Denver Nuggets @

Minnesota Timberwolves

Sun, Jan 22
FS-N
4:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 837
Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves PK, Total:

Dr Bob Analysis

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Opinion – Denver (+3 ½) over MINNESOTA

Rotation #5837 – 4:05 pm Pacific

Both of these teams are coming off wins over the Clippers and both are playing well of late, with Minnesota covering 6 of 7 (4-3 SU) and the Nuggets winning and covering in 4 of their last 5. I rate Denver as the better team right now and I favor the Timberwolves by only 1 ½ points even with the Nuggets having played last night. The starters got some rest in the 4th quarter of their 123-98 blowout win last night. Minnesota is just 31-74-2 ATS in home games off a win going back many years and the Timberwolves are 0-6 straight up as a favorite or pick this season after a victory. Going back a few years the T’Wolves are an embarrassing 13-29 straight up as a favorite or pick after a win (11-31 SU). I’d take Denver in a 1-Star Best Bet at +4 or more.

NBA Guru Selections

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STRONG OPINION on Den/Minn UNDER 221

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Denver Nuggets
  • Minnesota Timberwolves
DEN
Avg
Def
Off


  • Efficiency 111.8 113.4 109.0
  • Pace 97.6 97.6 95.7

4
Factors


  • eFG % 52.0% 52.7% 51.2%
  • D reb % 78.8% 72.2% 76.7%
  • O reb % 27.8% 21.2% 23.3%
  • TO % 15.3% 11.5% 14.0%
  • Free Throw Rate 29.3% 26.6% 27.4%


Skill


  • 2Pt % 51.0% 51.6% 50.0%
  • 3Pt % 36.4% 36.6% 35.8%
  • 3pt Rate 31.0% 28.9% 31.4%
  • Assist Rate 59.4% 57.4% 57.7%
  • Non-Steal Turnovers 6.7% 4.7% 6.0%
  • Foul Rate 20.6% 21.2% 20.8%


Hustle


  • 2nd Chance Rate 13.9% 10.7% 12.2%
  • Steal Rate 6.8% 8.5% 8.0%
  • Block Rate 4.6% 6.0% 5.7%
  • Paint Points 44.7% 42.2% 41.0%
  • Fast Break 13.3% 13.0% 12.4%
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