South Alabama @ Georgia St. Matchup Analysis

Georgia St.

Thu, Oct 23

4:30 PM Pacific

Rotation: 111

Odds: Georgia St. +6.5, Total: 54

Game Analysis

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South Alabama (-6.5) 29 GEORGIA STATE 24

Both of these teams are 1-6 with their only victories being against FCS opponents. Normally, taking the home team is best in games between two horrible teams, particularly if the home team is the underdog. Home teams are 58-36-2 ATS when both teams have a win percentage of less than 0.166 (after 7 or more games), including 21-8 ATS as underdogs.

My math model favors South Alabama by 5.9 points and the trend favors the home team in games like this. But, not enough for me to consider betting it.