Game Analysis
Lean – Nevada-Las Vegas (+18/+17.5) 17 AIR FORCE 30
An Air Force offense that runs the ball 86% of the time plays into the strength of the UNLV defense, as the Rebels defend the run well (4.6 yards per rushing play allowed to teams that would average 5.0 yprp against an average defense). An option offense does not take full advantage of a horrible UNLV pass defense that’s 1.4 yppp worse than average. The matchup makes the UNLV defense 1.2 yppl better than it would be against a balanced attack. That’s a significant amount of value that is not in the line.
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.8
32.4
-
Run Yards
132.4
149.8
-
YPRP
4.4
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.1
21.9
-
Pass Att
28.6
31.1
-
Comp %
59.9%
70.5%
-
Pass Yards
218.8
262.0
-
Sacks
3.3
2.0
-
Sack Yards
19.1
10.7
-
Sack %
10.3%
6.0%
-
Pass Plays
31.8
33.1
-
Net Pass Yards
199.7
251.3
-
YPPP
6.3
7.6
Total
-
Total Plays
61.6
65.5
-
Total Yards
332.1
401.1
-
YPPL
5.4
6.1
TO
-
Int
1.3
0.8
-
Int %
4.4%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.8
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
62.0
27.0
-
Run Yards
333.1
122.7
-
YPRP
5.4
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
4.2
15.5
-
Pass Att
9.3
27.4
-
Comp %
45.1%
56.5%
-
Pass Yards
90.0
199.3
-
Sacks
0.8
2.8
-
Sack Yards
3.0
20.6
-
Sack %
8.1%
9.3%
-
Pass Plays
10.1
30.2
-
Net Pass Yards
87.0
178.7
-
YPPP
8.6
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
72.1
57.2
-
Total Yards
420.1
301.5
-
YPPL
5.8
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.7
-
Int %
3.9%
2.7%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
0.9
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/02/21 Eastern Washington |
33-35 |
0.0
L
|
39/30 |
227/116 |
5.8/3.9 |
1/1 |
12/29 |
23/39 |
182/360 |
1/2 |
4/3 |
6.7/8.6 |
409/476 |
6.2/6.6 |
| 09/11/21 @ Arizona St. |
10-37 |
+34.5
W
|
29/43 |
104/298 |
3.6/6.9 |
0/0 |
10/20 |
21/29 |
80/171 |
0/1 |
3/1 |
3.3/5.7 |
184/469 |
3.5/6.4 |
| 09/18/21 Iowa St. |
3-48 |
+32.5
L
|
27/37 |
52/178 |
1.9/4.8 |
0/1 |
10/25 |
19/30 |
78/338 |
1/0 |
4/0 |
3.4/11.3 |
130/516 |
2.6/7.7 |
| 09/24/21 @ Fresno St. |
30-38 |
+30.0
W
|
32/20 |
173/94 |
5.4/4.7 |
1/0 |
15/30 |
28/42 |
264/371 |
0/1 |
4/1 |
8.3/8.6 |
437/465 |
6.8/7.4 |
| 10/02/21 @ UTSA |
17-24 |
+21.0
W
|
23/39 |
67/118 |
2.9/3.0 |
1/0 |
26/24 |
38/30 |
283/278 |
2/0 |
6/0 |
6.4/9.3 |
350/396 |
5.2/5.7 |
| 10/16/21 Utah St. |
24-28 |
+7.0
W
|
30/44 |
226/155 |
7.5/3.5 |
0/0 |
12/21 |
24/32 |
104/296 |
2/1 |
1/1 |
4.2/9.0 |
330/451 |
6.0/5.9 |
| 10/21/21 San Jose St. |
20-27 |
+5.5
L
|
34/32 |
126/161 |
3.7/5.0 |
1/2 |
20/17 |
28/28 |
213/209 |
0/0 |
5/1 |
6.5/7.2 |
339/370 |
5.1/6.1 |
| 10/29/21 @ Nevada |
20-51 |
+20.0
L
|
19/17 |
43/23 |
2.3/1.4 |
0/0 |
27/37 |
41/49 |
250/416 |
3/1 |
5/1 |
5.4/8.3 |
293/439 |
4.5/6.6 |
| 11/06/21 @ New Mexico |
31-17 |
+1.5
W
|
27/40 |
83/296 |
3.1/7.4 |
1/3 |
20/10 |
33/16 |
221/-4 |
1/0 |
1/8 |
6.5/-0.2 |
304/292 |
5.0/4.6 |
| 11/13/21 Hawaii |
27-13 |
+3.5
W
|
45/25 |
308/82 |
6.8/3.3 |
1/0 |
15/10 |
25/23 |
165/166 |
2/2 |
1/3 |
6.3/6.4 |
473/248 |
6.7/4.9 |
| 11/19/21 San Diego St. |
20-28 |
+11.0
W
|
23/29 |
47/127 |
2.0/4.4 |
0/0 |
21/18 |
34/24 |
357/163 |
2/1 |
2/3 |
9.9/6.0 |
404/290 |
6.8/5.2 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/04/21 Lafayette |
35-14 |
0.0
W
|
65/20 |
379/71 |
5.8/3.6 |
0/0 |
3/18 |
5/29 |
41/216 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
5.9/6.8 |
420/287 |
5.8/5.5 |
| 09/11/21 @ Navy |
23-3 |
-6.0
W
|
54/29 |
193/79 |
3.6/2.7 |
0/1 |
3/3 |
10/10 |
45/15 |
0/0 |
1/4 |
4.1/1.1 |
238/94 |
3.7/2.2 |
| 09/18/21 Utah St. |
45-49 |
-9.5
L
|
61/35 |
438/195 |
7.2/5.6 |
1/0 |
6/31 |
12/50 |
180/436 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
13.8/8.4 |
618/631 |
8.4/7.3 |
| 09/25/21 Florida Atl. |
31-7 |
-3.5
W
|
70/19 |
451/152 |
6.4/8.0 |
0/0 |
2/11 |
4/33 |
70/69 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
17.5/2.0 |
521/221 |
7.0/4.2 |
| 10/02/21 @ New Mexico |
38-10 |
-11.5
W
|
71/17 |
419/93 |
5.9/5.5 |
0/2 |
1/14 |
2/23 |
32/147 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
10.7/5.7 |
451/240 |
6.1/5.6 |
| 10/09/21 Wyoming |
24-14 |
-4.0
W
|
60/22 |
216/159 |
3.6/7.2 |
1/2 |
7/11 |
10/28 |
110/107 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
11.0/3.3 |
326/266 |
4.7/4.9 |
| 10/16/21 @ Boise St. |
24-17 |
+3.5
W
|
60/23 |
316/97 |
5.3/4.2 |
1/1 |
1/23 |
5/36 |
51/252 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
7.3/6.6 |
367/349 |
5.5/5.7 |
| 10/23/21 San Diego St. |
14-20 |
-3.0
L
|
47/36 |
191/170 |
4.1/4.7 |
1/0 |
5/11 |
15/13 |
65/61 |
1/0 |
1/1 |
4.1/4.4 |
256/231 |
4.1/4.6 |
| 11/06/21 Army |
14-21 |
-2.5
L
|
47/41 |
188/116 |
4.0/2.8 |
0/0 |
13/8 |
23/13 |
219/204 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
9.1/13.6 |
407/320 |
5.7/5.7 |
| 11/13/21 @ Colorado St. |
35-21 |
-2.5
W
|
66/36 |
394/136 |
6.0/3.8 |
0/0 |
4/13 |
11/22 |
121/172 |
1/2 |
0/1 |
11.0/7.5 |
515/308 |
6.7/5.2 |
| 11/19/21 @ Nevada |
41-39 |
-1.0
W
|
81/19 |
479/82 |
5.9/4.3 |
2/0 |
1/27 |
5/44 |
23/287 |
0/1 |
0/8 |
4.6/5.5 |
502/369 |
5.8/5.2 |
UNLV
@ 
Air Force