Game Analysis
Notre Dame (+3) 26 Ohio State 26
Both of these teams have played at an elite level thus far and this is certainly the best game of the weekend. The Irish have cruised to 4 straight wins by an average score of 46-12 while rating at 1.3 yards per play better than average offensively and 1.2 yppl better than average defensively. Ohio State, meanwhile, has outscored their 3 opponents by an average score of 40-7 while rating at 1.6 yppl better than average on offense (with QB McCord in the game) and 2.0 yppl better than average on defense.
Ohio State has been better than Notre Dame overall from the line of scrimmage, but the Irish have an edge in special teams and projected turnovers – and the home field. My ratings favor Ohio State by just 2 points and Notre Dame applies to a 58-16-1 ATS home underdog momentum situation.
Rush
-
Run Plays
29.7
31.0
-
Run Yards
173.0
93.7
-
YPRP
5.8
3.0
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.3
16.0
-
Pass Att
32.0
28.7
-
Comp %
69.8%
55.8%
-
Pass Yards
335.0
143.7
-
Sacks
0.7
1.7
-
Sack Yards
3.3
10.0
-
Sack %
2.1%
5.5%
-
Pass Plays
32.7
30.3
-
Net Pass Yards
331.7
133.7
-
YPPP
10.2
4.4
Total
-
Total Plays
62.3
61.3
-
Total Yards
504.7
227.3
-
YPPL
8.1
3.7
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.7
-
Int %
2.1%
2.3%
-
Fumbles
0.3
0.7
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.3
Rush
-
Run Plays
33.5
34.8
-
Run Yards
216.3
129.3
-
YPRP
6.5
3.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.0
10.3
-
Pass Att
26.5
24.3
-
Comp %
71.7%
42.3%
-
Pass Yards
304.3
118.5
-
Sacks
1.0
1.5
-
Sack Yards
10.3
12.8
-
Sack %
3.6%
5.8%
-
Pass Plays
27.5
25.8
-
Net Pass Yards
294.0
105.8
-
YPPP
10.7
4.1
Total
-
Total Plays
61.0
60.5
-
Total Yards
510.3
235.0
-
YPPL
8.4
3.9
TO
-
Int
0.0
1.3
-
Int %
0.0%
5.2%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.0
-
Turnovers
0.5
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 @ Indiana |
23-3 |
-30.0
L
|
31/30 |
150/83 |
4.8/2.8 |
0/0 |
22/9 |
36/21 |
261/71 |
1/0 |
0/2 |
7.3/3.1 |
411/154 |
6.1/2.9 |
09/09/23 Youngstown State |
35-7 |
0.0
W
|
26/31 |
162/116 |
6.2/3.7 |
0/0 |
23/17 |
33/26 |
384/118 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
11.3/4.2 |
546/234 |
9.1/4.0 |
09/16/23 Western Kentucky |
63-10 |
-29.0
W
|
32/32 |
207/82 |
6.5/2.6 |
1/2 |
22/22 |
27/39 |
350/212 |
1/1 |
1/1 |
12.5/5.3 |
557/294 |
9.3/4.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
08/26/23 Navy |
42-3 |
-20.5
W
|
32/44 |
193/171 |
6.0/3.9 |
0/0 |
20/3 |
24/7 |
253/24 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
10.5/2.7 |
446/195 |
8.0/3.7 |
09/02/23 Tennessee State |
56-3 |
0.0
W
|
33/34 |
221/96 |
6.7/2.8 |
1/0 |
24/8 |
30/22 |
336/62 |
0/2 |
0/1 |
11.2/2.7 |
557/158 |
8.8/2.8 |
09/09/23 @ No Carolina St. |
45-24 |
-7.5
W
|
33/29 |
213/97 |
6.5/3.3 |
1/0 |
15/20 |
24/48 |
245/220 |
0/3 |
4/1 |
8.8/4.5 |
458/317 |
7.5/4.1 |
09/16/23 Central Mich |
41-17 |
-34.5
L
|
36/32 |
238/153 |
6.6/4.8 |
0/0 |
17/10 |
28/20 |
342/117 |
0/0 |
0/2 |
12.2/5.3 |
580/270 |
9.1/5.0 |