Southern Miss @

Louisiana Tech

Fri, Nov 19
5:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 315
Odds: Louisiana Tech -15.5, Total: 48.5

Game Analysis

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Lean – Southern Miss (+15.5)  18   LOUISIANA TECH  29

The Southern Miss quarterbacks have been so bad this season that they played last week’s game without a quarterback and the Eagles don’t have the quarterback position listed on their depth chart this week. Frank Gore Jr. got the bulk of the work running the wildcat and ran for 124 years while throwing 3 passes for 33 yards before leaving with a calf sprain and the lowly Eagles only lost 17-27 to unbeaten and heavily favored UTSA.

The wildcat should work better this week against a sub-par Louisiana Tech run defense after facing a very good UTSA defensive front last week. The heavy running offense (4o running plays and just 9 pass plays also led to an extremely slow pace, as the Eagles ran just 1.45 plays per minute of possession time last week, and fewer plays gives the underdog a better chance to cover the spread.

I’ve adjusted the model to Southern Miss’ new wildcat offense and the math likes Southern Miss plus the points.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Southern Miss
  • Louisiana Tech
SMIS
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 30.8 34.6
  • Run Yards 114.2 182.9
  • YPRP 3.7 5.3




Pass





  • Pass Comp 14.4 16.6
  • Pass Att 26.7 25.4
  • Comp % 54.1% 65.1%
  • Pass Yards 151.7 222.0
  • Sacks 4.4 1.7
  • Sack Yards 34.6 10.0
  • Sack % 14.3% 6.2%
  • Pass Plays 31.1 27.1
  • Net Pass Yards 117.1 212.0
  • YPPP 3.8 7.8

Total

  • Total Plays 61.9 61.7
  • Total Yards 231.3 394.9
  • YPPL 3.7 6.4

TO


  • Int 1.7 0.7
  • Int % 6.3% 2.6%
  • Fumbles 1.0 0.8
  • Turnovers 2.7 1.5
 
  • Points 14.0 29.9
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