Game Analysis
Lean – UNDER (45) – Louisiana-Lafayette (-5) 22 TEXAS STATE 17
Louisiana-Lafayette quarterback Chandler Fields (5.0 yards per pass play on 141 pass plays) is a significant downgrade from injured starter Ben Wooldridge (6.3 yppp), who is 1.5 yppp better than Fields after adjusting for defenses faced. That difference is not reflected in the total on this game and both teams are likely to struggle offensively.
Texas State has one of the worst offensive unit in the nation (1.5 yards per play worse than average) and the Bobcats will be up against a better than average Louisiana defense. ULL, meanwhile, is 1.2 yppl worse than average with Fields behind center and Texas State has a solid defense that’s yielded just 5.2 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average FBS defense.
The math projects just 40.5 points and the weather (13 mph winds) projects to 2 points lower than usual scoring.
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.6
32.8
-
Run Yards
159.3
150.8
-
YPRP
4.9
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
19.4
-
Pass Att
34.4
33.6
-
Comp %
55.3%
57.7%
-
Pass Yards
216.1
223.8
-
Sacks
1.9
2.3
-
Sack Yards
9.8
11.0
-
Sack %
5.3%
6.3%
-
Pass Plays
36.3
35.8
-
Net Pass Yards
206.3
212.8
-
YPPP
5.7
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
68.9
68.6
-
Total Yards
365.5
363.6
-
YPPL
5.3
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.7
1.2
-
Int %
2.1%
3.5%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.0
30.5
-
Run Yards
108.8
126.3
-
YPRP
3.8
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.4
22.8
-
Pass Att
37.7
35.2
-
Comp %
61.9%
64.9%
-
Pass Yards
223.2
242.4
-
Sacks
2.3
2.5
-
Sack Yards
17.3
15.6
-
Sack %
5.7%
6.5%
-
Pass Plays
40.0
37.6
-
Net Pass Yards
205.9
226.8
-
YPPP
5.1
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
69.0
68.1
-
Total Yards
314.7
353.1
-
YPPL
4.6
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.9
-
Int %
2.2%
2.6%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.7
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/22 Southeastern Louisiana |
24-7 |
0.0
W
|
35/25 |
144/128 |
4.1/5.1 |
0/0 |
20/22 |
31/34 |
230/147 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
7.0/4.2 |
374/275 |
5.5/4.6 |
| 09/10/22 Eastern Mich |
49-21 |
-11.5
W
|
33/19 |
151/68 |
4.6/3.6 |
0/2 |
22/32 |
33/51 |
310/274 |
0/3 |
0/4 |
9.4/5.0 |
461/342 |
7.0/4.6 |
| 09/17/22 @ Rice |
21-33 |
-11.0
L
|
14/41 |
69/159 |
4.9/3.9 |
0/0 |
13/25 |
28/36 |
106/290 |
1/3 |
1/3 |
3.7/7.4 |
175/449 |
4.1/5.6 |
| 09/24/22 @ UL Monroe |
17-21 |
-9.5
L
|
33/38 |
145/233 |
4.4/6.1 |
1/1 |
25/14 |
41/26 |
248/186 |
1/1 |
3/1 |
5.6/6.9 |
393/419 |
5.1/6.4 |
| 10/01/22 South Alabama |
17-20 |
+8.5
W
|
28/35 |
186/130 |
6.6/3.7 |
1/1 |
22/18 |
36/41 |
105/231 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
2.8/5.4 |
291/361 |
4.5/4.6 |
| 10/12/22 @ Marshall |
23-13 |
+10.5
W
|
31/39 |
111/160 |
3.6/4.1 |
0/1 |
17/16 |
29/22 |
228/121 |
0/1 |
2/5 |
7.4/4.5 |
339/281 |
5.5/4.3 |
| 10/22/22 Arkansas St. |
38-18 |
-6.5
W
|
49/18 |
223/92 |
4.6/5.1 |
2/0 |
23/13 |
37/32 |
327/179 |
0/1 |
1/3 |
8.6/5.1 |
550/271 |
6.3/5.1 |
| 10/27/22 @ Southern Miss |
24-39 |
-1.0
L
|
26/45 |
115/160 |
4.4/3.6 |
1/1 |
21/9 |
46/18 |
320/188 |
3/1 |
4/1 |
6.4/9.9 |
435/348 |
5.7/5.4 |
| 11/05/22 Troy |
17-23 |
+3.5
L
|
42/33 |
214/172 |
5.1/5.2 |
0/0 |
13/21 |
29/35 |
99/205 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
3.2/5.4 |
313/377 |
4.3/5.3 |
| 11/10/22 Georgia Southern |
36-17 |
-3.5
W
|
37/23 |
246/95 |
6.6/4.1 |
0/1 |
17/30 |
32/53 |
190/347 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
5.8/6.3 |
436/442 |
6.2/5.7 |
| 11/19/22 @ Florida St. |
17-49 |
+24.0
L
|
31/45 |
148/262 |
4.8/5.8 |
1/0 |
16/13 |
36/21 |
106/173 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
2.7/8.2 |
254/435 |
3.6/6.6 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/22 @ Nevada |
14-38 |
-1.0
L
|
21/40 |
32/154 |
1.5/3.9 |
2/0 |
31/16 |
51/20 |
206/127 |
2/0 |
4/2 |
3.7/5.8 |
238/281 |
3.1/4.5 |
| 09/10/22 FIU |
41-12 |
-14.0
W
|
40/19 |
244/84 |
6.1/4.4 |
1/0 |
15/35 |
30/56 |
210/227 |
1/2 |
2/3 |
6.6/3.8 |
454/311 |
6.3/4.0 |
| 09/17/22 @ Baylor |
7-42 |
+30.0
L
|
31/37 |
102/282 |
3.3/7.6 |
1/2 |
24/17 |
36/28 |
168/208 |
0/1 |
2/0 |
4.4/7.4 |
270/490 |
3.9/7.5 |
| 09/24/22 Houston Christian |
34-0 |
0.0
W
|
36/15 |
145/58 |
4.0/3.9 |
0/0 |
27/23 |
41/36 |
334/77 |
1/1 |
3/4 |
7.6/1.9 |
479/135 |
6.0/2.5 |
| 10/01/22 @ James Madison |
13-40 |
+21.0
L
|
30/50 |
111/207 |
3.7/4.1 |
2/2 |
12/15 |
27/25 |
103/252 |
2/1 |
2/1 |
3.6/9.7 |
214/459 |
3.6/6.0 |
| 10/08/22 Appalachian State |
36-24 |
+19.0
W
|
27/19 |
75/50 |
2.8/2.6 |
0/1 |
26/40 |
36/53 |
259/385 |
1/1 |
2/2 |
6.8/7.0 |
334/435 |
5.1/5.9 |
| 10/15/22 @ Troy |
14-17 |
+16.5
W
|
28/29 |
86/131 |
3.1/4.5 |
0/0 |
21/16 |
32/28 |
207/277 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
6.5/8.7 |
293/408 |
4.9/6.7 |
| 10/22/22 Southern Miss |
14-20 |
+2.0
L
|
18/44 |
8/157 |
0.4/3.6 |
0/1 |
25/18 |
42/26 |
235/165 |
1/2 |
3/4 |
5.2/5.5 |
243/322 |
3.9/4.4 |
| 11/05/22 @ UL Monroe |
30-31 |
+2.5
W
|
31/24 |
133/85 |
4.3/3.5 |
0/3 |
29/29 |
41/41 |
234/287 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
5.6/6.4 |
367/372 |
5.0/5.4 |
| 11/12/22 @ South Alabama |
21-38 |
+16.5
L
|
22/36 |
107/120 |
4.9/3.3 |
0/0 |
24/20 |
42/34 |
123/260 |
1/0 |
3/2 |
2.7/7.2 |
230/380 |
3.4/5.3 |
| 11/19/22 Arkansas St. |
16-13 |
-6.0
L
|
35/22 |
154/61 |
4.4/2.8 |
0/0 |
23/22 |
37/40 |
186/230 |
0/0 |
3/1 |
4.7/5.6 |
340/291 |
4.5/4.6 |
UL Lafayette
@ 
Texas State