Texas @

(6) Oklahoma St.

Sat, Oct 31
FOX
1:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 163
Odds: Oklahoma St. -3.5, Total: 58.5

Game Analysis

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OKLAHOMA STATE (-3.5)  31   Texas  23

Texas is a good team but the Longhorns are once again overrated. The Longhorns are 2-2 and 0-3-1 ATS in their four Big-12 games since beating up on lowly UTEP and they’ve been average from the line of scrimmage in those games (430 yards at 5.6 yppl on offense and allowing 433 yards at 5.5 yppl). Those are decent numbers against a schedule of Big-12 opponents that are about 10 points better than an average FBS team but Oklahoma State has been 16 points better than an average team this season and even better in their 3 Big-12 games after struggling against an underrated Tulsa team in their opener.

Oklahoma State has been 0.6 yppl better than average offensively (5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average offense) and the Cowboys have been elite defensively – yielding just 12.0 points per game and 4.4 yppl (to teams that would average 5.7 yppl against an average defense). Just last week the Cowboys held a good Iowa State to just 21 points and I project only 23 points for Texas in this game. Oklahoma State’s offense and the Texas defense rate the same and the Cowboys are projected to game 5.8 yppl and score 31 points here at home. OSU is 3-0 ATS in Big-12 games and I still see some value on the Cowboys.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Texas
  • Oklahoma St.
TEX
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 34.4 34.8
  • Run Yards 166.8 135.4
  • YPRP 5.2 4.1




Pass





  • Pass Comp 23.6 25.6
  • Pass Att 38.8 41.2
  • Comp % 60.8% 62.1%
  • Pass Yards 306.8 261.8
  • Sacks 2.0 1.2
  • Sack Yards 13.6 8.8
  • Sack % 4.9% 2.8%
  • Pass Plays 40.8 42.4
  • Net Pass Yards 293.2 253.0
  • YPPP 7.2 6.0

Total

  • Total Plays 75.2 77.2
  • Total Yards 473.6 397.2
  • YPPL 6.3 5.1

TO


  • Int 1.0 1.0
  • Int % 2.6% 2.4%
  • Fumbles 0.6 0.6
  • Turnovers 1.6 1.6
 
  • Points 45.0 32.2
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