Tulsa @

Northern Ill

Sat, Sep 23
CBS Sports Network
9:00 AM Pacific
Rotation: 387
Odds: Northern Ill -4, Total: 54.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – Under (54.5) – NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-4)  25   Tulsa  22

I think the total is higher than it should be in this game because of how many points Tulsa gave up the last two weeks to Washington (43) and Oklahoma (66) but those two teams are playing better offensively than any other two teams in the nation to start this season and the Northern Illinois offense, which has been dreadfully bad (4.0 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average offense) is more like the Arkansas Pine Bluff offense that Tulsa held to 3.7 yppl and 7 points in their opener before being outmatch was Washington and Oklahoma.

Tulsa’s defense is actually better than the NIU offense and the Huskies’ defense has yielded just 5.0 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average defensive team, which is much better than a bad Tulsa attack that has been 0.8 yppl worse than average.

Based on this season’s gamers only the math would project just 43 total points and it’s a bit higher when you blend in the priors. I lean Under 53 points or more.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Tulsa
  • Northern Ill
TULS
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 42.3 29.0
  • Run Yards 184.7 120.7
  • YPRP 4.4 4.2




Pass





  • Pass Comp 17.0 25.0
  • Pass Att 26.3 33.7
  • Comp % 64.6% 74.3%
  • Pass Yards 208.0 351.0
  • Sacks 2.7 1.3
  • Sack Yards 18.0 9.3
  • Sack % 9.2% 3.8%
  • Pass Plays 29.0 35.0
  • Net Pass Yards 190.0 341.7
  • YPPP 6.6 9.8

Total

  • Total Plays 71.3 64.0
  • Total Yards 374.7 462.3
  • YPPL 5.3 7.2

TO


  • Int 2.7 1.0
  • Int % 10.1% 3.0%
  • Fumbles 0.3 0.7
  • Turnovers 3.0 1.7
 
  • Points 23.0 38.7
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