Game Analysis
IOWA (-3) 25 Nebraska 19
Iowa is down to their 3rd-string quarterback but my math favors the Hawkeyes by 10.3 points using metrics for the entire season and I’ve adjusted for the quarterback situation and for Iowa’s top CB Harris opting out of the rest of the season (worth about a point). The numbers till favor the Hawkeyes.
Rush
-
Run Plays
31.0
27.5
-
Run Yards
149.2
131.8
-
YPRP
4.8
4.8
Pass
-
Pass Comp
22.9
19.4
-
Pass Att
34.0
28.6
-
Comp %
67.4%
67.8%
-
Pass Yards
239.5
221.7
-
Sacks
1.8
2.1
-
Sack Yards
10.6
12.3
-
Sack %
5.0%
6.8%
-
Pass Plays
35.8
30.7
-
Net Pass Yards
228.9
209.4
-
YPPP
6.4
6.8
Total
-
Total Plays
66.8
58.2
-
Total Yards
378.1
341.2
-
YPPL
5.7
5.9
TO
-
Int
1.0
0.9
-
Int %
2.9%
3.1%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.4
Rush
-
Run Plays
38.4
27.6
-
Run Yards
214.8
129.5
-
YPRP
5.6
4.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
12.8
19.9
-
Pass Att
20.6
32.1
-
Comp %
62.1%
62.0%
-
Pass Yards
132.9
195.4
-
Sacks
1.3
2.1
-
Sack Yards
9.0
12.5
-
Sack %
5.8%
6.1%
-
Pass Plays
21.9
34.2
-
Net Pass Yards
123.9
182.9
-
YPPP
5.7
5.4
Total
-
Total Plays
60.3
61.7
-
Total Yards
338.7
312.5
-
YPPL
5.6
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.5
-
Int %
3.1%
4.5%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.6
-
Turnovers
1.0
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/24 UTEP |
40-7 |
-27.5
W
|
46/22 |
270/84 |
5.9/3.8 |
1/0 |
25/16 |
35/26 |
293/145 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
8.1/5.2 |
563/229 |
6.9/4.6 |
| 09/07/24 Colorado |
28-10 |
-6.5
W
|
33/18 |
155/60 |
4.7/3.3 |
0/1 |
23/24 |
30/40 |
181/221 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
5.8/4.9 |
336/281 |
5.3/4.5 |
| 09/14/24 Northern Iowa |
34-3 |
0.0
W
|
22/36 |
142/140 |
6.5/3.9 |
0/0 |
20/16 |
26/32 |
281/148 |
1/1 |
0/1 |
10.8/4.5 |
423/288 |
8.8/4.2 |
| 09/20/24 Illinois |
24-31 |
-7.5
L
|
28/37 |
103/173 |
3.7/4.7 |
0/2 |
24/21 |
35/27 |
270/208 |
1/0 |
4/2 |
6.9/7.2 |
373/381 |
5.6/5.8 |
| 09/28/24 @ Purdue |
28-10 |
-10.0
W
|
31/25 |
169/87 |
5.5/3.5 |
0/0 |
16/18 |
26/25 |
236/139 |
0/1 |
1/5 |
8.7/4.6 |
405/226 |
7.0/4.1 |
| 10/05/24 Rutgers |
14-7 |
-7.0
T
|
35/28 |
136/107 |
3.9/3.8 |
0/0 |
13/15 |
27/37 |
101/157 |
1/2 |
4/4 |
3.3/3.8 |
237/264 |
3.6/3.8 |
| 10/19/24 @ Indiana |
7-56 |
+6.0
L
|
27/29 |
68/233 |
2.5/8.0 |
2/0 |
29/24 |
46/30 |
233/271 |
3/1 |
2/1 |
4.9/8.7 |
301/504 |
4.0/8.4 |
| 10/26/24 @ Ohio St. |
17-21 |
+25.5
W
|
30/26 |
144/78 |
4.8/3.0 |
0/0 |
21/13 |
32/16 |
131/211 |
1/1 |
3/2 |
3.7/11.7 |
275/289 |
4.2/6.6 |
| 11/02/24 UCLA |
20-27 |
-7.0
L
|
34/27 |
136/153 |
4.0/5.7 |
0/0 |
16/17 |
34/25 |
186/207 |
2/0 |
4/2 |
4.9/7.7 |
322/360 |
4.5/6.7 |
| 11/16/24 @ USC |
20-28 |
+7.0
L
|
23/30 |
125/195 |
5.4/6.5 |
0/1 |
27/25 |
38/35 |
185/252 |
2/1 |
2/1 |
4.6/7.0 |
310/447 |
4.9/6.8 |
| 11/23/24 Wisconsin |
44-25 |
-1.5
W
|
36/25 |
180/115 |
5.0/4.6 |
1/1 |
28/20 |
38/30 |
293/292 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
7.7/9.7 |
473/407 |
6.4/7.4 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/24 Illinois State |
40-0 |
0.0
W
|
40/29 |
224/92 |
5.6/3.2 |
0/2 |
21/14 |
31/29 |
249/131 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
8.0/4.0 |
473/223 |
6.7/3.6 |
| 09/07/24 Iowa St. |
19-20 |
-3.0
L
|
37/27 |
211/96 |
5.7/3.6 |
0/0 |
13/23 |
29/35 |
92/265 |
2/1 |
1/1 |
3.1/7.4 |
303/361 |
4.5/5.7 |
| 09/14/24 Troy |
38-21 |
-23.0
L
|
43/17 |
298/54 |
6.9/3.2 |
0/0 |
20/16 |
24/26 |
164/202 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
6.3/6.7 |
462/256 |
6.7/5.4 |
| 09/21/24 @ Minnesota |
31-14 |
-3.0
W
|
44/20 |
285/84 |
6.5/4.2 |
0/0 |
11/22 |
19/37 |
49/204 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
2.5/5.4 |
334/288 |
5.2/5.0 |
| 10/05/24 @ Ohio St. |
7-35 |
+18.0
L
|
23/38 |
75/212 |
3.3/5.6 |
2/1 |
15/21 |
21/25 |
90/199 |
1/1 |
4/1 |
3.6/7.7 |
165/411 |
3.4/6.4 |
| 10/12/24 Washington |
40-16 |
-3.0
W
|
36/26 |
238/151 |
6.6/5.8 |
0/1 |
8/34 |
14/50 |
96/243 |
0/1 |
1/4 |
6.4/4.5 |
334/394 |
6.5/4.9 |
| 10/19/24 @ Michigan St. |
20-32 |
-6.0
L
|
23/37 |
118/233 |
5.1/6.3 |
0/0 |
11/22 |
23/30 |
150/237 |
1/1 |
0/2 |
6.5/7.4 |
268/470 |
5.8/6.8 |
| 10/26/24 Northwestern |
40-14 |
-14.5
W
|
39/22 |
203/70 |
5.2/3.2 |
0/1 |
16/14 |
27/27 |
152/78 |
1/2 |
0/2 |
5.6/2.7 |
355/148 |
5.4/2.9 |
| 11/02/24 Wisconsin |
42-10 |
-3.0
W
|
52/27 |
342/112 |
6.6/4.1 |
0/0 |
7/15 |
10/29 |
81/132 |
0/2 |
1/1 |
7.4/4.4 |
423/244 |
6.7/4.3 |
| 11/08/24 @ UCLA |
17-20 |
-6.5
L
|
28/37 |
91/211 |
3.3/5.7 |
1/1 |
9/21 |
15/34 |
174/204 |
2/2 |
3/0 |
9.7/6.0 |
265/415 |
5.8/5.8 |
| 11/23/24 @ Maryland |
29-13 |
-6.0
W
|
57/23 |
278/110 |
4.9/4.8 |
1/0 |
10/17 |
14/31 |
66/117 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
4.4/3.4 |
344/227 |
4.8/4.0 |
Nebraska
@ 
Iowa