Game Analysis
LOUISVILLE (-6.5) 34 Southern Methodist 25
SMU has been a bit better than I expected so far this season but Louisville is better on both sides of the ball and outplayed Notre Dame in last week’s loss to the Irish with 434 yards at 5.8 yards per play to 282 yards at 5.4 yppl.
Louisville has averaged 7.3 yppl in 3 games against FBS teams that would combine to allow just 5.5 yppl to an average offense and the Cardinals have yielded only 5.5 yppl to FBS opponents that would combine to average 6.4 yppl against an average defense.
SMU has been 0.4 yppl better than average offensively and 0.5 yppl better than average defensively. The Mustangs are a good team but not as good as Louisville, who my math favors by 9.3 points.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.0
31.8
-
Run Yards
191.3
119.0
-
YPRP
5.2
3.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.0
18.8
-
Pass Att
28.3
33.8
-
Comp %
60.2%
55.6%
-
Pass Yards
210.8
254.8
-
Sacks
1.8
1.3
-
Sack Yards
11.8
9.3
-
Sack %
5.8%
3.6%
-
Pass Plays
30.0
35.0
-
Net Pass Yards
199.0
245.5
-
YPPP
6.6
7.0
Total
-
Total Plays
67.0
66.8
-
Total Yards
390.3
364.5
-
YPPL
5.8
5.5
TO
-
Int
0.5
1.8
-
Int %
1.8%
5.2%
-
Fumbles
0.8
1.0
-
Turnovers
1.3
2.8
Rush
-
Run Plays
30.5
30.8
-
Run Yards
200.3
116.0
-
YPRP
6.6
3.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
21.8
17.3
-
Pass Att
32.3
26.5
-
Comp %
67.4%
65.1%
-
Pass Yards
306.5
176.8
-
Sacks
1.0
2.5
-
Sack Yards
6.5
15.5
-
Sack %
3.0%
8.6%
-
Pass Plays
33.3
29.0
-
Net Pass Yards
300.0
161.3
-
YPPP
9.0
5.6
Total
-
Total Plays
63.8
59.8
-
Total Yards
500.3
277.3
-
YPPL
7.8
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.3
0.5
-
Int %
0.8%
1.9%
-
Fumbles
0.5
1.0
-
Turnovers
0.8
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/24/24 @ Nevada |
29-24 |
-27.0
L
|
31/42 |
134/159 |
4.3/3.8 |
0/0 |
21/15 |
35/27 |
308/143 |
1/0 |
0/1 |
8.8/5.1 |
442/302 |
6.7/4.3 |
08/31/24 Houston Christian |
59-7 |
0.0
W
|
53/24 |
381/59 |
7.2/2.5 |
1/1 |
16/11 |
23/28 |
226/127 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
9.8/4.4 |
607/186 |
8.0/3.5 |
09/06/24 BYU |
15-18 |
-11.5
L
|
33/30 |
146/148 |
4.4/4.9 |
1/1 |
17/15 |
36/28 |
117/192 |
1/2 |
3/2 |
3.0/6.4 |
263/340 |
3.7/5.7 |
09/21/24 TCU |
66-42 |
+2.5
W
|
41/31 |
239/82 |
5.8/2.6 |
1/3 |
14/31 |
19/46 |
137/412 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
7.2/8.8 |
376/494 |
6.3/6.3 |
09/28/24 Florida St. |
42-16 |
-6.0
W
|
43/24 |
246/87 |
5.7/3.6 |
1/0 |
16/14 |
23/34 |
234/235 |
0/3 |
4/1 |
8.7/6.7 |
480/322 |
6.9/5.5 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/31/24 Austin Peay |
62-0 |
0.0
W
|
32/27 |
318/83 |
9.9/3.1 |
0/1 |
27/14 |
34/24 |
311/31 |
0/1 |
1/7 |
8.9/1.0 |
629/114 |
9.4/2.0 |
09/07/24 Jacksonville State |
49-14 |
-28.0
W
|
35/31 |
234/148 |
6.7/4.8 |
0/0 |
23/17 |
35/27 |
372/145 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
10.6/5.0 |
606/293 |
8.7/4.9 |
09/21/24 Georgia Tech |
31-19 |
-9.0
W
|
24/37 |
63/108 |
2.6/2.9 |
0/1 |
13/21 |
19/32 |
269/312 |
0/0 |
0/0 |
14.2/9.8 |
332/420 |
7.7/6.1 |
09/28/24 @ Notre Dame |
24-31 |
+7.0
T
|
31/28 |
186/125 |
6.0/4.5 |
2/2 |
24/17 |
41/23 |
248/157 |
1/0 |
3/1 |
5.6/6.5 |
434/282 |
5.8/5.4 |