Los Angeles Clippers @

Minnesota Timberwolves

Wed, Mar 8
FS-N
5:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 509
Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

Opinion – MINNESOTA (+3 ½) over L.A. Clippers

Rotation #510 – 5:05 pm Pacific

Similar to my two winning opinions yesterday, this is a case of line value on one side and a situation favoring the other side that will keep me from making this game a Best Bet. Minnesota has covered the spread in 6 consecutive games and I think the Timberwolves are an underrated team with their current rotation. The Clippers have Chris Paul back and their variance adjusted rating since his return is just as good as it was before he was injured – so this is not a case of me not liking the Clippers. I just like Minnesota right now and there is significant line value favoring the Timberwolves. Unfortunately, the Clippers apply to a 152-74-2 ATS road favorite revenge situation that will keep me from making the T’Wolves a Best Bet. My ratings have been much better than the situations this season, which is why I’ve started sending out line value plays as opinions when they go against a good situation – rather than just passing completely on those games.

NBA Guru Selections

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.
NBA Guru does not currently have a selection on this game. NBA Guru generally releases all plays by 4 pm Pacific.
  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Los Angeles Clippers
  • Minnesota Timberwolves
LAC
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 112.6 109.1 109.2
  • Pace 95.8 95.8 95.8

4
Factors


  • eFG % 53.1% 50.2% 51.3%
  • D reb % 76.5% 77.9% 76.8%
  • O reb % 22.1% 23.5% 23.2%
  • TO % 13.1% 13.1% 13.9%
  • Free Throw Rate 31.5% 28.6% 27.6%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 51.1% 49.6% 50.2%
  • 3Pt % 37.8% 35.1% 35.7%
  • 3pt Rate 32.6% 30.0% 31.5%
  • Assist Rate 57.0% 58.5% 57.6%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 5.6% 5.2% 5.9%
  • Foul Rate 21.2% 23.2% 20.8%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 10.9% 12.7% 12.2%
  • Steal Rate 7.9% 7.6% 8.0%
  • Block Rate 5.5% 4.1% 5.7%
  • Paint Points 36.5% 41.2% 41.1%
  • Fast Break 12.1% 14.1% 12.4%
Share This