Texas Tech @

Arizona

Sat, Oct 5
FOX
8:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 365
Odds: Arizona -6.5, Total: 64

Game Analysis

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Lean – ARIZONA (-6.5)  35   Texas Tech  24

Arizona is known for their offense, which is very good, but the Wildcats have an underrated defense that’s been 1.1 yards per play better than average so far this season. Arizona has allowed just 5.2 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 6.3 yppl against an average defensive team and that unit has an advantage over a Texas Tech defense that ranted at 0.4 yppl better than average.

My math model favors Arizona by 8.5 points and Texas Tech applies to a 74-147-8 ATS situation. The Wildcats are a Lean at -7 or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Texas Tech
  • Arizona
TXTC
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 32.6 34.8
  • Run Yards 182.0 156.2
  • YPRP 5.6 4.5




Pass





  • Pass Comp 26.4 23.0
  • Pass Att 41.8 36.6
  • Comp % 63.2% 62.8%
  • Pass Yards 313.8 295.0
  • Sacks 1.0 0.8
  • Sack Yards 8.8 4.6
  • Sack % 2.3% 2.1%
  • Pass Plays 42.8 37.4
  • Net Pass Yards 305.0 290.4
  • YPPP 7.1 7.8

Total

  • Total Plays 75.4 72.2
  • Total Yards 487.0 446.6
  • YPPL 6.5 6.2

TO


  • Int 0.6 1.2
  • Int % 1.4% 3.3%
  • Fumbles 0.6 0.4
  • Turnovers 1.2 1.6
 
  • Points 41.6 34.4
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