Ohio @

UL Lafayette

Thu, Sep 16
5:00 PM Pacific
Rotation: 103
Odds: UL Lafayette -19.5, Total: 56.5

Game Analysis

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LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (-19.5)  38   Ohio  19

I had a season win total Best Bet on Ohio Under 6.5 wins and the Bobcats are now 0-2, losing by 20 points as a small favorite to Syracuse (I had Syracuse as a Best Bet in that game) and losing last week as a 29-point favorite to Duquesne, a bad FCS team.

Ohio is a bad team but Louisiana hasn’t come close to living up to their high expectations. The Ragin’ Cajuns 18-38 loss to Texas looks even worse after the Longhorns lost by 20 points to Arkansas and Louisiana barely beat FCS team Nichols State last week (27-24) while being outplayed from the line of scrimmage in that game by 123 total yards and 0.8 yards per play (a defensive touchdown was the deciding factor in the win). Ohio has a capable passer and it’s a mystery why UL-Lafayette has allowed nearly 300 passing yards per game at 8.5 yards per pass play, including 336 yards and 8.4 yppp to Nichols. I still rate that secondary as better than average given how good they were last season but Ohio could score more than projected if that unit doesn’t get it together.

Tough call here. I would have favored ULL by 25 points prior to the season and Ohio would be the way to go based on this year’s performances thus far. The line appears to be right based on my current ratings (I get ULL by 19.4 points). I’ll pass.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Ohio
  • UL Lafayette
OHIO
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 27.5 42.5
  • Run Yards 141.0 237.5
  • YPRP 5.1 5.6




Pass





  • Pass Comp 18.5 17.5
  • Pass Att 26.5 26.0
  • Comp % 69.8% 67.3%
  • Pass Yards 190.0 147.0
  • Sacks 0.5 1.0
  • Sack Yards 4.5 8.0
  • Sack % 1.9% 3.7%
  • Pass Plays 27.0 27.0
  • Net Pass Yards 185.5 139.0
  • YPPP 6.9 5.1

Total

  • Total Plays 54.5 69.5
  • Total Yards 326.5 376.5
  • YPPL 6.0 5.4

TO


  • Int 0.5 0.0
  • Int % 1.9% 0.0%
  • Fumbles 0.0 0.0
  • Turnovers 0.5 0.0
 
  • Points 17.5 28.5
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