48.6%	16.9% / 5.6%
2016-11-15	@CLE	117 – 121 L	118.2 / 122.2	99.0	54.7% / 60.8%	25.0% / 26.3%	8.1% / 17.2%	18.8% / 33.7%	30.2% / 39.8%	52.2% / 59.1%	4.0% / 6.1%	25.2% / 18.2%	12.8% / 16.5%	11.1% / 4.0%	6.0% / 7.3%	44.4% / 36.4%	21.4% / 5.8%
2016-11-16	GSW	121 – 127 L	121.4 / 127.5	99.6	51.2% / 58.0%	31.7% / 17.5%	14.1% / 12.0%	50.0% / 32.2%	30.5% / 41.4%	43.2% / 75.0%	5.0% / 4.0%	22.1% / 25.1%	7.4% / 1.6%	8.0% / 9.0%	1.1% / 8.5%	33.1% / 39.4%	13.2% / 15.7%
2016-11-18	@DEN	113 – 111 W	102.7 / 100.8	99.7	50.0% / 49.4%	12.5% / 19.1%	10.9% / 17.3%	33.0% / 47.0%	24.5% / 30.1%	53.5% / 74.4%	3.6% / 10.0%	22.7% / 23.6%	4.4% / 9.9%	7.3% / 7.3%	2.4% / 3.2%	51.3% / 46.8%	10.6% / 18.9%
2016-11-20	@SAC	99 – 102 L	104.0 / 107.1	95.2	45.3% / 51.2%	32.7% / 11.1%	15.8% / 13.7%	28.2% / 30.9%	28.2% / 33.3%	47.1% / 72.2%	7.4% / 6.3%	22.1% / 18.9%	13.1% / 5.9%	7.4% / 8.4%	7.4% / 9.4%	40.4% / 39.2%	4.0% / 16.7%
2016-11-21	@LAC	115 – 123 L	116.3 / 124.4	98.9	55.0% / 59.5%	10.0% / 17.6%	11.1% / 14.2%	40.0% / 56.8%	23.8% / 33.8%	47.5% / 59.0%	6.1% / 4.0%	31.4% / 24.3%	5.2% / 4.1%	10.1% / 5.1%	2.7% / 5.0%	33.0% / 27.6%	19.1% / 8.1%
2016-11-23	@HOU	115 – 102 W	122.0 / 108.2	94.3	55.7% / 57.7%	34.9% / 32.4%	14.8% / 27.6%	23.9% / 15.4%	26.1% / 53.8%	65.1% / 76.3%	8.5% / 12.7%	15.9% / 23.3%	16.5% / 8.8%	14.8% / 6.4%	9.0% / 8.0%	43.5% / 41.2%	16.5% / 17.6%
2016-11-25	@MIL	105 – 99 W	121.6 / 114.7	86.3	56.3% / 58.2%	22.5% / 20.6%	10.4% / 12.7%	23.8% / 15.2%	38.8% / 36.7%	47.4% / 65.0%	5.8% / 9.3%	19.7% / 22.0%	19.0% / 10.1%	3.5% / 4.6%	6.3% / 2.5%	28.6% / 48.5%	9.5% / 14.1%
2016-11-28	PHI	122 – 95 W	132.7 / 103.4	91.9	63.0% / 50.0%	23.5% / 26.1%	13.1% / 15.2%	40.3% / 15.1%	24.7% / 39.5%	52.4% / 75.0%	3.3% / 3.3%	15.2% / 22.8%	8.2% / 12.6%	12.0% / 9.8%	9.3% / 5.2%	31.1% / 35.8%	17.2% / 6.3%
2016-11-30	MEM	120 – 105 W	132.1 / 115.6	90.8	66.7% / 51.2%	35.7% / 27.3%	19.8% / 16.5%	47.8% / 32.1%	46.4% / 33.3%	60.5% / 44.4%	5.5% / 7.7%	27.5% / 27.5%	18.3% / 19.0%	8.8% / 14.3%	3.7% / 1.4%	23.3% / 36.2%	10.8% / 5.7%
2016-12-02	LAL	113 – 80 W	123.2 / 87.2	91.7	61.4% / 37.6%	20.6% / 33.9%	10.9% / 17.4%	15.7% / 18.3%	34.9% / 28.0%	55.6% / 50.0%	4.4% / 8.7%	19.6% / 19.6%	6.2% / 20.0%	8.7% / 6.5%	5.4% / 2.4%	44.2% / 55.0%	7.1% / 5.0%
2016-12-03	ATL	128 – 84 W	133.7 / 87.8	95.7	64.7% / 43.8%	32.4% / 26.5%	12.5% / 18.8%	12.0% / 15.9%	26.1% / 31.8%	52.8% / 60.0%	5.2% / 4.2%	17.8% / 13.6%	10.9% / 23.8%	14.6% / 7.3%	8.0% / 5.4%	46.9% / 42.9%	9.4% / 2.4%
2016-12-05	CLE	112 – 116 L	120.6 / 124.9	92.9	50.6% / 56.0%	22.2% / 36.1%	7.5% / 15.1%	30.7% / 32.1%	36.4% / 38.1%	57.9% / 52.5%	3.2% / 6.5%	23.7% / 22.6%	12.5% / 16.4%	8.6% / 4.3%	6.0% / 3.4%	28.6% / 27.6%	14.3% / 7.8%
2016-12-08	MIN	124 – 110 W	137.7 / 122.1	90.1	56.3% / 56.3%	37.2% / 38.1%	8.9% / 14.4%	37.9% / 17.0%	31.0% / 31.8%	58.1% / 42.2%	5.6% / 8.9%	21.1% / 28.9%	19.4% / 20.0%	5.6% / 3.3%	5.7% / 2.3%	43.5% / 47.3%	13.7% / 9.1%
2016-12-09	@BOS	101 – 94 W	105.9 / 98.6	95.4	47.0% / 47.6%	17.4% / 16.0%	11.5% / 13.6%	32.9% / 26.5%	24.4% / 50.6%	35.3% / 77.4%	6.3% / 4.2%	23.1% / 18.9%	13.9% / 7.4%	9.4% / 5.2%	2.4% / 4.9%	37.6% / 23.4%	13.9% / 5.3%
2016-12-12	MIL	122 – 100 W	132.5 / 108.6	92.1	59.0% / 49.4%	39.0% / 27.3%	15.2% / 11.9%	33.7% / 19.1%	30.1% / 27.0%	61.9% / 64.3%	6.5% / 4.3%	19.5% / 21.7%	18.9% / 15.0%	7.6% / 8.7%	2.2% / 3.6%	36.1% / 54.0%	9.8% / 11.0%

Milwaukee Bucks @

Toronto Raptors

Mon, Dec 12

FS-WI

4:30 PM Pacific

Dr Bob Analysis

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