Game Analysis
GEORGIA (-10.5) 35 Mississippi 24
The offenses of these two teams rate the same on a compensated yards per play basis and most people think that Georgia’s defense is night and day better than the Ole Miss defense, but that’s not the case. Georgia has been 1.2 yppl better than average defensively this season but Mississippi has faced a schedule of really good offensive teams that include Alabama and LSU, and the Rebels have allowed just 5.2 yppl. That’s good when you consider that the offenses they’ve faced would average 6.1 yppl against an average defensive team. The Rebels’ defense is only 0.4 yppl worse than Georgia’s defense and I favor Georgia by just 8.5 points in this game. Of course, Georgia tends to play better when facing better teams so I think the number is right and I wouldn’t bet this game.
Rush
-
Run Plays
37.1
35.6
-
Run Yards
196.7
163.1
-
YPRP
5.3
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
19.3
20.2
-
Pass Att
29.7
31.8
-
Comp %
65.1%
63.6%
-
Pass Yards
297.7
232.7
-
Sacks
2.2
3.6
-
Sack Yards
13.6
23.7
-
Sack %
7.0%
10.1%
-
Pass Plays
31.9
35.3
-
Net Pass Yards
284.1
209.0
-
YPPP
8.9
5.9
Total
-
Total Plays
69.0
70.9
-
Total Yards
480.8
372.1
-
YPPL
7.0
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.6
1.1
-
Int %
1.9%
3.5%
-
Fumbles
0.1
0.4
-
Turnovers
0.7
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.6
24.0
-
Run Yards
174.3
107.6
-
YPRP
5.3
4.5
Pass
-
Pass Comp
25.6
18.4
-
Pass Att
35.3
33.4
-
Comp %
72.7%
55.1%
-
Pass Yards
322.9
183.0
-
Sacks
1.0
2.3
-
Sack Yards
6.0
15.0
-
Sack %
2.8%
6.3%
-
Pass Plays
36.3
35.6
-
Net Pass Yards
316.9
168.0
-
YPPP
8.7
4.7
Total
-
Total Plays
68.9
59.6
-
Total Yards
491.1
275.6
-
YPPL
7.1
4.6
TO
-
Int
0.5
1.1
-
Int %
1.4%
3.4%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.1
-
Turnovers
1.0
1.3
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 Mercer |
73-7 |
0.0
W
|
33/31 |
164/130 |
5.0/4.2 |
1/2 |
29/17 |
41/31 |
524/115 |
0/1 |
0/4 |
12.8/3.3 |
688/245 |
9.3/3.7 |
09/09/23 @ Tulane |
37-20 |
-13.0
W
|
31/41 |
106/171 |
3.4/4.2 |
0/1 |
18/15 |
28/37 |
257/190 |
1/1 |
4/4 |
8.0/4.6 |
363/361 |
5.8/4.4 |
09/16/23 Georgia Tech |
48-23 |
-17.5
W
|
36/45 |
264/174 |
7.3/3.9 |
0/0 |
10/26 |
18/42 |
250/281 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
13.2/6.4 |
514/455 |
9.3/5.1 |
09/23/23 @ Alabama |
10-24 |
+7.0
L
|
24/37 |
88/182 |
3.7/4.9 |
0/0 |
21/17 |
36/21 |
213/191 |
1/1 |
5/5 |
5.2/7.3 |
301/373 |
4.6/5.9 |
09/30/23 LSU |
55-49 |
+3.0
W
|
49/33 |
317/242 |
6.5/7.3 |
0/1 |
26/27 |
39/36 |
389/395 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
10.0/9.9 |
706/637 |
8.0/8.7 |
10/07/23 Arkansas |
27-20 |
-11.5
L
|
42/24 |
213/71 |
5.1/3.0 |
0/0 |
16/25 |
25/39 |
137/219 |
0/2 |
2/5 |
5.1/5.0 |
350/290 |
5.1/4.3 |
10/21/23 @ Auburn |
28-21 |
-6.0
W
|
50/36 |
267/169 |
5.3/4.7 |
0/0 |
10/12 |
18/17 |
175/106 |
2/2 |
4/3 |
8.0/5.3 |
442/275 |
6.1/4.9 |
10/28/23 Vanderbilt |
33-7 |
-24.5
W
|
37/38 |
215/172 |
5.8/4.5 |
0/0 |
20/12 |
29/21 |
230/84 |
1/2 |
3/4 |
7.2/3.4 |
445/256 |
6.4/4.1 |
11/04/23 Texas A&M |
38-35 |
-3.0
T
|
32/35 |
136/157 |
4.3/4.5 |
0/0 |
24/31 |
33/42 |
382/300 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
11.2/7.0 |
518/457 |
7.8/5.9 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2023 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/02/23 Tennessee-Martin |
48-7 |
0.0
W
|
30/28 |
159/138 |
5.3/4.9 |
0/0 |
26/15 |
39/33 |
375/97 |
0/1 |
0/1 |
9.6/2.9 |
534/235 |
7.7/3.8 |
09/09/23 Ball St. |
45-3 |
-42.0
T
|
27/28 |
114/48 |
4.2/1.7 |
0/0 |
25/16 |
33/37 |
311/117 |
1/3 |
0/0 |
9.4/3.2 |
425/165 |
7.1/2.5 |
09/16/23 South Carolina |
24-14 |
-27.5
L
|
41/13 |
202/68 |
4.9/5.2 |
0/0 |
27/22 |
35/42 |
257/241 |
0/2 |
2/3 |
6.9/5.4 |
459/309 |
5.9/5.3 |
09/23/23 UAB |
49-21 |
-42.5
L
|
35/25 |
178/91 |
5.1/3.6 |
2/0 |
28/30 |
40/50 |
409/224 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
10.0/4.4 |
587/315 |
7.7/4.1 |
09/30/23 @ Auburn |
27-20 |
-14.5
L
|
28/40 |
116/234 |
4.1/5.9 |
1/0 |
23/11 |
33/20 |
308/73 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
9.3/3.2 |
424/307 |
7.0/4.9 |
10/07/23 Kentucky |
51-13 |
-14.5
W
|
31/21 |
156/83 |
5.0/4.0 |
0/0 |
33/10 |
42/26 |
451/100 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
10.7/3.4 |
607/183 |
8.3/3.7 |
10/14/23 @ Vanderbilt |
37-20 |
-32.5
L
|
35/13 |
310/26 |
8.9/2.0 |
1/0 |
29/19 |
39/29 |
243/195 |
1/1 |
2/1 |
5.9/6.5 |
553/221 |
7.3/5.1 |
10/28/23 @ Florida |
43-20 |
-14.0
W
|
35/21 |
174/142 |
5.0/6.8 |
0/1 |
19/25 |
28/34 |
315/200 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
11.3/5.3 |
489/342 |
7.8/5.8 |
11/04/23 Missouri |
30-21 |
-15.5
L
|
29/31 |
144/169 |
5.0/5.5 |
0/0 |
21/14 |
32/29 |
241/194 |
0/1 |
3/3 |
6.9/6.1 |
385/363 |
6.0/5.8 |