Temple @

(21) South Florida

Thu, Sep 21
ESPN
4:30 PM Pacific
WatchESPN
Rotation: 303
Odds: South Florida -19, Total: 62.5

Game Analysis

Create an account to get analysis and updates sent to your inbox.

SOUTH FLORIDA (-19)  41   Temple  21

Neither of these teams is as good as they were a year ago under their former head coaches but Temple has fallen off more. The Owls were expected to be weaker defensively without 1st round NFL draft pick Haason Reddick, who had 10.5 sacks and 12 other tackles for loss last season, and with just 4 returning starters learning a new system, but that unit has fallen further than expected so far this season. Temple has only allowed 27.7 points per game, which seems decent, but the Owls have given up 485 yards per game at 6.8 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average defensive team. It wasn’t just Notre Dame’s ground game that led to those numbers (they gave up 429 rushing to the Irish), as sub-par quarterbacks at Villanova and U Mass combined for an average of 344 passing yards at 7.7 yards per pass play the last two weeks.

South Florida hasn’t been nearly as good offensively so far this season, but they showed signed of life last week with 682 yards at 7.1 yppl in a 47-23 win over Illinois and my math projects 541 yards at 6.9 yppl for the Bulls tonight.

Temple has struggled offensively in their first three games, averaging just 20 points and 357 yards at 5.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team and the Owls are projected to gain a modest 346 yards at just 4.9 yppl tonight against a solid USF defense whose aggressive nature has led to 8 interceptions in 3 games.

Overall, the math favors South Florida by 20 points with a total of 61 ½ points, which isn’t enough value to recommend any sort of play. I recommend that you pass this game and look ahead to tomorrow night, which looks very good from an investment perspective.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Temple
  • South Florida
TEMP
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 30.3 30.7
  • Run Yards 95.0 171.7
  • YPRP 3.5 6.4




Pass





  • Pass Comp 21.0 22.3
  • Pass Att 36.0 36.0
  • Comp % 58.3% 62.0%
  • Pass Yards 262.3 313.7
  • Sacks 2.0 4.3
  • Sack Yards 10.3 25.3
  • Sack % 5.3% 10.7%
  • Pass Plays 38.0 40.3
  • Net Pass Yards 252.0 288.3
  • YPPP 6.6 7.1

Total

  • Total Plays 68.3 71.0
  • Total Yards 357.3 485.3
  • YPPL 5.2 6.8

TO


  • Int 0.0 0.3
  • Int % 0.0% 0.9%
  • Fumbles 0.3 0.7
  • Turnovers 0.3 1.0
 
  • Points 20.3 27.7
Share This