Dr Bob Analysis
Opinion – L.A. Clippers (-12/-10.5*) over BROOKLYN
Rotation #703 – 4:35 pm Pacific
Brooklyn started the season well but the Nets are just 2-9 straight up and 3-8 ATS since Jeremy Lin was injured and tonight they host a pissed off Clippers team coming off consecutive losses and their worst game of the season – a 70-91 loss as a double-digit favorite at Indiana in which they made just 31% of their shots. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS after a game in which they made fewer than 43% of their shots, winning those games by an average of 16.5 points, so the offense should bounce back and I expect a good effort defensively after two consecutive losses. My ratings favor the Clippers by 16 ½ points in this game, but, unfortunately, the Nets apply to a 70-22-2 ATS double-digit home underdog situation that will keep me from making this a Best Bet. I’ll still lean with the Clippers at -13 or less.
*Note: I published this opinion on the Clippers before it was announced the Blake Griffin would sit out tonight. I’d still lean with the Clippers at the new line of -10.5 points.
NBA Guru Selections
NBA Guru does not currently have a selection on this game. NBA Guru generally releases all plays by 4 pm Pacific.
- Los Angeles Clippers
- Brooklyn Nets
-
Efficiency
115.1
102.2
106.9
-
Pace
95.7
95.7
96.1
4
Factors
-
eFG %
53.4%
48.3%
50.3%
-
D reb %
77.7%
79.3%
77.1%
-
O reb %
20.7%
22.3%
23.0%
-
TO %
12.1%
15.7%
14.2%
-
Free Throw Rate
36.6%
27.2%
27.2%
Skill
-
2Pt %
51.3%
45.5%
49.3%
-
3Pt %
38.7%
37.1%
34.9%
-
3pt Rate
31.3%
28.0%
30.8%
-
Assist Rate
57.3%
56.0%
57.2%
-
Non-Steal Turnovers
5.1%
5.9%
6.1%
-
Foul Rate
20.8%
25.9%
21.1%
Hustle
-
2nd Chance Rate
10.6%
12.4%
12.8%
-
Steal Rate
9.8%
7.0%
8.1%
-
Block Rate
6.1%
3.6%
5.9%
-
Paint Points
37.1%
40.9%
41.4%
-
Fast Break
16.1%
12.3%
12.5%
-
Efficiency
103.1
111.7
106.9
-
Pace
101.6
101.6
96.1
4
Factors
-
eFG %
50.6%
53.2%
50.3%
-
D reb %
75.2%
80.4%
77.1%
-
O reb %
19.6%
24.8%
23.0%
-
TO %
16.6%
14.2%
14.2%
-
FT Rate
28.1%
23.8%
27.2%
Skill
-
2Pt %
51.9%
52.7%
49.3%
-
3Pt %
32.6%
36.6%
34.9%
-
3pt Rate
39.9%
31.4%
30.8%
-
Assist Rate
55.3%
58.1%
57.2%
-
Non-Steal Turnovers
6.4%
6.3%
6.1%
-
Foul Rate
19.5%
21.0%
21.1%
Hustle
-
2nd Chance Rate
11.8%
13.2%
12.8%
-
Steal Rate
7.9%
10.2%
8.1%
-
Block Rate
4.7%
6.2%
5.9%
-
Paint Points
43.3%
40.1%
41.4%
-
Fast Break
11.0%
12.4%
12.5%
*Record:
14 –
3
| GAME LOG |
FOUR FACTORS |
SKILL |
HUSTLE |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
Efficiency |
Pace |
eFG % |
Off rebound % |
TO % |
FT Rate |
3pt Rate |
Assist Rate |
Non-Steal Turnover |
Foul Rate |
2nd Chance Rate |
Steal Rate |
Block Rate |
Paint Points |
Fast Break |
| 2016-10-27 |
@POR |
114 – 106 W |
113.1 / 105.2 |
100.8 |
45.1% / 48.2% |
27.8% / 21.4% |
6.9% / 13.9% |
50.5% / 37.6% |
31.9% / 21.2% |
32.4% / 46.2% |
3.0% / 4.0% |
24.8% / 33.7% |
14.9% / 13.2% |
9.9% / 4.0% |
4.7% / 4.4% |
36.8% / 54.7% |
15.8% / 11.3% |
| 2016-10-30 |
UTA |
88 – 75 W |
99.1 / 84.4 |
88.8 |
44.6% / 44.5% |
28.0% / 16.7% |
14.6% / 20.3% |
24.1% / 17.8% |
32.5% / 26.0% |
50.0% / 62.1% |
5.6% / 11.3% |
15.8% / 24.8% |
14.8% / 5.3% |
9.0% / 9.0% |
5.5% / 3.6% |
40.9% / 48.0% |
10.2% / 14.7% |
| 2016-10-31 |
PHX |
116 – 98 W |
109.7 / 92.7 |
105.7 |
53.8% / 44.6% |
12.8% / 20.4% |
15.1% / 18.9% |
47.5% / 36.9% |
20.0% / 17.9% |
52.5% / 54.3% |
4.7% / 11.4% |
21.8% / 31.2% |
11.2% / 14.3% |
7.6% / 10.4% |
4.8% / 0.0% |
44.8% / 40.8% |
13.8% / 21.4% |
| 2016-11-02 |
OKC |
83 – 85 L |
81.9 / 83.9 |
101.3 |
43.1% / 43.5% |
16.0% / 23.3% |
16.8% / 20.7% |
20.7% / 23.8% |
25.3% / 23.8% |
64.7% / 41.2% |
8.9% / 7.9% |
18.7% / 23.7% |
14.5% / 9.4% |
12.8% / 7.9% |
6.0% / 4.6% |
53.0% / 58.8% |
21.7% / 15.3% |
| 2016-11-04 |
@MEM |
99 – 88 W |
104.0 / 92.4 |
95.2 |
42.4% / 42.3% |
25.5% / 26.5% |
11.6% / 18.9% |
38.8% / 26.2% |
31.8% / 31.0% |
59.4% / 83.9% |
7.4% / 1.1% |
24.2% / 29.4% |
14.1% / 14.8% |
17.9% / 4.2% |
7.1% / 10.6% |
36.4% / 36.4% |
31.3% / 9.1% |
| 2016-11-05 |
@SAS |
116 – 92 W |
123.9 / 98.2 |
93.7 |
56.6% / 47.3% |
17.5% / 17.1% |
8.5% / 16.0% |
15.4% / 33.8% |
25.3% / 33.8% |
51.1% / 63.3% |
3.2% / 7.5% |
20.3% / 19.2% |
11.2% / 12.0% |
8.5% / 5.3% |
8.1% / 5.5% |
41.4% / 23.9% |
12.9% / 14.1% |
| 2016-11-07 |
DET |
114 – 82 W |
123.5 / 88.9 |
92.3 |
62.5% / 39.0% |
6.7% / 20.0% |
10.8% / 11.9% |
28.9% / 31.7% |
32.9% / 14.6% |
68.3% / 46.7% |
5.4% / 3.3% |
21.7% / 20.6% |
2.6% / 15.9% |
8.7% / 5.4% |
8.5% / 2.6% |
28.1% / 48.8% |
15.8% / 11.0% |
| 2016-11-09 |
POR |
111 – 80 W |
118.6 / 85.5 |
93.6 |
50.0% / 38.6% |
28.0% / 21.2% |
7.5% / 15.0% |
37.9% / 15.9% |
36.8% / 34.1% |
63.2% / 51.6% |
3.2% / 5.3% |
16.0% / 24.6% |
13.5% / 17.5% |
9.6% / 4.3% |
8.0% / 3.4% |
45.0% / 50.0% |
16.2% / 16.3% |
| 2016-11-11 |
@OKC |
110 – 108 W |
110.8 / 108.7 |
99.3 |
51.7% / 52.3% |
23.4% / 20.9% |
10.1% / 16.1% |
40.7% / 21.6% |
31.4% / 31.8% |
46.2% / 55.3% |
7.0% / 7.0% |
20.1% / 27.2% |
9.1% / 11.1% |
9.1% / 3.0% |
3.4% / 1.2% |
34.5% / 27.8% |
10.9% / 9.3% |
| 2016-11-12 |
@MIN |
119 – 105 W |
126.4 / 111.5 |
94.2 |
59.9% / 49.4% |
27.3% / 31.3% |
14.9% / 13.8% |
48.7% / 23.6% |
31.6% / 24.7% |
62.5% / 65.0% |
3.2% / 6.4% |
20.2% / 32.9% |
15.1% / 17.1% |
7.4% / 11.7% |
4.5% / 3.9% |
31.9% / 53.3% |
17.6% / 9.5% |
| 2016-11-14 |
BKN |
127 – 95 W |
129.8 / 97.1 |
97.8 |
61.1% / 50.6% |
24.3% / 20.9% |
11.2% / 21.5% |
23.3% / 28.6% |
27.8% / 42.9% |
66.7% / 52.9% |
5.1% / 4.1% |
22.5% / 21.5% |
11.8% / 15.8% |
17.4% / 6.1% |
7.8% / 2.2% |
34.6% / 35.8% |
15.7% / 10.5% |
| 2016-11-16 |
MEM |
107 – 111 L |
114.4 / 118.7 |
93.5 |
51.2% / 57.9% |
19.0% / 25.0% |
8.6% / 16.0% |
42.0% / 23.2% |
30.9% / 31.7% |
40.5% / 60.0% |
2.1% / 2.1% |
20.3% / 23.5% |
13.1% / 8.1% |
13.9% / 6.4% |
8.5% / 2.5% |
37.4% / 32.4% |
14.0% / 9.9% |
| 2016-11-18 |
@SAC |
121 – 115 W |
120.7 / 114.7 |
100.2 |
61.2% / 50.0% |
15.2% / 22.0% |
14.0% / 14.0% |
44.7% / 40.7% |
38.2% / 30.2% |
67.5% / 55.3% |
7.0% / 7.0% |
23.9% / 23.9% |
3.3% / 8.7% |
7.0% / 7.0% |
7.0% / 5.3% |
39.7% / 34.8% |
19.0% / 5.2% |
| 2016-11-19 |
CHI |
102 – 95 W |
123.1 / 114.6 |
82.9 |
53.9% / 48.7% |
32.4% / 35.7% |
16.9% / 12.1% |
29.9% / 31.2% |
35.1% / 39.0% |
55.6% / 51.5% |
7.2% / 4.8% |
24.1% / 24.1% |
9.8% / 17.9% |
7.2% / 9.7% |
2.6% / 5.2% |
35.3% / 31.6% |
13.7% / 14.7% |
| 2016-11-21 |
TOR |
123 – 115 W |
124.4 / 116.3 |
98.9 |
59.5% / 55.0% |
17.6% / 10.0% |
14.2% / 11.1% |
56.8% / 40.0% |
33.8% / 23.8% |
59.0% / 47.5% |
4.0% / 6.1% |
24.3% / 31.4% |
4.1% / 5.2% |
5.1% / 10.1% |
5.0% / 2.7% |
27.6% / 33.0% |
8.1% / 19.1% |
| 2016-11-23 |
@DAL |
124 – 104 W |
126.3 / 105.9 |
98.2 |
59.4% / 51.8% |
15.0% / 21.3% |
9.2% / 16.3% |
36.5% / 21.4% |
37.6% / 28.6% |
60.5% / 60.5% |
2.0% / 5.1% |
17.3% / 24.4% |
8.9% / 17.3% |
11.2% / 7.1% |
4.8% / 3.5% |
25.8% / 40.4% |
18.5% / 12.5% |
| 2016-11-25 |
@DET |
97 – 108 L |
106.5 / 118.6 |
91.1 |
52.7% / 57.2% |
15.4% / 25.7% |
15.4% / 11.0% |
35.6% / 7.8% |
28.8% / 21.1% |
74.3% / 55.3% |
7.7% / 6.6% |
17.6% / 24.2% |
8.2% / 7.4% |
4.4% / 7.7% |
6.7% / 0.0% |
37.1% / 44.4% |
17.5% / 5.6% |
*Record:
4 –
11
| GAME LOG |
FOUR FACTORS |
SKILL |
HUSTLE |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
Efficiency |
Pace |
eFG % |
Off rebound % |
TO % |
FT Rate |
3pt Rate |
Assist Rate |
Non-Steal Turnover |
Foul Rate |
2nd Chance Rate |
Steal Rate |
Block Rate |
Paint Points |
Fast Break |
| 2016-10-26 |
@BOS |
117 – 122 L |
113.6 / 118.4 |
103.0 |
52.1% / 60.1% |
30.0% / 29.3% |
15.5% / 18.4% |
20.6% / 20.2% |
45.4% / 36.0% |
51.2% / 75.0% |
2.9% / 10.7% |
18.4% / 19.4% |
19.7% / 10.7% |
7.8% / 12.6% |
3.4% / 9.3% |
42.7% / 41.0% |
6.8% / 9.0% |
| 2016-10-28 |
IND |
103 – 94 W |
103.2 / 94.1 |
99.8 |
49.4% / 41.3% |
25.5% / 25.9% |
16.0% / 13.0% |
23.0% / 20.4% |
37.9% / 24.5% |
52.6% / 59.5% |
9.0% / 7.0% |
23.0% / 22.0% |
14.6% / 14.9% |
6.0% / 7.0% |
4.1% / 6.9% |
44.7% / 46.8% |
10.7% / 13.8% |
| 2016-10-29 |
@MIL |
108 – 110 L |
106.7 / 108.6 |
101.3 |
50.6% / 51.1% |
23.4% / 20.9% |
17.8% / 13.8% |
33.3% / 27.3% |
41.7% / 25.0% |
62.2% / 61.0% |
4.0% / 2.0% |
21.7% / 23.7% |
10.2% / 8.2% |
11.9% / 13.8% |
6.8% / 6.0% |
38.9% / 49.1% |
15.7% / 18.2% |
| 2016-10-31 |
CHI |
88 – 118 L |
87.0 / 116.6 |
101.2 |
37.0% / 56.7% |
26.2% / 31.0% |
14.8% / 18.8% |
21.9% / 20.2% |
32.3% / 30.3% |
42.4% / 57.8% |
5.9% / 6.9% |
14.8% / 21.7% |
15.9% / 20.3% |
11.9% / 8.9% |
3.4% / 9.4% |
56.8% / 39.0% |
13.6% / 15.3% |
| 2016-11-02 |
DET |
109 – 101 W |
112.0 / 103.8 |
97.3 |
62.5% / 47.2% |
15.2% / 20.0% |
19.5% / 13.4% |
22.4% / 23.9% |
35.5% / 28.4% |
65.9% / 56.8% |
8.2% / 3.1% |
23.6% / 18.5% |
3.7% / 13.9% |
10.3% / 11.3% |
3.4% / 7.9% |
45.9% / 33.7% |
3.7% / 9.9% |
| 2016-11-04 |
CHA |
95 – 99 L |
92.3 / 96.2 |
103.0 |
45.4% / 47.7% |
14.3% / 15.2% |
14.6% / 15.5% |
24.1% / 27.9% |
41.4% / 34.9% |
57.1% / 66.7% |
7.8% / 3.9% |
21.4% / 17.5% |
4.2% / 9.1% |
11.7% / 6.8% |
3.5% / 3.4% |
44.2% / 36.4% |
18.9% / 13.1% |
| 2016-11-08 |
MIN |
119 – 110 W |
116.8 / 108.0 |
101.8 |
63.2% / 48.9% |
16.1% / 28.3% |
19.6% / 15.7% |
34.2% / 30.4% |
43.4% / 30.4% |
47.6% / 51.3% |
8.8% / 10.8% |
18.7% / 20.6% |
9.2% / 22.7% |
4.9% / 10.8% |
5.4% / 3.9% |
45.4% / 38.2% |
12.6% / 14.5% |
| 2016-11-09 |
@NYK |
96 – 110 L |
94.9 / 108.7 |
101.2 |
48.1% / 53.3% |
16.3% / 21.4% |
17.8% / 13.8% |
33.8% / 18.5% |
41.3% / 32.6% |
57.6% / 56.8% |
6.9% / 4.9% |
19.8% / 20.8% |
11.5% / 15.5% |
8.9% / 10.9% |
4.3% / 6.3% |
41.7% / 43.6% |
8.3% / 1.8% |
| 2016-11-12 |
@PHX |
122 – 104 W |
113.2 / 96.5 |
107.8 |
57.1% / 41.1% |
13.6% / 25.8% |
15.8% / 11.1% |
35.7% / 19.6% |
44.0% / 30.8% |
55.0% / 57.5% |
7.4% / 5.6% |
17.6% / 18.6% |
7.4% / 16.3% |
5.6% / 8.4% |
9.3% / 3.6% |
32.8% / 48.1% |
8.2% / 12.5% |
| 2016-11-14 |
@LAC |
95 – 127 L |
97.1 / 129.8 |
97.8 |
50.6% / 61.1% |
20.9% / 24.3% |
21.5% / 11.2% |
28.6% / 23.3% |
42.9% / 27.8% |
52.9% / 66.7% |
4.1% / 5.1% |
21.5% / 22.5% |
15.8% / 11.8% |
6.1% / 17.4% |
2.2% / 7.8% |
35.8% / 34.6% |
10.5% / 15.7% |
| 2016-11-15 |
@LAL |
118 – 125 L |
109.2 / 115.7 |
108.1 |
51.5% / 49.5% |
18.0% / 26.9% |
13.0% / 10.2% |
20.2% / 46.7% |
41.4% / 30.4% |
51.1% / 58.5% |
4.6% / 2.8% |
25.0% / 15.7% |
11.0% / 16.8% |
7.4% / 8.3% |
6.5% / 2.0% |
55.9% / 44.8% |
17.8% / 23.2% |
| 2016-11-18 |
@OKC |
105 – 124 L |
102.8 / 121.4 |
102.1 |
48.8% / 59.0% |
16.3% / 30.3% |
15.7% / 15.7% |
36.1% / 27.0% |
34.9% / 29.2% |
54.3% / 46.9% |
6.9% / 9.8% |
18.6% / 23.5% |
12.4% / 10.5% |
5.9% / 8.8% |
2.2% / 6.0% |
40.0% / 50.0% |
5.7% / 14.5% |
| 2016-11-20 |
POR |
109 – 129 L |
108.4 / 128.3 |
100.5 |
45.2% / 66.5% |
20.8% / 24.2% |
9.0% / 14.9% |
33.3% / 24.7% |
37.6% / 42.4% |
59.5% / 46.9% |
5.0% / 9.9% |
19.9% / 29.8% |
18.3% / 7.8% |
5.0% / 4.0% |
3.5% / 7.5% |
38.5% / 29.5% |
8.3% / 7.8% |
| 2016-11-23 |
BOS |
92 – 111 L |
90.5 / 109.1 |
101.7 |
45.3% / 53.6% |
18.8% / 25.0% |
18.7% / 12.8% |
25.6% / 8.2% |
36.0% / 38.8% |
52.9% / 57.8% |
5.9% / 5.9% |
11.8% / 21.6% |
14.1% / 11.7% |
6.9% / 12.8% |
7.1% / 7.0% |
45.7% / 34.2% |
17.4% / 9.9% |
| 2016-11-25 |
@IND |
97 – 118 L |
99.0 / 120.5 |
98.0 |
52.5% / 61.5% |
19.1% / 23.7% |
19.4% / 14.3% |
29.1% / 18.4% |
43.0% / 29.9% |
66.7% / 52.1% |
8.2% / 6.1% |
17.4% / 19.4% |
9.3% / 8.5% |
8.2% / 11.2% |
4.6% / 6.3% |
41.2% / 32.2% |
7.2% / 6.8% |
Los Angeles Clippers
@ 
Brooklyn Nets