Game Analysis
Lean – Navy (+14) 13 AIR FORCE 23
Teams the run the triple-option offense know how to defend that offense, which is why the under is now 50-15-3 in games between Navy, Army, and Air Force. The market has adjusted for that trend, as the totals have been much lower recently. However, the last 4 such games, all with totals of 40 points or lower, have still gone under with an average of just 26.5 total points scored.
Historically, the option team versus option team games have been about 6 points lower scoring than my math model projects, which puts this one at 36 points. I lean with Navy at +14 or more as big underdogs in games with low totals tends to do well and my math calls for a 10 point game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
61.3
24.7
-
Run Yards
202.7
90.7
-
YPRP
3.3
3.7
Pass
-
Pass Comp
5.0
22.0
-
Pass Att
11.3
33.7
-
Comp %
44.1%
65.3%
-
Pass Yards
128.7
290.3
-
Sacks
1.0
3.7
-
Sack Yards
2.7
20.0
-
Sack %
8.1%
9.8%
-
Pass Plays
12.3
37.3
-
Net Pass Yards
126.0
270.3
-
YPPP
10.2
7.2
Total
-
Total Plays
73.7
62.0
-
Total Yards
328.7
361.0
-
YPPL
4.5
5.8
TO
-
Int
0.7
0.3
-
Int %
5.9%
1.0%
-
Fumbles
1.7
0.7
-
Turnovers
2.3
1.0
Rush
-
Run Plays
60.0
26.3
-
Run Yards
390.3
121.3
-
YPRP
6.5
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
3.0
13.5
-
Pass Att
7.0
24.0
-
Comp %
42.9%
56.3%
-
Pass Yards
74.5
139.5
-
Sacks
0.5
0.3
-
Sack Yards
1.8
2.3
-
Sack %
6.7%
1.0%
-
Pass Plays
7.5
24.3
-
Net Pass Yards
72.8
137.3
-
YPPP
9.7
5.7
Total
-
Total Plays
67.5
50.5
-
Total Yards
463.0
258.5
-
YPPL
6.9
5.1
TO
-
Int
0.0
0.8
-
Int %
0.0%
3.1%
-
Fumbles
1.3
0.8
-
Turnovers
1.3
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 Delaware |
7-14 |
0.0
L
|
63/22 |
189/40 |
3.0/1.8 |
3/1 |
5/20 |
13/32 |
135/164 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
10.4/4.4 |
324/204 |
4.3/3.5 |
09/10/22 Memphis |
13-37 |
+5.0
L
|
56/27 |
217/118 |
3.9/4.4 |
1/0 |
3/24 |
11/35 |
97/391 |
2/0 |
2/4 |
7.5/10.0 |
314/509 |
4.6/7.7 |
09/24/22 @ East Carolina |
23-20 |
+16.5
W
|
65/25 |
202/114 |
3.1/4.6 |
1/1 |
7/22 |
10/34 |
146/256 |
0/1 |
1/2 |
13.3/7.1 |
348/370 |
4.6/6.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/22 Northern Iowa |
48-17 |
0.0
W
|
62/24 |
440/99 |
7.1/4.1 |
2/1 |
3/20 |
6/32 |
109/283 |
0/1 |
0/0 |
18.2/8.8 |
549/382 |
8.1/6.8 |
09/10/22 Colorado |
41-10 |
-17.5
W
|
65/30 |
482/128 |
7.4/4.3 |
3/2 |
1/5 |
5/21 |
8/42 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
1.6/1.9 |
490/170 |
7.0/3.3 |
09/16/22 @ Wyoming |
14-17 |
-16.5
L
|
39/33 |
173/187 |
4.4/5.7 |
0/0 |
7/18 |
14/23 |
99/162 |
0/1 |
1/0 |
6.6/7.0 |
272/349 |
5.0/6.2 |
09/23/22 Nevada |
48-20 |
-24.0
W
|
74/18 |
466/71 |
6.3/3.9 |
0/0 |
1/11 |
3/20 |
75/62 |
0/0 |
1/0 |
18.8/3.1 |
541/133 |
6.9/3.5 |