Los Angeles Clippers @

Cleveland Cavaliers

Thu, Dec 1
TNT
5:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 705
Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers -4, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – L.A. Clippers (+4) over CLEVELAND

Rotation #705 – 5:05 pm Pacific

Cleveland being favored by 4 points suggests that the Cavaliers are 1 ½ to 2 points better than the Clippers on a neutral floor. The Clippers may have lost 3 straight games and covered in just 1 of their 8 games but I still don’t think they’re worse than the Cavaliers, who have covered the spread in only 4 of their last 14 games and are also coming off an ugly loss (101-118 at Milwaukee) after barely beating the 76ers. If I only used the Clippers last 8 games, when they’ve been slumping, and excluded the game against Brooklyn that Blake Griffin did not play in, then I’d get Cleveland by 4 points.

So, the question is if the Clippers are going to continue to play at their worst level (i.e. their last 8 games), or are they going to play at their average rating for the season, which would make the prediction on this game a pick. The line is fair at the very worst and I think a fair line is Cavaliers by 1 ½ points. I strongly considering making the Clippers a Best Bet in this game but I’ll just make this an opinion.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Los Angeles Clippers
  • Cleveland Cavaliers
LAC
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 112.8 101.9 107.1
  • Pace 95.6 95.6 96.0

4
Factors


  • eFG % 52.4% 48.2% 50.3%
  • D reb % 77.4% 79.7% 77.1%
  • O reb % 20.3% 22.6% 22.9%
  • TO % 12.6% 15.6% 14.1%
  • Free Throw Rate 36.7% 26.1% 27.3%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 50.6% 45.6% 49.4%
  • 3Pt % 37.5% 36.5% 34.9%
  • 3pt Rate 31.4% 27.6% 30.9%
  • Assist Rate 56.9% 56.5% 57.1%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 5.5% 5.8% 6.0%
  • Foul Rate 20.4% 25.7% 21.0%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 10.4% 12.2% 12.8%
  • Steal Rate 9.8% 7.1% 8.1%
  • Block Rate 6.0% 3.7% 5.9%
  • Paint Points 36.3% 41.2% 41.3%
  • Fast Break 15.5% 12.1% 12.4%
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