Navy @

Memphis

Thu, Oct 14
4:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 113
Odds: Memphis -10.5, Total: 56

Game Analysis

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MEMPHIS (-10.5)  33   Navy  19

Memphis has lost 3 consecutive games by an average margin of just 4 points but the Tigers played very well last week at Tulsa (outgained Tulsa by 192 yards but were -3 in turnovers) and should break their losing skid against a bad Navy team that has averaged only 17.6 points per game and 4.5 yards per play on offense while allowing 32.2 points and 5.8 yppl on defense to a schedule of teams that is only 3 points better than average collectively.

Memphis is also a bit better than average  on a national scale and should win this game comfortably on their home turf with quarterback Seth Henigan (8.1 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 7.1 yppp to an average QB) taking advantage of a bad Navy pass defense that’s surrendered 7.7 yppp to quarterbacks that would combine to average 6.7 yppp against an average defensive team.

I’d certainly lean with Memphis if the line drops back down to -10 or less.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Navy
  • Memphis
NAVY
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 54.0 33.0
  • Run Yards 245.0 137.2
  • YPRP 4.5 4.2




Pass





  • Pass Comp 4.0 18.4
  • Pass Att 9.0 28.0
  • Comp % 44.4% 65.7%
  • Pass Yards 67.4 232.8
  • Sacks 3.4 1.2
  • Sack Yards 15.4 7.8
  • Sack % 27.4% 4.1%
  • Pass Plays 12.4 29.2
  • Net Pass Yards 52.0 225.0
  • YPPP 4.2 7.7

Total

  • Total Plays 66.4 62.2
  • Total Yards 297.0 362.2
  • YPPL 4.5 5.8

TO


  • Int 0.4 0.8
  • Int % 4.4% 2.9%
  • Fumbles 0.8 0.6
  • Turnovers 1.2 1.4
 
  • Points 17.6 32.2
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