Game Analysis
Updated prediction
Lean – Penn State (-5) 32 MICHIGAN STATE 22
Previous prediction – Penn State (-4) 30 MICHIGAN STATE 23
Update – QB Thorne and RB Walker are both going to play. But, some MSU players will not play due to the flu. The number of starters out was way overblown (it looks like just 1).
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.5
35.3
-
Run Yards
130.5
145.6
-
YPRP
4.1
4.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.6
20.4
-
Pass Att
37.8
35.3
-
Comp %
62.5%
57.7%
-
Pass Yards
276.0
194.0
-
Sacks
2.7
2.0
-
Sack Yards
16.1
15.0
-
Sack %
6.7%
5.4%
-
Pass Plays
40.6
37.3
-
Net Pass Yards
259.9
179.0
-
YPPP
6.4
4.8
Total
-
Total Plays
72.1
72.5
-
Total Yards
390.4
324.6
-
YPPL
5.4
4.5
TO
-
Int
0.7
1.0
-
Int %
1.9%
2.8%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
33.5
32.0
-
Run Yards
200.8
146.1
-
YPRP
6.0
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.7
31.0
-
Pass Att
29.1
47.3
-
Comp %
60.9%
65.6%
-
Pass Yards
240.5
343.8
-
Sacks
1.7
3.1
-
Sack Yards
12.1
20.6
-
Sack %
5.6%
6.1%
-
Pass Plays
30.8
50.4
-
Net Pass Yards
228.4
323.3
-
YPPP
7.4
6.4
Total
-
Total Plays
64.3
82.4
-
Total Yards
429.2
469.4
-
YPPL
6.7
5.7
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.8
-
Int %
2.5%
1.7%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.6
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/04/21 @ Wisconsin |
16-10 |
+5.5
W
|
16/56 |
63/214 |
3.9/3.8 |
0/1 |
18/22 |
33/37 |
234/167 |
0/2 |
2/2 |
6.7/4.3 |
297/381 |
5.8/4.0 |
| 09/11/21 Ball St. |
44-13 |
-22.0
W
|
45/25 |
258/71 |
5.7/2.8 |
0/0 |
22/29 |
31/45 |
235/191 |
0/2 |
3/1 |
6.9/4.2 |
493/262 |
6.2/3.7 |
| 09/18/21 Auburn |
28-20 |
-5.0
W
|
31/39 |
96/194 |
3.1/5.0 |
0/1 |
29/21 |
33/37 |
296/185 |
1/0 |
1/0 |
8.7/5.0 |
392/379 |
6.0/5.0 |
| 09/25/21 Villanova |
38-17 |
0.0
W
|
29/22 |
105/58 |
3.6/2.6 |
0/0 |
22/15 |
31/34 |
361/114 |
1/1 |
4/3 |
10.3/3.1 |
466/172 |
7.3/2.9 |
| 10/02/21 Indiana |
24-0 |
-12.0
W
|
42/22 |
209/60 |
5.0/2.7 |
0/0 |
18/16 |
34/34 |
199/187 |
1/2 |
0/2 |
5.9/5.2 |
408/247 |
5.4/4.3 |
| 10/09/21 @ Iowa |
20-23 |
+1.5
L
|
31/38 |
124/141 |
4.0/3.7 |
0/0 |
27/17 |
46/31 |
248/172 |
4/1 |
1/4 |
5.3/4.9 |
372/313 |
4.8/4.3 |
| 10/23/21 Illinois |
18-20 |
-24.5
L
|
25/63 |
88/388 |
3.5/6.2 |
0/2 |
19/8 |
34/21 |
139/7 |
0/1 |
4/4 |
3.7/0.3 |
227/395 |
3.6/4.5 |
| 10/30/21 @ Ohio St. |
24-33 |
+19.5
W
|
25/32 |
57/164 |
2.3/5.1 |
2/1 |
35/22 |
52/34 |
339/305 |
1/0 |
4/0 |
6.1/9.0 |
396/469 |
4.9/7.1 |
| 11/06/21 @ Maryland |
31-14 |
-10.0
W
|
28/25 |
113/74 |
4.0/3.0 |
0/1 |
27/41 |
47/58 |
347/343 |
0/1 |
3/2 |
6.9/5.7 |
460/417 |
5.9/4.9 |
| 11/13/21 Michigan |
17-21 |
+1.5
L
|
34/36 |
171/161 |
5.0/4.5 |
1/1 |
23/19 |
43/29 |
161/203 |
0/0 |
7/2 |
3.2/6.5 |
332/364 |
4.0/5.4 |
| 11/20/21 Rutgers |
28-0 |
-14.0
W
|
41/30 |
151/77 |
3.7/2.6 |
0/0 |
20/14 |
32/28 |
300/95 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
9.1/3.2 |
451/172 |
6.1/2.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2021 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/21 @ Northwestern |
38-21 |
+3.0
W
|
35/34 |
336/149 |
9.6/4.4 |
1/0 |
15/30 |
25/43 |
174/257 |
0/0 |
2/4 |
6.4/5.5 |
510/406 |
8.2/5.0 |
| 09/11/21 Youngstown State |
42-14 |
0.0
W
|
38/43 |
272/176 |
7.2/4.1 |
1/0 |
20/14 |
28/32 |
283/108 |
0/1 |
0/2 |
10.1/3.2 |
555/284 |
8.4/3.7 |
| 09/18/21 @ Miami Fla |
38-17 |
+6.0
W
|
38/21 |
219/69 |
5.8/3.3 |
0/2 |
18/38 |
31/59 |
235/371 |
0/2 |
3/3 |
6.9/6.0 |
454/440 |
6.3/5.3 |
| 09/25/21 Nebraska |
23-20 |
-3.5
L
|
27/41 |
89/222 |
3.3/5.4 |
0/1 |
14/25 |
23/36 |
165/221 |
1/1 |
3/7 |
6.3/5.1 |
254/443 |
4.8/5.3 |
| 10/02/21 Western Kentucky |
48-31 |
-10.5
W
|
42/24 |
198/99 |
4.7/4.1 |
0/1 |
20/46 |
30/64 |
327/467 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
10.9/7.0 |
525/566 |
7.3/6.2 |
| 10/09/21 @ Rutgers |
31-13 |
-4.5
W
|
36/32 |
261/150 |
7.3/4.7 |
1/1 |
16/22 |
27/41 |
339/230 |
1/0 |
0/4 |
12.6/5.1 |
600/380 |
9.5/4.9 |
| 10/16/21 @ Indiana |
20-15 |
-4.5
W
|
30/33 |
124/154 |
4.1/4.7 |
0/1 |
15/28 |
27/52 |
126/168 |
2/2 |
2/3 |
4.3/3.1 |
250/322 |
4.2/3.7 |
| 10/30/21 Michigan |
37-33 |
+4.0
W
|
29/34 |
234/150 |
8.1/4.4 |
0/1 |
19/31 |
30/48 |
167/406 |
2/1 |
4/0 |
4.9/8.5 |
401/556 |
6.4/6.8 |
| 11/06/21 @ Purdue |
29-40 |
-3.0
L
|
32/29 |
191/71 |
6.0/2.4 |
1/1 |
20/40 |
30/54 |
267/523 |
1/0 |
1/2 |
8.6/9.3 |
458/594 |
7.3/7.0 |
| 11/13/21 Maryland |
40-21 |
-12.0
W
|
42/21 |
209/149 |
5.0/7.1 |
1/0 |
22/29 |
31/48 |
269/306 |
1/1 |
2/4 |
8.2/5.9 |
478/455 |
6.4/6.2 |
| 11/20/21 @ Ohio St. |
7-56 |
+19.0
L
|
19/40 |
76/218 |
4.0/5.5 |
1/0 |
16/38 |
38/43 |
160/499 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
4.0/11.1 |
236/717 |
4.0/8.4 |
Penn St.
@ 
Michigan St.