Memphis Grizzlies @

Portland Trailblazers

Fri, Jan 27
CSN-NW
7:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 869
Odds: Portland Trailblazers PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – Memphis (pick) over PORTLAND

Rotation #869 – 7:05 pm Pacific

This is simply a line value play, as my ratings favor Memphis by 2 points with current rotations. The value stems from Portland having Evan Turner in the starting lineup the past 3 games instead of defensively strong Al-Farouq Aminu. Aminu leads the team in plus-minus at +12 points (+0.7 points per 48 minutes) while Turner is last on the team in PM at -203 points (-8.5 per 48). Turner has been a negative impact player everywhere he has played and it makes no sense that the Blazers are now starting him. I’ll lean with Memphis at -1 or better.

I also have 4 NBA Best Bets tonight for just $20.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Memphis Grizzlies
  • Portland Trailblazers
MEM
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 107.0 106.5 109.1
  • Pace 92.1 92.1 95.8

4
Factors


  • eFG % 48.5% 50.0% 51.3%
  • D reb % 78.6% 76.0% 76.8%
  • O reb % 24.0% 21.4% 23.2%
  • TO % 13.1% 14.9% 14.0%
  • Free Throw Rate 28.6% 36.6% 27.5%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 46.8% 49.4% 50.1%
  • 3Pt % 34.5% 33.9% 35.8%
  • 3pt Rate 31.0% 36.1% 31.4%
  • Assist Rate 56.6% 57.3% 57.6%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 6.0% 5.9% 6.0%
  • Foul Rate 25.2% 22.6% 20.8%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 12.5% 11.2% 12.2%
  • Steal Rate 9.0% 7.1% 8.0%
  • Block Rate 5.8% 6.1% 5.7%
  • Paint Points 40.6% 37.5% 41.0%
  • Fast Break 9.8% 13.5% 12.4%
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