Miami Heat @

Los Angeles Clippers

Sun, Jan 8
PRIME
12:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 503
Odds: Los Angeles Clippers PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – L.A. Clippers (-8 ½) over Miami

Rotation #504 – 12:35 pm Pacific

I see some value as on the Clippers with Chris Paul back in the lineup, as my ratings favor the L.A. by 10 ½ points. Miami does get Hassan Whiteside back after a 4 game absence but Justise Winslow and Josh Richardson are both still out and the Heat are a few points worse than an average team with their current rotation. The Clippers have played only 4 games since losing Blake Griffin in which Chris Paul and J.J. Redick have both played and the Clippers are 3-0 ATS in those games, beating the Nuggets by 17 points, beating the Spurs by 5 points, and winning at Sacramento by 8 points a couple of nights ago. I’ll lean with the Clippers at -9 or less and I’d play LAC for a 2-Star Best Bet if the line gets down to -8.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Miami Heat
  • Los Angeles Clippers
MIA
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 103.7 108.2 108.8
  • Pace 93.9 93.9 95.6

4
Factors


  • eFG % 48.9% 49.9% 51.1%
  • D reb % 76.5% 76.1% 76.7%
  • O reb % 23.9% 23.5% 23.2%
  • TO % 13.2% 13.1% 14.0%
  • Free Throw Rate 25.1% 26.4% 27.5%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 47.8% 48.8% 49.9%
  • 3Pt % 33.8% 34.6% 35.7%
  • 3pt Rate 29.6% 27.5% 31.4%
  • Assist Rate 55.5% 53.6% 57.6%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 6.3% 6.0% 6.0%
  • Foul Rate 21.6% 20.0% 20.8%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 13.8% 13.1% 12.3%
  • Steal Rate 7.2% 6.9% 8.0%
  • Block Rate 6.7% 6.3% 5.7%
  • Paint Points 43.9% 43.3% 40.8%
  • Fast Break 10.7% 10.8% 12.3%
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