Game Analysis
Strong Opinion – Oregon State (+10.5) 23 UTAH 27
Oregon State is 4-0 against the number with impressive wins over Boise State and at Fresno State and with their only straight up loss being by just 3 points to a very good USC team despite being -4 in turnovers.
Utah is a very good team, rating at 0.7 yards per play better than average on offense and 0.7 yppl better than average on defense, but Oregon State has been 1.0 yppl better than average offensively and 0.7 yppl better than average on defense. The math using this year’s games only would favor Utah by just 2 points and I would have favored the Utes by just 7 points based on my ratings prior to the season starting. Oregon State is an underrated team that was able to stay within 3 points of USC despite being -4 in turnovers and I think they can stay within single digits of a slightly overrated Utah team. Oregon State is a Strong Opinion at +10 points or more.
Rush
-
Run Plays
35.0
30.8
-
Run Yards
186.8
155.0
-
YPRP
5.3
5.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.0
19.0
-
Pass Att
27.3
34.0
-
Comp %
62.4%
55.9%
-
Pass Yards
241.3
197.0
-
Sacks
0.5
1.3
-
Sack Yards
4.0
11.3
-
Sack %
1.8%
3.5%
-
Pass Plays
27.8
35.3
-
Net Pass Yards
237.3
185.8
-
YPPP
8.5
5.3
Total
-
Total Plays
62.8
66.0
-
Total Yards
424.0
340.8
-
YPPL
6.8
5.2
TO
-
Int
1.5
1.5
-
Int %
5.5%
4.4%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.8
2.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
39.8
26.3
-
Run Yards
220.3
125.3
-
YPRP
5.5
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.5
14.0
-
Pass Att
30.0
26.0
-
Comp %
68.3%
53.8%
-
Pass Yards
255.0
128.3
-
Sacks
0.8
2.0
-
Sack Yards
7.0
15.3
-
Sack %
2.4%
7.1%
-
Pass Plays
30.8
28.0
-
Net Pass Yards
248.0
113.0
-
YPPP
8.1
4.0
Total
-
Total Plays
70.5
54.3
-
Total Yards
468.3
238.3
-
YPPL
6.6
4.4
TO
-
Int
0.5
1.3
-
Int %
1.7%
4.8%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.0
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 Boise St. |
34-17 |
-2.5
W
|
36/29 |
179/110 |
5.0/3.8 |
1/2 |
15/23 |
24/36 |
259/168 |
2/3 |
0/2 |
10.8/4.4 |
438/278 |
7.3/4.1 |
09/10/22 @ Fresno St. |
35-32 |
0.0
W
|
34/28 |
195/144 |
5.7/5.1 |
0/0 |
14/29 |
27/46 |
203/348 |
0/0 |
2/1 |
7.0/7.4 |
398/492 |
6.3/6.6 |
09/17/22 Montana State |
68-28 |
0.0
W
|
39/32 |
220/171 |
5.6/5.3 |
0/0 |
22/8 |
29/18 |
320/63 |
0/3 |
0/0 |
11.0/3.5 |
540/234 |
7.9/4.7 |
09/24/22 USC |
14-17 |
+5.5
W
|
31/34 |
153/195 |
4.9/5.7 |
0/0 |
17/16 |
29/36 |
167/164 |
4/0 |
0/2 |
5.8/4.3 |
320/359 |
5.3/5.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 @ Florida |
26-29 |
-2.5
L
|
39/38 |
230/278 |
5.9/7.3 |
0/1 |
22/17 |
32/24 |
216/168 |
1/0 |
0/0 |
6.8/7.0 |
446/446 |
6.3/7.2 |
09/10/22 Southern Utah |
73-7 |
0.0
W
|
39/20 |
249/50 |
6.4/2.5 |
1/0 |
23/11 |
29/23 |
311/35 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
10.4/1.5 |
560/85 |
8.1/1.9 |
09/17/22 San Diego St. |
35-7 |
-21.0
W
|
36/32 |
197/122 |
5.5/3.8 |
1/1 |
18/7 |
30/21 |
201/38 |
0/1 |
2/2 |
6.3/1.7 |
398/160 |
5.9/2.9 |
09/24/22 @ Arizona St. |
34-13 |
-15.5
W
|
45/15 |
205/51 |
4.6/3.4 |
0/1 |
19/21 |
29/36 |
264/211 |
1/2 |
0/5 |
9.1/5.1 |
469/262 |
6.3/4.7 |