Game Analysis
Strong Opinion – Tulane (-6.5) 32 NAVY 20
Navy had faced just two average or better defensive teams this season and they scored just 14 points against Notre Dame and only 10 points against Rice two weeks ago. I expect more points than that, as the Green Wave run defense is worse than average, but Tulane’s defensive coordinator did a good job coaching his defense against the option while at Troy (they shutout Army last season) and I don’t expect navy to be able to keep up with what Tulane’s potent offense scores against them.
Tulane has averaged 39.8 points and 6.5 yppl this season against an average slate of opposing defenses and they should move the ball pretty consistently against a Navy defense that’s not nearly as good as the 22.2 points per game allowed suggests. Navy has given up 5.6 yppl to teams that would combine to average only 5.0 yppl against an average defense and the Midshipmen gave up 7.3 yppl and 51 points to Notre Dame – the only better than average offense they’ve faced all season. Tulane’s offense has been better than Notre Dame’s offense and they should score enough to win by more than a touchdown.
Tulane is a Strong Opinion at -7 -110 or better.
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.3
23.4
-
Run Yards
235.3
132.6
-
YPRP
5.6
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.1
19.1
-
Pass Att
23.3
33.6
-
Comp %
64.8%
56.9%
-
Pass Yards
212.7
202.9
-
Sacks
1.4
3.0
-
Sack Yards
8.9
19.7
-
Sack %
5.8%
8.2%
-
Pass Plays
24.8
36.6
-
Net Pass Yards
203.8
183.2
-
YPPP
8.2
5.0
Total
-
Total Plays
67.1
60.0
-
Total Yards
439.1
315.8
-
YPPL
6.5
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.1
-
Int %
1.9%
3.3%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.7
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
45.6
33.3
-
Run Yards
269.6
173.3
-
YPRP
5.9
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
8.2
19.2
-
Pass Att
14.2
32.6
-
Comp %
57.8%
59.0%
-
Pass Yards
132.7
224.0
-
Sacks
0.8
2.3
-
Sack Yards
4.8
13.6
-
Sack %
5.2%
6.7%
-
Pass Plays
15.0
34.9
-
Net Pass Yards
127.9
210.4
-
YPPP
8.5
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
60.6
68.2
-
Total Yards
397.5
383.8
-
YPPL
6.6
5.6
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.4
-
Int %
3.9%
4.4%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.2
2.1
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/29/24 Southeastern Louisiana |
52-0 |
0.0
W
|
39/29 |
241/121 |
6.2/4.2 |
0/1 |
13/15 |
17/21 |
231/98 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
13.6/4.3 |
472/219 |
8.4/4.2 |
| 09/07/24 Kansas St. |
27-34 |
+9.0
W
|
32/31 |
185/222 |
5.8/7.2 |
1/0 |
19/15 |
29/23 |
311/175 |
1/0 |
5/1 |
9.1/7.3 |
496/397 |
7.5/7.2 |
| 09/14/24 @ Oklahoma |
19-34 |
+13.0
L
|
31/41 |
123/209 |
4.0/5.1 |
1/0 |
15/18 |
33/29 |
156/149 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
4.3/4.7 |
279/358 |
4.2/4.9 |
| 09/21/24 @ UL Lafayette |
41-33 |
-1.5
W
|
44/25 |
276/200 |
6.3/8.0 |
0/0 |
11/19 |
17/34 |
83/221 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
4.9/6.1 |
359/421 |
5.9/6.9 |
| 09/28/24 South Florida |
45-10 |
-5.0
W
|
45/19 |
210/59 |
4.7/3.1 |
0/2 |
19/18 |
23/28 |
338/163 |
0/0 |
0/6 |
14.7/4.8 |
548/222 |
8.1/4.2 |
| 10/05/24 @ UAB |
71-20 |
-19.0
W
|
49/20 |
278/120 |
5.7/6.0 |
0/0 |
14/20 |
18/41 |
160/167 |
0/3 |
0/3 |
8.9/3.8 |
438/287 |
6.5/4.5 |
| 10/19/24 Rice |
24-10 |
-22.0
L
|
37/16 |
195/72 |
5.3/4.5 |
0/2 |
12/26 |
25/46 |
131/266 |
0/3 |
2/1 |
4.9/5.7 |
326/338 |
5.1/5.4 |
| 10/26/24 @ North Texas |
45-37 |
-7.5
W
|
45/23 |
301/92 |
6.7/4.0 |
0/2 |
10/38 |
13/57 |
171/434 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
12.2/7.4 |
472/526 |
8.0/6.4 |
| 10/31/24 @ Charlotte |
34-3 |
-14.5
W
|
46/19 |
225/136 |
4.9/7.2 |
0/0 |
21/7 |
29/22 |
207/53 |
0/1 |
2/3 |
6.7/2.1 |
432/189 |
5.6/4.3 |
| 11/09/24 Temple |
52-6 |
-27.0
W
|
52/17 |
325/83 |
6.3/4.9 |
1/0 |
15/11 |
23/22 |
277/21 |
1/0 |
0/6 |
12.0/0.8 |
602/104 |
8.0/2.3 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/24 Bucknell |
49-21 |
0.0
W
|
51/34 |
314/158 |
6.2/4.6 |
0/2 |
10/14 |
19/29 |
166/125 |
2/0 |
1/4 |
8.3/3.8 |
480/283 |
6.8/4.2 |
| 09/07/24 Temple |
38-11 |
-13.0
W
|
50/18 |
304/49 |
6.1/2.7 |
0/1 |
5/30 |
9/46 |
112/266 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
12.4/5.7 |
416/315 |
7.1/4.8 |
| 09/21/24 Memphis |
56-44 |
+9.5
W
|
37/37 |
344/275 |
9.3/7.4 |
0/0 |
10/33 |
14/57 |
192/384 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
12.0/6.6 |
536/659 |
10.1/6.9 |
| 09/28/24 @ UAB |
41-18 |
-4.5
W
|
49/40 |
265/205 |
5.4/5.1 |
0/0 |
10/14 |
12/22 |
187/185 |
0/2 |
0/3 |
15.6/7.4 |
452/390 |
7.4/6.0 |
| 10/05/24 @ Air Force |
34-7 |
-9.5
W
|
47/45 |
295/184 |
6.3/4.1 |
0/0 |
9/5 |
15/9 |
134/97 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
8.9/8.8 |
429/281 |
6.9/5.0 |
| 10/19/24 Charlotte |
51-17 |
-16.0
W
|
40/44 |
180/212 |
4.5/4.8 |
0/1 |
7/8 |
13/21 |
117/147 |
0/4 |
0/4 |
9.0/5.9 |
297/359 |
5.6/5.2 |
| 10/26/24 Notre Dame |
14-51 |
+14.0
L
|
42/39 |
238/270 |
5.7/6.9 |
5/0 |
7/15 |
14/25 |
88/204 |
1/0 |
0/1 |
6.3/7.8 |
326/474 |
5.8/7.3 |
| 11/02/24 @ Rice |
10-24 |
-13.0
L
|
38/22 |
153/121 |
4.0/5.5 |
0/1 |
10/28 |
21/40 |
109/230 |
2/1 |
2/1 |
4.7/5.6 |
262/351 |
4.3/5.6 |
| 11/09/24 @ South Florida |
28-7 |
-4.5
W
|
56/21 |
333/86 |
5.9/4.1 |
1/1 |
6/26 |
11/44 |
46/256 |
0/2 |
2/4 |
3.5/5.3 |
379/342 |
5.5/5.0 |
Tulane
@ 
Navy