Game Analysis
Strong Opinion – FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (-9) 33 Middle Tennessee State 19
Middle Tennessee State has the worst defensive rating in the nation among the 134 FCS teams and giving up 36 points and 7.2 yards per play to New Mexico State last week is an indication that they’re not getting any better (New Mexico State’s offense ranks 128th in compensated yards per play). FIU’s offense rates at 0.5 yards per play worse than average on a national scale, which is a bit better than the average rating of the team’s that MTSU has given up 6.8 yppl to.
Middle Tennessee State will be challenged to keep up, as the Blue Raiders rate at 0.4 yppl worse than average on offense and are facing an FIU defense that is just 0.1 yppl worse than average, which is really good for a CUSA team. MTSU has not scored more than 21 points in any game this season and they’ll likely be held to less than 21 points in this game while FIU scores at least 30 points.
FIU is a Strong Opinion at -9.5 or less.
Rush
-
Run Plays
24.8
35.8
-
Run Yards
102.9
217.7
-
YPRP
4.1
6.1
Pass
-
Pass Comp
23.1
19.4
-
Pass Att
35.9
28.6
-
Comp %
64.3%
67.6%
-
Pass Yards
260.6
246.1
-
Sacks
2.6
1.8
-
Sack Yards
15.2
11.6
-
Sack %
6.6%
6.0%
-
Pass Plays
38.5
30.5
-
Net Pass Yards
245.5
234.5
-
YPPP
6.4
7.7
Total
-
Total Plays
63.3
66.3
-
Total Yards
348.4
452.2
-
YPPL
5.5
6.8
TO
-
Int
0.8
0.5
-
Int %
2.3%
1.6%
-
Fumbles
0.8
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.6
0.9
Rush
-
Run Plays
30.0
38.9
-
Run Yards
130.6
202.5
-
YPRP
4.4
5.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
17.0
17.1
-
Pass Att
27.8
29.0
-
Comp %
61.1%
58.9%
-
Pass Yards
220.6
170.5
-
Sacks
1.8
1.6
-
Sack Yards
10.0
7.9
-
Sack %
6.1%
5.1%
-
Pass Plays
29.6
30.6
-
Net Pass Yards
210.6
162.5
-
YPPP
7.1
5.3
Total
-
Total Plays
59.6
69.5
-
Total Yards
341.1
365.0
-
YPPL
5.7
5.3
TO
-
Int
0.9
0.9
-
Int %
3.3%
3.1%
-
Fumbles
0.7
0.5
-
Turnovers
1.6
1.4
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/24 Tennessee Tech |
21-2 |
0.0
W
|
32/18 |
125/86 |
3.9/4.8 |
0/0 |
20/29 |
35/45 |
203/255 |
1/1 |
1/2 |
5.6/5.4 |
328/341 |
4.8/5.2 |
| 09/07/24 @ Mississippi |
3-52 |
+43.0
L
|
23/39 |
45/269 |
2.0/6.9 |
1/0 |
26/28 |
41/31 |
233/403 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
5.4/11.9 |
278/672 |
4.2/9.2 |
| 09/14/24 Western Kentucky |
21-49 |
+7.0
L
|
20/31 |
61/164 |
3.1/5.3 |
0/0 |
24/31 |
31/37 |
437/448 |
1/0 |
3/2 |
12.9/11.5 |
498/612 |
9.2/8.7 |
| 09/21/24 Duke |
17-45 |
+14.5
L
|
35/31 |
202/160 |
5.8/5.2 |
3/0 |
22/14 |
35/21 |
104/203 |
1/1 |
5/1 |
2.6/9.2 |
306/363 |
4.1/6.8 |
| 09/28/24 @ Memphis |
7-24 |
+26.0
W
|
21/31 |
64/189 |
3.0/6.1 |
2/1 |
21/26 |
31/41 |
239/227 |
0/0 |
4/0 |
6.8/5.5 |
303/416 |
5.4/5.8 |
| 10/10/24 @ Louisiana Tech |
21-48 |
+4.0
L
|
18/40 |
83/241 |
4.6/6.0 |
1/1 |
24/21 |
39/28 |
254/312 |
1/0 |
2/3 |
6.2/10.1 |
337/553 |
5.7/7.8 |
| 10/15/24 Kennesaw State |
14-5 |
-9.0
T
|
29/33 |
125/148 |
4.3/4.5 |
0/0 |
19/10 |
34/27 |
177/94 |
0/2 |
4/1 |
4.7/3.4 |
302/242 |
4.5/4.0 |
| 10/23/24 @ Jacksonville State |
20-42 |
+20.5
L
|
19/51 |
70/453 |
3.7/8.9 |
0/1 |
25/10 |
36/18 |
295/127 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
8.0/6.4 |
365/580 |
6.5/8.2 |
| 11/02/24 @ UTEP |
20-13 |
+2.0
W
|
27/39 |
95/173 |
3.5/4.4 |
1/0 |
21/18 |
35/33 |
238/132 |
2/1 |
1/3 |
6.6/3.7 |
333/305 |
5.3/4.1 |
| 11/09/24 Liberty |
17-37 |
+11.5
L
|
21/47 |
92/351 |
4.4/7.5 |
1/2 |
22/12 |
33/16 |
243/157 |
0/0 |
5/1 |
6.4/9.2 |
335/508 |
5.7/7.9 |
| 11/23/24 New Mexico St. |
21-36 |
-3.5
L
|
28/34 |
170/161 |
6.1/4.7 |
0/0 |
30/14 |
45/18 |
277/221 |
2/0 |
0/2 |
6.2/11.1 |
447/382 |
6.1/7.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2024 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 08/31/24 @ Indiana |
7-31 |
+20.5
L
|
26/37 |
77/253 |
3.0/6.8 |
0/0 |
20/15 |
29/25 |
105/175 |
1/0 |
4/2 |
3.2/6.5 |
182/428 |
3.1/6.7 |
| 09/07/24 Central Mich |
52-16 |
+5.0
W
|
31/38 |
191/184 |
6.2/4.8 |
0/1 |
10/23 |
18/44 |
119/169 |
0/5 |
1/2 |
6.3/3.7 |
310/353 |
6.2/4.2 |
| 09/14/24 @ Florida Atl. |
20-38 |
+5.0
L
|
24/39 |
92/212 |
3.8/5.4 |
2/0 |
21/12 |
34/23 |
268/150 |
2/0 |
1/1 |
7.7/6.3 |
360/362 |
6.1/5.7 |
| 09/21/24 Monmouth |
42-45 |
0.0
L
|
24/34 |
134/187 |
5.6/5.5 |
2/0 |
23/35 |
32/51 |
355/353 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
10.8/6.8 |
489/540 |
8.6/6.3 |
| 09/28/24 Louisiana Tech |
17-10 |
+2.5
W
|
30/27 |
117/85 |
3.9/3.1 |
1/1 |
18/26 |
32/37 |
200/205 |
0/0 |
3/2 |
5.7/5.3 |
317/290 |
4.9/4.4 |
| 10/08/24 @ Liberty |
24-31 |
+19.0
W
|
30/48 |
105/294 |
3.5/6.1 |
1/1 |
19/9 |
29/16 |
236/115 |
1/0 |
2/2 |
7.6/6.4 |
341/409 |
5.6/6.2 |
| 10/16/24 @ UTEP |
21-30 |
-5.5
L
|
29/44 |
109/209 |
3.8/4.8 |
0/1 |
17/14 |
28/23 |
186/159 |
4/1 |
3/1 |
6.0/6.6 |
295/368 |
4.9/5.4 |
| 10/22/24 Sam Houston State |
7-10 |
+5.5
W
|
34/41 |
140/138 |
4.1/3.4 |
0/0 |
8/14 |
21/21 |
60/76 |
1/0 |
2/0 |
2.6/3.6 |
200/214 |
3.5/3.5 |
| 10/29/24 New Mexico St. |
34-13 |
-7.5
W
|
32/41 |
101/223 |
3.2/5.4 |
0/0 |
18/7 |
27/19 |
338/23 |
0/2 |
0/2 |
12.5/1.1 |
439/246 |
7.4/4.0 |
| 11/16/24 @ Jacksonville State |
31-34 |
+13.5
W
|
34/42 |
161/256 |
4.7/6.1 |
1/0 |
21/15 |
34/28 |
258/191 |
0/0 |
0/3 |
7.6/6.2 |
419/447 |
6.2/6.1 |
| 11/23/24 @ Kennesaw State |
26-27 |
-9.0
L
|
36/37 |
209/186 |
5.8/5.0 |
1/1 |
12/18 |
22/32 |
191/172 |
1/1 |
3/1 |
7.6/5.2 |
400/358 |
6.6/5.1 |
Middle Tenn St
@ 
FIU