Washington @

Oregon St.

Sat, Nov 18
ABC
4:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 379
Odds: Oregon St. -1, Total: 62

Game Analysis

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Lean – OREGON STATE (-1)  33   Washington  27

My math model favors Oregon State by 3 points in this game and the rain throughout the game is not going to hurt the good running Beavers as much as it will Washington, who depends more on their aerial attack. While there is some line value now that the line has dropped from 2.5 to 1, the reason for the Lean on this game is a 167-68-5 ATS late season situation that plays on home teams in games between two really good teams. And, unbeaten team that are 7-0 or better, are just 53-84-3 ATS in road games against teams with a winning record. Playing Corvallis is not easy for opponents, as the Beavers are 16-1 straight up and 16-1 ATS here the last 3 seasons.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Washington
  • Oregon St.
WASH
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 24.5 30.2
  • Run Yards 134.5 149.0
  • YPRP 5.5 4.9




Pass





  • Pass Comp 24.8 23.3
  • Pass Att 37.3 39.7
  • Comp % 66.6% 58.6%
  • Pass Yards 352.6 250.2
  • Sacks 0.8 1.3
  • Sack Yards 5.4 8.4
  • Sack % 2.2% 3.1%
  • Pass Plays 38.1 41.0
  • Net Pass Yards 347.2 241.8
  • YPPP 9.1 5.9

Total

  • Total Plays 62.5 71.2
  • Total Yards 481.7 390.8
  • YPPL 7.7 5.5

TO


  • Int 0.7 1.2
  • Int % 2.0% 3.0%
  • Fumbles 0.6 0.2
  • Turnovers 1.4 1.4
 
  • Points 39.3 23.2
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