In week 12 my Free Analysis sides were 21-14 overall and 4-3 on games with a difference or 4+ points from the spread. Totals were 21-20-1, including 4-1 on differences of 6 points or more from the line, which are historically profitable (37-29 last season and now 30-26 this season after starting 0-5 in week 1).
For the season, the Free Analysis sides are now 239-215-9, and 72-59-5 on games with a difference or 4+ points from the spread. Totals are just 236-245-8 and 30-26 on differences of 6 points or more (although 19-9 the last 6 weeks).
The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 1865-1646-71 ATS since 2013, which is very good picking nearly every game over 6-plus years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line are now 641-532-27. Totals on the Free pages are now 1583-1539-25 in the 5-plus seasons I’ve been tracking them.
The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis and that is the line is use to grade the Free Analysis.
This time of year I do not have time to do written analysis on most games. I will still put in just as much time adjusting the math model for current personnel/injuries and will incorporate some situational analysis but this time of year, with basketball overlapping with football, I just don’t have the time to write up the Free games.