College Basketball

Dr. Bob

2022-23 College Basketball Plays: 590-482-17

2023-24 College Basketball Plays: 538-455-16 (Daily and Season Recap below)

College Basketball Best Bets: 1697-1416-59 on a Star Basis for +134.15 Stars the last 6 seasons!

I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+421.9 Stars the last 25 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting.

The first three seasons using that predictive matchup model produced good results on Best Bets (817-675-27, 54.8%) despite winning only 45% of the close games (108-132-27 on Best Bets decided by less than 3 points) instead of the 50% expected in the long run, and being an unlucky 8-13-2 on games decided by overtime (instead of 13-9-1 on those games had they been graded at the end of regulation).

Had we won 50% of the close games and had those games altered due to OT (i.e. dogs not covering) produce the results they would have in regulation then we’d have been 55.9% winners the last three seasons, which is incredibly good in Basketball. The new model has won despite the bad luck and I expect even better results in the future.

Last 3 Seasons with new matchup model: Best Bets are 817-675-27 and Opinions are 642-542-18

See season to date results below in the daily recap section.

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  • Dr. Bob College Basketball Season

    All Plays are 1459-1217-45 the last 3 seasons with new matchup model.

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Daily/Season to Date Recap

CBB Recap 3/27

The Wednesday Best Bets were 0-0 for 0.0 Stars and the Opinions were 1-0.

Tournament Best Bets now 6-8 for -5.0 Stars (4-8 NCAA, 2-0 Other tournaments). Tourney Opinions are 10-5 (4-2 NCAA , 6-3 Other) and NCAA Tournament Leans are 9-2. 

For the season, the Best Bets are 288-229-7 for +34.4 Stars and the Opinions are 250-226-9.

All Basketball plays are 538-455-16 despite Bets decided by less than 3 points being just 61-79-16 and bets decided due to overtime being 9-13 (instead of 13-8-1 had those games been graded at the end of regulation). The record would be a very good 551-441-17 (55.5%) if we were even in close games (70-70-16) and were 13-8-1 on the decisions altered due to overtime instead of being 9-13 on those games. It’s been frustrating but at least the trend continues to be up since starting the season 56-61-5 on all plays (482-394-11 since 11/24).

Best Bet Sides (135-102-5 for +20.1 Stars)

None

Best Bet Totals (77-59 for +12.05 Stars)

None

Extra Game Best Bet Sides (43-36-2 for +3.35 Stars)

None

Extra Game Best Bet Totals (31-31 for -3.0 Stars)

None

Opinion Sides (125-129-6)

Opinion Side (624) Utah (-7) (won by 20, WON)

Opinion Totals (76-46-1)

None

Extra Game Opinion Sides (30-30-2)

None

Extra Game Opinion Totals (18-21)

None


2022-23 CBB Season Recap

It was a disappointing March but it was still a very profitable season with the Best Bets being +39.9 Stars of profit while the opinions added another 10.9 Stars if played for 0.5 Star each, as recommended.

For the season the Best Bets are 302-240-10 for +39.9 Stars and the Opinions are 288-242-7.

Best Bet Sides (155-127-8 for +15.25 Stars)

Best Bet Totals (68-55-1 for +9.45 Stars)

Extra Game Best Bet Sides: (57-44-1 for +8.55 Stars)

Extra Game Best Bet Totals (22-14 for +6.65 Stars)

Opinion Sides: (174-153-6)

Opinion Totals: (52-45-1)

Extra Game Opinion Sides: (50-35)

Extra Game Opinion Totals (12-9)

New College Basketball Model

I have been very profitable on my College Basketball Best Bets over the years (+368.8 Stars the last 23 seasons) but starting with the 2020-21 season the College Basketball plays were based on a new model that tested incredibly well (832-636-29 for 56.7%) over the previous 4 seasons. The model was tested on seasons not used to derive the model to avoid back-fitting. The first season using that predictive matchup model produced very good results on Best Bets (55.7%) despite winning only 40% of the close games (bets decided by less than 3 points).

More information on the new College Basketball model.