Game Analysis
Nebraska (-8) 27 NORTHWESTERN 20
My math model favors Nebraska by 9 points but Northwestern applies to a decent 70-35-3 ATS home underdog situation that I could see the Cornhuskers being a bit flat for this game after last week’s exciting win over the nationally prominent Oregon Ducks.
Rush
-
Run Plays
45.4
29.2
-
Run Yards
239.6
154.4
-
YPRP
5.4
5.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.6
18.4
-
Pass Att
26.8
31.6
-
Comp %
58.2%
58.2%
-
Pass Yards
238.4
194.6
-
Sacks
0.6
2.2
-
Sack Yards
4.6
11.8
-
Sack %
2.2%
6.5%
-
Pass Plays
27.4
33.8
-
Net Pass Yards
233.8
182.8
-
YPPP
8.5
5.4
Total
-
Total Plays
72.8
63.0
-
Total Yards
478.0
349.0
-
YPPL
6.6
5.5
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.8
-
Int %
1.5%
5.7%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.2
-
Turnovers
1.2
2.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.8
36.2
-
Run Yards
127.2
163.4
-
YPRP
4.5
4.9
Pass
-
Pass Comp
18.4
24.0
-
Pass Att
33.8
36.2
-
Comp %
54.4%
66.3%
-
Pass Yards
224.0
246.8
-
Sacks
3.2
2.4
-
Sack Yards
16.4
15.4
-
Sack %
8.6%
6.2%
-
Pass Plays
37.0
38.6
-
Net Pass Yards
207.6
231.4
-
YPPP
5.6
6.0
Total
-
Total Plays
68.8
74.8
-
Total Yards
351.2
410.2
-
YPPL
5.1
5.5
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.8
-
Int %
2.4%
2.2%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.2
1.4
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Fresno St. |
43-10 |
-28.5
W
|
50/22 |
294/52 |
5.9/2.4 |
0/0 |
6/24 |
13/43 |
114/222 |
0/2 |
0/4 |
8.8/4.7 |
408/274 |
6.5/4.0 |
| 09/10/16 Wyoming |
52-17 |
-25.0
W
|
40/30 |
162/153 |
4.1/5.1 |
0/1 |
21/16 |
35/32 |
393/182 |
1/5 |
2/1 |
10.6/5.5 |
555/335 |
7.2/5.3 |
| 09/17/16 Oregon |
35-32 |
-3.0
T
|
45/46 |
238/339 |
5.3/7.4 |
1/0 |
17/14 |
34/23 |
196/141 |
0/0 |
1/1 |
5.6/5.9 |
434/480 |
5.4/6.9 |
| 09/24/16 @ Northwestern |
24-13 |
-8.0
W
|
44/28 |
322/154 |
7.3/5.5 |
2/0 |
18/24 |
29/37 |
246/232 |
0/2 |
0/4 |
8.5/5.7 |
568/386 |
7.8/5.6 |
| 10/01/16 Illinois |
31-16 |
-20.5
L
|
48/20 |
205/133 |
4.3/6.7 |
1/0 |
16/14 |
23/23 |
220/137 |
1/0 |
0/1 |
9.6/5.7 |
425/270 |
6.0/6.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/16 Western Mich |
21-22 |
-4.5
L
|
27/45 |
139/208 |
5.1/4.6 |
1/0 |
15/26 |
22/36 |
180/210 |
0/0 |
3/1 |
7.2/5.7 |
319/418 |
6.1/5.1 |
| 09/10/16 Illinois State |
7-9 |
0.0
L
|
28/27 |
99/103 |
3.5/3.8 |
0/0 |
17/30 |
41/41 |
178/273 |
0/2 |
3/3 |
4.0/6.2 |
277/376 |
3.8/5.3 |
| 09/17/16 Duke |
24-13 |
-3.5
W
|
37/31 |
118/140 |
3.2/4.5 |
0/1 |
18/27 |
39/48 |
292/266 |
2/1 |
5/2 |
6.6/5.3 |
410/406 |
5.1/5.0 |
| 09/24/16 Nebraska |
13-24 |
+8.0
L
|
28/44 |
154/322 |
5.5/7.3 |
0/2 |
24/18 |
37/29 |
232/246 |
2/0 |
4/0 |
5.7/8.5 |
386/568 |
5.6/7.8 |
| 10/01/16 @ Iowa |
38-31 |
+13.5
W
|
39/34 |
208/121 |
5.3/3.6 |
1/0 |
18/19 |
30/27 |
156/162 |
0/1 |
1/6 |
5.0/4.9 |
364/283 |
5.2/4.2 |
Northwestern