Game Analysis
USC (-17) 38 Notre Dame 22
This is the first time since Sam Darnold took over at quarterback that my math model has not liked USC and the second week in a row that the model leans with Notre Dame – after picking against them every week until last week. The line has caught up to reality regarding these two teams.
Rush
-
Run Plays
34.0
41.7
-
Run Yards
179.3
185.5
-
YPRP
5.6
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.4
16.7
-
Pass Att
32.2
26.9
-
Comp %
60.2%
62.1%
-
Pass Yards
275.6
203.8
-
Sacks
1.7
1.4
-
Sack Yards
10.1
9.0
-
Sack %
5.0%
4.9%
-
Pass Plays
33.9
28.3
-
Net Pass Yards
265.5
194.8
-
YPPP
7.8
6.9
Total
-
Total Plays
67.9
70.0
-
Total Yards
454.9
389.3
-
YPPL
6.7
5.6
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.8
-
Int %
2.2%
3.0%
-
Fumbles
0.6
0.3
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.1
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.4
32.3
-
Run Yards
211.7
131.4
-
YPRP
5.9
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.9
19.2
-
Pass Att
34.2
33.7
-
Comp %
67.0%
56.9%
-
Pass Yards
266.8
222.7
-
Sacks
1.0
2.0
-
Sack Yards
7.0
14.3
-
Sack %
2.8%
5.6%
-
Pass Plays
35.2
35.7
-
Net Pass Yards
259.8
208.5
-
YPPP
7.4
5.8
Total
-
Total Plays
72.5
68.0
-
Total Yards
478.6
354.1
-
YPPL
6.6
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.9
0.9
-
Int %
2.7%
2.7%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.4
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/04/16 @ Texas |
47-50 |
-3.5
L
|
43/59 |
225/237 |
5.2/4.0 |
0/0 |
17/16 |
30/27 |
219/280 |
0/1 |
3/0 |
6.6/10.4 |
444/517 |
5.8/6.0 |
| 09/10/16 Nevada |
39-10 |
-28.0
W
|
45/29 |
245/101 |
5.4/3.5 |
0/0 |
19/12 |
27/26 |
205/128 |
1/1 |
0/0 |
7.6/4.9 |
450/229 |
6.3/4.2 |
| 09/17/16 Michigan St. |
28-36 |
-7.0
L
|
23/51 |
68/262 |
3.0/5.1 |
2/0 |
20/19 |
37/26 |
333/241 |
1/1 |
2/0 |
8.5/9.3 |
401/503 |
6.5/6.5 |
| 09/24/16 Duke |
35-38 |
-20.5
L
|
34/40 |
185/217 |
5.4/5.4 |
2/0 |
22/24 |
37/32 |
370/283 |
1/1 |
3/1 |
9.3/8.6 |
555/500 |
7.5/6.8 |
| 10/01/16 @ Syracuse |
50-33 |
-12.5
W
|
35/35 |
202/132 |
5.8/3.8 |
0/0 |
23/31 |
35/51 |
452/355 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
12.2/6.7 |
654/487 |
9.1/5.5 |
| 10/08/16 @ No Carolina St. |
3-10 |
+1.0
L
|
31/43 |
95/217 |
3.1/5.0 |
2/2 |
9/7 |
26/14 |
37/41 |
1/0 |
5/0 |
1.2/2.9 |
132/258 |
2.1/4.5 |
| 10/15/16 Stanford |
10-17 |
-3.5
L
|
28/37 |
194/184 |
6.9/5.0 |
0/2 |
14/10 |
28/20 |
133/109 |
2/1 |
4/3 |
4.2/4.7 |
327/293 |
5.5/4.9 |
| 10/29/16 Miami Fla |
30-27 |
+2.0
W
|
27/30 |
155/59 |
5.7/2.0 |
2/0 |
25/26 |
38/42 |
259/247 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
6.6/5.3 |
414/306 |
6.3/4.0 |
| 11/05/16 Navy |
27-28 |
-6.5
L
|
28/54 |
148/325 |
5.3/6.0 |
0/0 |
19/5 |
27/8 |
222/48 |
0/0 |
1/0 |
7.9/6.0 |
370/373 |
6.6/6.0 |
| 11/12/16 Army |
44-6 |
-14.0
W
|
42/39 |
263/246 |
6.3/6.3 |
0/0 |
18/2 |
29/8 |
215/2 |
1/1 |
0/2 |
7.4/0.2 |
478/248 |
6.7/5.1 |
| 11/19/16 Virginia Tech |
31-34 |
0.0
L
|
35/43 |
209/182 |
6.0/4.2 |
0/1 |
17/22 |
34/29 |
247/255 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
7.1/8.5 |
456/437 |
6.5/6.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 @ Alabama |
6-52 |
+12.0
L
|
26/42 |
101/263 |
3.9/6.3 |
0/1 |
18/12 |
37/18 |
110/202 |
1/1 |
3/3 |
2.8/9.6 |
211/465 |
3.2/7.4 |
| 09/10/16 Utah St. |
45-7 |
-16.5
W
|
42/24 |
188/66 |
4.5/2.8 |
0/0 |
28/25 |
37/39 |
234/187 |
1/1 |
2/2 |
6.0/4.6 |
422/253 |
5.2/3.9 |
| 09/17/16 @ Stanford |
10-27 |
+8.5
L
|
25/48 |
126/302 |
5.0/6.3 |
0/0 |
23/8 |
35/14 |
227/102 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
6.3/7.3 |
353/404 |
5.8/6.5 |
| 09/23/16 @ Utah |
27-31 |
+3.0
L
|
32/47 |
214/185 |
6.7/3.9 |
3/1 |
18/21 |
26/34 |
251/270 |
0/0 |
1/0 |
9.3/7.9 |
465/455 |
7.9/5.6 |
| 10/01/16 Arizona St. |
41-20 |
-9.5
W
|
33/30 |
157/100 |
4.8/3.3 |
0/0 |
24/19 |
35/37 |
366/203 |
0/1 |
0/3 |
10.5/5.1 |
523/303 |
7.7/4.3 |
| 10/08/16 Colorado |
21-17 |
-5.5
L
|
38/25 |
197/124 |
5.2/5.0 |
3/0 |
25/28 |
37/44 |
347/247 |
1/1 |
1/4 |
9.1/5.1 |
544/371 |
7.2/5.1 |
| 10/15/16 @ Arizona |
48-14 |
-8.5
W
|
41/42 |
323/200 |
7.9/4.8 |
0/2 |
22/11 |
34/26 |
254/127 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
7.5/4.5 |
577/327 |
7.7/4.7 |
| 10/27/16 California |
45-24 |
-16.5
W
|
47/30 |
423/142 |
9.0/4.7 |
2/1 |
18/34 |
25/53 |
220/333 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
8.5/6.3 |
643/475 |
8.8/5.7 |
| 11/05/16 Oregon |
45-20 |
-17.0
W
|
39/27 |
271/102 |
6.9/3.8 |
0/0 |
28/20 |
41/37 |
309/186 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
7.5/4.7 |
580/288 |
7.3/4.3 |
| 11/12/16 @ Washington |
26-13 |
+8.5
W
|
33/22 |
120/61 |
3.6/2.8 |
0/0 |
23/17 |
33/37 |
283/225 |
2/2 |
1/5 |
8.3/5.4 |
403/286 |
6.0/4.5 |
| 11/19/16 @ UCLA |
36-14 |
-12.0
W
|
55/18 |
286/57 |
5.2/3.2 |
0/0 |
25/16 |
36/32 |
257/211 |
2/0 |
1/0 |
6.9/6.6 |
543/268 |
5.9/5.4 |
Notre Dame
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