Game Analysis
Lean – OKLAHOMA STATE (-3) 38 West Virginia 31
Oklahoma State is well suited to take advantage of West Virginia’s defensive weakness. The Mountaineers have not been able to defend the pass, allowing 7.9 yards per pass play quarterbacks that would combine to average 5.8 yppp against an average defense. They even gave up 295 pass play yards at 7.2 yppp to FCS team Albany.
Oklahoma State will likely throw the ball more than 45 times in this game, which will expose West Virginia’s defensive weakness.
The Mountaineers should have offensive success too, as they’ve averaged 6.5 yards per play (against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) and are facing a worse than average Cowboys’ defense that has been 0.6 yppl worse than average. However, I expect more success from Oklahoma State’s offense.
Oklahoma State is a Lean at -3 or less.
- West Virginia
- Oklahoma St.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.3
35.0
-
Run Yards
199.5
179.5
-
YPRP
5.8
5.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.5
16.5
-
Pass Att
28.5
28.0
-
Comp %
57.9%
58.9%
-
Pass Yards
232.3
254.0
-
Sacks
2.0
2.3
-
Sack Yards
10.0
15.0
-
Sack %
6.6%
7.4%
-
Pass Plays
30.5
30.3
-
Net Pass Yards
222.3
239.0
-
YPPP
7.3
7.9
Total
-
Total Plays
64.8
65.3
-
Total Yards
421.8
418.5
-
YPPL
6.5
6.4
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.3
-
Int %
3.5%
0.9%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.8
0.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.0
36.4
-
Run Yards
104.6
225.2
-
YPRP
3.6
6.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
25.2
20.0
-
Pass Att
43.4
35.6
-
Comp %
58.1%
56.2%
-
Pass Yards
312.2
269.4
-
Sacks
0.2
2.0
-
Sack Yards
1.6
17.4
-
Sack %
0.5%
5.3%
-
Pass Plays
43.6
37.6
-
Net Pass Yards
310.6
252.0
-
YPPP
7.1
6.7
Total
-
Total Plays
72.6
74.0
-
Total Yards
415.2
477.2
-
YPPL
5.7
6.4
TO
-
Int
1.2
1.2
-
Int %
2.8%
3.4%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.8
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/31/24 Penn St. |
12-34 |
+8.5
L
|
35/41 |
140/248 |
4.0/6.0 |
2/1 |
15/12 |
28/18 |
146/225 |
0/0 |
2/0 |
4.9/12.5 |
286/473 |
4.4/8.0 |
09/07/24 Albany |
49-14 |
0.0
W
|
31/32 |
305/94 |
9.8/2.9 |
1/0 |
20/18 |
26/39 |
255/295 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
9.4/7.2 |
560/389 |
9.7/5.3 |
09/14/24 @ Pittsburgh |
34-38 |
-3.0
L
|
42/23 |
191/109 |
4.5/4.7 |
0/0 |
16/21 |
30/30 |
198/272 |
2/0 |
2/5 |
6.2/7.8 |
389/381 |
5.3/6.6 |
09/21/24 Kansas |
32-28 |
-2.0
W
|
29/44 |
162/267 |
5.6/6.1 |
0/1 |
15/15 |
30/25 |
290/164 |
2/1 |
3/2 |
8.8/6.1 |
452/431 |
7.3/6.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/31/24 South Dakota State |
44-20 |
0.0
W
|
39/26 |
149/137 |
3.8/5.3 |
0/0 |
24/20 |
33/36 |
245/251 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
7.4/6.6 |
394/388 |
5.5/6.1 |
09/07/24 Arkansas |
39-31 |
-10.0
L
|
26/44 |
59/267 |
2.3/6.1 |
0/2 |
27/26 |
48/45 |
326/388 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
6.8/8.1 |
385/655 |
5.2/7.1 |
09/14/24 @ Tulsa |
45-10 |
-18.0
W
|
35/29 |
129/152 |
3.7/5.2 |
0/0 |
28/18 |
39/37 |
431/175 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
11.1/4.4 |
560/327 |
7.6/4.7 |
09/21/24 Utah |
19-22 |
0.0
L
|
14/49 |
56/270 |
4.0/5.5 |
0/1 |
19/17 |
44/29 |
229/187 |
2/2 |
1/2 |
5.1/6.0 |
285/457 |
4.8/5.7 |
09/28/24 @ Kansas St. |
20-42 |
+5.0
L
|
31/34 |
130/300 |
4.2/8.8 |
1/0 |
28/19 |
53/31 |
322/259 |
2/1 |
0/0 |
6.1/8.4 |
452/559 |
5.4/8.6 |