South Florida @

Massachusetts

Sat, Oct 6
Eleven Sports
12:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 315
Odds: Massachusetts +15.5, Total: 71

Game Analysis

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South Florida (-15.5)  49   MASSACHUSETTS  28

Massachusetts has allowed an average of 48 points to 5 FBS opponents that are not exactly known for being good offensively (BC, Georgia Southern, FIU, Charlotte, and Ohio). The Minutemen have been a horrendous 1.6 yards per play worse than average defensively even including their decent defensive performance against Duquesne to open the season, as they’ve surrendered 6.7 yppl to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average defense. The South Florida offense is 0.6 yppl better than the average attack that UMass has faced this season and the Bulls play at a faster pace on offense – so it’s actually likely that their points allowed per game rises a bit.

Massachusetts has a capable offense but South Florida’s mediocre defense is actually 0.9 yards per play better than what the Minutemen have faced this season so they’re not likely to approach their 35 points per game average today. UMass has faced 3 dreadfully bad defensive teams (Duquesne, Charlotte, and Ohio) and scored an average of 51 points in those games but they’ve managed just 19.3 points per game against Boston College, Georgia Southern and FIU, who collectively rate about the same as the USF defense. I don’t usually like to play huge road favorites but South Florida should dominate this game if they are mildly interested.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • South Florida
  • Massachusetts
USF
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 36.0 46.8
  • Run Yards 177.5 246.3
  • YPRP 5.3 5.6




Pass





  • Pass Comp 21.3 14.3
  • Pass Att 34.3 27.3
  • Comp % 62.0% 52.3%
  • Pass Yards 289.8 162.3
  • Sacks 2.8 3.0
  • Sack Yards 14.3 17.8
  • Sack % 7.4% 9.9%
  • Pass Plays 37.0 30.3
  • Net Pass Yards 275.5 144.5
  • YPPP 7.4 4.8

Total

  • Total Plays 73.0 77.0
  • Total Yards 467.3 408.5
  • YPPL 6.4 5.3

TO


  • Int 0.8 1.3
  • Int % 2.2% 4.6%
  • Fumbles 0.3 0.5
  • Turnovers 1.0 1.8
 
  • Points 32.0 21.0
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