Los Angeles Clippers @

Brooklyn Nets

Tue, Nov 29
YES
4:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 703
Odds: Brooklyn Nets PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – L.A. Clippers (-12/-10.5*) over BROOKLYN

Rotation #703 – 4:35 pm Pacific

Brooklyn started the season well but the Nets are just 2-9 straight up and 3-8 ATS since Jeremy Lin was injured and tonight they host a pissed off Clippers team coming off consecutive losses and their worst game of the season – a 70-91 loss as a double-digit favorite at Indiana in which they made just 31% of their shots. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS after a game in which they made fewer than 43% of their shots, winning those games by an average of 16.5 points, so the offense should bounce back and I expect a good effort defensively after two consecutive losses. My ratings favor the Clippers by 16 ½ points in this game, but, unfortunately, the Nets apply to a 70-22-2 ATS double-digit home underdog situation that will keep me from making this a Best Bet. I’ll still lean with the Clippers at -13 or less.

*Note: I published this opinion on the Clippers before it was announced the Blake Griffin would sit out tonight. I’d still lean with the Clippers at the new line of -10.5 points.

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  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Los Angeles Clippers
  • Brooklyn Nets
LAC
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 115.1 102.2 106.9
  • Pace 95.7 95.7 96.1

4
Factors


  • eFG % 53.4% 48.3% 50.3%
  • D reb % 77.7% 79.3% 77.1%
  • O reb % 20.7% 22.3% 23.0%
  • TO % 12.1% 15.7% 14.2%
  • Free Throw Rate 36.6% 27.2% 27.2%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 51.3% 45.5% 49.3%
  • 3Pt % 38.7% 37.1% 34.9%
  • 3pt Rate 31.3% 28.0% 30.8%
  • Assist Rate 57.3% 56.0% 57.2%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 5.1% 5.9% 6.1%
  • Foul Rate 20.8% 25.9% 21.1%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 10.6% 12.4% 12.8%
  • Steal Rate 9.8% 7.0% 8.1%
  • Block Rate 6.1% 3.6% 5.9%
  • Paint Points 37.1% 40.9% 41.4%
  • Fast Break 16.1% 12.3% 12.5%
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