Game Analysis
Vanderbilt (-4) 30 Baylor 26
Rotation #239 – Thursday, 6 pm Pacific
I really have nothing interesting to say about this bowl game. My math model favors Vanderbilt by 4 points with a total of 55.7 points assuming the retractable roof is closed at NRG Stadium. Jalen Hurd being out for Baylor barely moves the needle, as Hurd averaged 8.8 yards per target and the rest of the Baylor wide receivers combine to average 8.4 YPT. There is not significant value on the side or total in this game between two mediocre teams. Rather than spend my valuable time writing up analysis of a game I have no opinion on I have decided to move on to this weekend’s more important bowl games.
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.8
36.3
-
Run Yards
161.0
193.6
-
YPRP
5.5
5.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.9
19.7
-
Pass Att
31.2
31.9
-
Comp %
63.9%
61.6%
-
Pass Yards
239.2
229.6
-
Sacks
1.7
1.8
-
Sack Yards
13.2
10.3
-
Sack %
5.1%
5.2%
-
Pass Plays
32.8
33.7
-
Net Pass Yards
226.0
219.3
-
YPPP
6.9
6.5
Total
-
Total Plays
64.6
69.9
-
Total Yards
400.2
423.2
-
YPPL
6.2
6.1
TO
-
Int
0.5
1.0
-
Int %
1.6%
3.1%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.1
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.5
32.3
-
Run Yards
149.0
171.2
-
YPRP
4.9
5.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.4
18.4
-
Pass Att
38.3
30.2
-
Comp %
61.0%
60.8%
-
Pass Yards
277.2
236.1
-
Sacks
3.4
2.3
-
Sack Yards
21.4
17.7
-
Sack %
8.1%
7.0%
-
Pass Plays
41.6
32.5
-
Net Pass Yards
255.8
218.4
-
YPPP
6.1
6.7
Total
-
Total Plays
76.1
64.7
-
Total Yards
426.2
407.3
-
YPPL
5.6
6.3
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.6
-
Int %
2.6%
1.8%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.6
0.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 Middle Tenn St |
35-7 |
-3.0
W
|
36/30 |
190/155 |
5.3/5.2 |
0/1 |
10/24 |
17/36 |
157/148 |
0/1 |
1/6 |
8.7/3.5 |
347/303 |
6.4/4.2 |
09/08/18 Nevada |
41-10 |
-10.0
W
|
37/23 |
207/54 |
5.6/2.3 |
2/2 |
24/22 |
34/39 |
270/201 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
7.9/4.9 |
477/255 |
6.7/4.0 |
09/15/18 @ Notre Dame |
17-22 |
+14.0
W
|
26/47 |
106/255 |
4.1/5.4 |
2/0 |
25/16 |
42/26 |
305/135 |
1/0 |
1/0 |
7.1/5.2 |
411/390 |
6.0/5.3 |
09/22/18 South Carolina |
14-37 |
+2.5
L
|
30/47 |
131/274 |
4.4/5.8 |
1/2 |
19/19 |
40/28 |
174/260 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
4.1/9.0 |
305/534 |
4.2/7.0 |
09/29/18 Tennessee State |
31-27 |
0.0
W
|
31/33 |
266/123 |
8.6/3.7 |
0/0 |
22/22 |
29/31 |
297/258 |
2/0 |
0/1 |
10.2/8.1 |
563/381 |
9.4/5.9 |
10/06/18 @ Georgia |
13-41 |
+26.0
L
|
28/31 |
142/233 |
5.1/7.5 |
0/0 |
16/21 |
30/31 |
179/335 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
5.8/10.5 |
321/568 |
5.4/9.0 |
10/13/18 Florida |
27-37 |
+7.5
L
|
21/60 |
119/344 |
5.7/5.7 |
0/2 |
18/19 |
36/29 |
217/269 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
5.9/8.7 |
336/613 |
5.8/6.7 |
10/20/18 @ Kentucky |
7-14 |
+12.5
W
|
27/51 |
98/282 |
3.6/5.5 |
2/2 |
15/3 |
23/9 |
179/18 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
6.6/2.0 |
277/300 |
5.1/5.0 |
10/27/18 @ Arkansas |
45-31 |
-1.0
W
|
45/27 |
276/215 |
6.1/8.0 |
0/0 |
13/23 |
19/36 |
168/200 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
7.6/5.3 |
444/415 |
6.6/6.4 |
11/10/18 @ Missouri |
28-33 |
+14.0
W
|
27/48 |
227/257 |
8.4/5.4 |
0/0 |
24/22 |
35/33 |
238/249 |
0/2 |
2/1 |
6.4/7.3 |
465/506 |
7.3/6.2 |
11/17/18 Mississippi |
36-29 |
-3.0
W
|
34/26 |
202/140 |
5.9/5.4 |
0/0 |
22/32 |
34/52 |
185/431 |
1/2 |
2/3 |
5.1/7.8 |
387/571 |
5.5/7.0 |
11/24/18 Tennessee |
38-13 |
-3.0
W
|
39/12 |
126/115 |
3.2/9.6 |
0/0 |
31/13 |
35/33 |
343/127 |
0/1 |
3/2 |
9.0/3.6 |
469/242 |
6.1/5.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2018 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/01/18 Abilene Christian |
55-27 |
-38.5
L
|
36/26 |
295/225 |
8.2/8.7 |
0/0 |
18/27 |
28/40 |
311/241 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
11.1/5.9 |
606/466 |
9.5/7.0 |
09/08/18 @ UTSA |
37-20 |
-16.5
W
|
28/21 |
101/140 |
3.6/6.7 |
1/0 |
27/18 |
41/33 |
391/115 |
0/1 |
3/5 |
8.9/3.0 |
492/255 |
6.8/4.3 |
09/15/18 Duke |
27-40 |
-5.0
L
|
30/42 |
154/230 |
5.1/5.5 |
1/0 |
24/12 |
42/30 |
249/174 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
5.7/5.8 |
403/404 |
5.4/5.6 |
09/22/18 Kansas |
26-7 |
-7.5
W
|
35/24 |
211/129 |
6.0/5.4 |
0/0 |
20/16 |
29/27 |
238/120 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
7.4/3.9 |
449/249 |
6.7/4.5 |
09/29/18 @ Oklahoma |
33-66 |
+23.5
L
|
32/27 |
117/194 |
3.7/7.2 |
1/0 |
40/17 |
63/23 |
355/417 |
0/0 |
6/2 |
5.1/16.7 |
472/611 |
4.7/11.8 |
10/06/18 Kansas St. |
37-34 |
-4.5
L
|
44/32 |
282/351 |
6.4/11.0 |
0/1 |
30/15 |
45/26 |
271/122 |
2/2 |
4/3 |
5.5/4.2 |
553/473 |
5.9/7.8 |
10/13/18 @ Texas |
17-23 |
+14.0
W
|
31/40 |
103/182 |
3.3/4.6 |
0/0 |
20/24 |
39/39 |
229/207 |
1/1 |
3/1 |
5.5/5.2 |
332/389 |
4.5/4.9 |
10/25/18 @ West Virginia |
14-58 |
+14.5
L
|
31/31 |
126/188 |
4.1/6.1 |
1/0 |
17/21 |
29/31 |
168/381 |
3/0 |
5/1 |
4.9/11.9 |
294/569 |
4.5/9.0 |
11/03/18 Oklahoma St. |
35-31 |
+6.0
W
|
37/43 |
257/234 |
6.9/5.4 |
0/1 |
14/25 |
25/42 |
145/273 |
1/0 |
2/4 |
5.4/5.9 |
402/507 |
6.3/5.7 |
11/10/18 @ Iowa St. |
14-28 |
+14.5
W
|
31/29 |
154/135 |
5.0/4.7 |
0/0 |
29/18 |
48/23 |
351/220 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
7.2/9.2 |
505/355 |
6.3/6.7 |
11/17/18 TCU |
9-16 |
0.0
L
|
35/38 |
165/181 |
4.7/4.8 |
2/0 |
14/15 |
29/21 |
135/140 |
1/0 |
5/2 |
4.0/6.1 |
300/321 |
4.3/5.3 |
11/24/18 Texas Tech |
35-24 |
+5.0
W
|
45/28 |
204/114 |
4.5/4.1 |
0/0 |
22/21 |
31/37 |
282/233 |
2/2 |
3/2 |
8.3/6.0 |
486/347 |
6.2/5.2 |