(22) Navy @

South Florida

Fri, Oct 28
ESPN2
4:00 PM Pacific
WatchESPN
Rotation: 113
Odds: South Florida -6.5, Total: 65.5

Game Analysis

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SOUTH FLORIDA (-6)  34   Navy  33

Navy is 59-24 ATS as a road underdog over many years, including 18-8 ATS under current head coach Ken Niumatalolo. I can see that spread success continuing tonight, as Navy’s option should work pretty well against a South Florida defensive front that has trouble tackling, as evidenced by the 233 rushing yards at 5.6 yards per rushing play that they’ve allowed this season. USF will score plenty of points too, but their run-centric offense is a good matchup for a Navy defense that defends the run well (4.4 yprp allowed to teams that would combine to average 4.8 yprp against an average team) but has struggled to defend the pass (7.6 yppp allowed). Quinton Flowers will hit some big pass plays but the value here is with the military dog.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Navy
  • South Florida
NAVY
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 53.0 37.0
  • Run Yards 272.6 149.2
  • YPRP 5.4 4.4




Pass





  • Pass Comp 6.8 18.4
  • Pass Att 11.8 28.8
  • Comp % 57.6% 63.9%
  • Pass Yards 122.0 248.2
  • Sacks 2.2 2.0
  • Sack Yards 13.0 14.6
  • Sack % 15.7% 6.5%
  • Pass Plays 14.0 30.8
  • Net Pass Yards 109.0 233.6
  • YPPP 7.8 7.6

Total

  • Total Plays 67.0 67.8
  • Total Yards 394.6 397.4
  • YPPL 5.9 5.9

TO


  • Int 0.4 0.6
  • Int % 3.4% 2.1%
  • Fumbles 1.0 0.8
  • Turnovers 1.4 1.4
 
  • Points 33.8 25.0
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