Game Analysis
Lean – CALIFORNIA (+11) 27 Ucla 34
Cal firing their offensive coordinator seemed to help a bit last week in their win at Stanford and UCLA could be flat for this game coming off last week’s showdown with rival USC. Bruins’ QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson injured his hand last week and could be affected by that injury
My math favors UCLA by 11 points with a 100% healthy DTR, so the line is at least fair. Cal is a good dog under coach Justin Wilcox (25-11-1 ATS) and they’re 6-1 ATS getting more than 7 points at home. The Bears also apply to a 48-18 ATS final game big home dog situation while the Bruins apply to a negative 27-78-1 ATS letdown situation based on last week’s close loss as a dog.
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.9
31.7
-
Run Yards
252.1
150.4
-
YPRP
7.0
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.7
24.8
-
Pass Att
32.7
37.3
-
Comp %
69.4%
66.5%
-
Pass Yards
267.0
276.2
-
Sacks
1.4
2.3
-
Sack Yards
9.5
16.2
-
Sack %
4.1%
5.8%
-
Pass Plays
34.1
39.6
-
Net Pass Yards
257.5
260.0
-
YPPP
7.6
6.6
Total
-
Total Plays
70.0
71.3
-
Total Yards
509.6
410.4
-
YPPL
7.3
5.8
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.8
-
Int %
2.1%
2.1%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.4
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.2
Rush
-
Run Plays
24.1
30.2
-
Run Yards
123.4
143.5
-
YPRP
5.1
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
24.3
25.4
-
Pass Att
39.3
38.6
-
Comp %
61.8%
65.8%
-
Pass Yards
262.4
286.5
-
Sacks
2.8
1.6
-
Sack Yards
21.7
9.3
-
Sack %
6.7%
3.9%
-
Pass Plays
42.1
40.1
-
Net Pass Yards
240.6
277.2
-
YPPP
5.7
6.9
Total
-
Total Plays
66.2
70.3
-
Total Yards
364.0
420.7
-
YPPL
5.5
6.0
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.9
-
Int %
2.1%
2.4%
-
Fumbles
0.1
0.6
-
Turnovers
0.9
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/22 Bowling Green |
45-17 |
-23.5
W
|
42/21 |
279/70 |
6.6/3.3 |
1/1 |
35/17 |
47/36 |
321/114 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
6.6/3.0 |
600/184 |
6.6/3.1 |
| 09/10/22 Alabama State |
45-7 |
0.0
W
|
38/31 |
220/135 |
5.8/4.4 |
0/1 |
23/18 |
30/32 |
274/178 |
1/2 |
0/3 |
9.1/5.1 |
494/313 |
7.3/4.7 |
| 09/17/22 South Alabama |
32-31 |
-15.5
L
|
35/33 |
169/172 |
4.8/5.2 |
2/1 |
20/26 |
30/36 |
263/237 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
8.8/6.6 |
432/409 |
6.6/5.9 |
| 09/24/22 @ Colorado |
45-17 |
-21.5
W
|
32/29 |
259/86 |
8.1/3.0 |
0/1 |
23/20 |
29/42 |
271/187 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
9.0/4.0 |
530/273 |
8.5/3.6 |
| 09/30/22 Washington |
40-32 |
+3.0
W
|
36/21 |
194/87 |
5.4/4.1 |
0/0 |
24/33 |
33/48 |
308/329 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
9.1/6.6 |
502/416 |
7.2/5.9 |
| 10/08/22 Utah |
42-32 |
+4.0
W
|
34/41 |
218/204 |
6.4/5.0 |
0/1 |
18/23 |
23/32 |
287/275 |
1/1 |
2/2 |
11.5/8.1 |
505/479 |
8.6/6.4 |
| 10/22/22 @ Oregon |
30-45 |
+6.5
L
|
29/44 |
187/265 |
6.4/6.0 |
0/0 |
27/22 |
39/28 |
262/283 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
6.7/10.1 |
449/548 |
6.6/7.6 |
| 10/29/22 Stanford |
38-13 |
-16.5
W
|
42/30 |
351/121 |
8.4/4.0 |
1/0 |
18/15 |
29/31 |
177/111 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
5.7/3.2 |
528/232 |
7.2/3.6 |
| 11/05/22 @ Arizona St. |
50-36 |
-11.0
W
|
39/28 |
413/145 |
10.6/5.2 |
1/0 |
13/38 |
20/49 |
159/323 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
7.2/6.2 |
572/468 |
9.4/5.9 |
| 11/12/22 Arizona |
28-34 |
-20.0
L
|
34/34 |
235/160 |
6.9/4.7 |
1/0 |
26/22 |
39/28 |
230/286 |
0/0 |
3/3 |
5.5/9.2 |
465/446 |
6.1/6.9 |
| 11/19/22 USC |
45-48 |
+3.0
T
|
36/36 |
216/194 |
6.0/5.4 |
1/0 |
23/32 |
38/43 |
297/455 |
3/1 |
1/2 |
7.6/10.1 |
513/649 |
6.8/8.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/22 UC Davis |
34-13 |
0.0
W
|
31/25 |
169/155 |
5.5/6.2 |
0/0 |
23/32 |
35/50 |
247/232 |
1/2 |
2/2 |
6.7/4.5 |
416/387 |
6.1/5.0 |
| 09/10/22 UNLV |
20-14 |
-13.0
L
|
28/27 |
121/128 |
4.3/4.7 |
0/0 |
28/18 |
39/33 |
249/184 |
1/0 |
4/3 |
5.8/5.1 |
370/312 |
5.2/5.0 |
| 09/17/22 @ Notre Dame |
17-24 |
+12.0
W
|
25/39 |
159/159 |
6.4/4.1 |
0/1 |
16/17 |
37/23 |
137/140 |
0/0 |
6/2 |
3.2/5.6 |
296/299 |
4.4/4.7 |
| 09/24/22 Arizona |
49-31 |
-3.5
W
|
36/24 |
357/140 |
9.9/5.8 |
0/1 |
18/27 |
28/45 |
245/390 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
8.8/8.3 |
602/530 |
9.4/7.5 |
| 10/01/22 @ Washington St. |
9-28 |
+4.0
L
|
20/20 |
63/95 |
3.2/4.8 |
0/0 |
25/27 |
37/40 |
264/333 |
0/2 |
4/1 |
6.4/8.1 |
327/428 |
5.4/7.0 |
| 10/15/22 @ Colorado |
13-20 |
-15.0
L
|
19/34 |
52/127 |
2.7/3.7 |
1/2 |
29/22 |
52/34 |
246/201 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
4.6/5.7 |
298/328 |
4.1/4.8 |
| 10/22/22 Washington |
21-28 |
+7.5
W
|
26/28 |
89/117 |
3.4/4.2 |
0/0 |
21/36 |
34/51 |
217/360 |
0/0 |
5/3 |
5.6/6.7 |
306/477 |
4.7/5.8 |
| 10/29/22 Oregon |
24-42 |
+17.0
L
|
24/38 |
104/181 |
4.3/4.8 |
0/0 |
27/27 |
44/35 |
251/407 |
2/2 |
2/1 |
5.5/11.3 |
355/588 |
5.1/7.9 |
| 11/05/22 @ USC |
35-41 |
+21.5
W
|
21/26 |
80/159 |
3.8/6.1 |
0/0 |
35/26 |
49/41 |
389/360 |
1/0 |
3/0 |
7.5/8.8 |
469/519 |
6.4/7.7 |
| 11/12/22 @ Oregon St. |
10-38 |
+12.5
L
|
14/41 |
44/178 |
3.1/4.3 |
0/1 |
22/18 |
34/27 |
128/182 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
3.6/6.7 |
172/360 |
3.4/5.3 |
| 11/19/22 Stanford |
27-20 |
-5.0
W
|
21/30 |
119/140 |
5.7/4.7 |
0/1 |
23/29 |
43/45 |
274/260 |
2/1 |
1/2 |
6.2/5.5 |
393/400 |
6.0/5.2 |
UCLA
@ 
California