Game Analysis
OHIO STATE (-5) 23 Michigan 14
OHIO STATE (-5) 23 Michigan 18 (with Speight at QB)
Michigan backup quarterback John O’Korn is horrible. It’s not just the pathetic 3.6 yards per pass play on 46 pass plays this season but O’Korn also averaged just 4.2 yppp on 156 pass plays against FBS competition as the starting quarterback at Houston in 2014 before being replaced by Greg Ward III, who posted much better numbers in the same offense. With O’Korn at quarterback the value is with Ohio State and even more so on the Under (45).
NOTE: It appears as if Wilton Speight could start for Michigan after all, as he is warming up and apparently throwing pretty well.
If Speight plays and is 100% (not likely) then I’d predict the score at Ohio State (-5) 23 Michigan 19 with no opinion on the side and still favoring the Under, but not nearly as strongly as if O’Korn were playing.
Rush
-
Run Plays
42.4
32.1
-
Run Yards
237.8
114.0
-
YPRP
5.8
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
16.7
10.8
-
Pass Att
26.9
24.5
-
Comp %
62.2%
44.3%
-
Pass Yards
215.8
137.0
-
Sacks
1.5
3.3
-
Sack Yards
9.4
22.0
-
Sack %
5.1%
11.8%
-
Pass Plays
28.4
27.7
-
Net Pass Yards
206.5
115.0
-
YPPP
7.3
4.1
Total
-
Total Plays
70.7
59.8
-
Total Yards
453.6
251.0
-
YPPL
6.4
4.2
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.0
-
Int %
1.3%
4.1%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.5
-
Turnovers
0.7
1.5
Rush
-
Run Plays
44.1
32.6
-
Run Yards
266.3
127.4
-
YPRP
6.2
4.4
Pass
-
Pass Comp
20.1
13.6
-
Pass Att
31.1
29.8
-
Comp %
64.6%
45.4%
-
Pass Yards
230.0
159.6
-
Sacks
1.6
2.2
-
Sack Yards
9.1
15.4
-
Sack %
4.7%
6.8%
-
Pass Plays
32.6
32.0
-
Net Pass Yards
220.9
144.2
-
YPPP
6.8
4.5
Total
-
Total Plays
76.7
64.6
-
Total Yards
496.3
286.9
-
YPPL
6.5
4.4
TO
-
Int
0.4
1.6
-
Int %
1.2%
5.2%
-
Fumbles
0.4
0.5
-
Turnovers
0.7
2.0
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Hawaii |
63-3 |
-40.0
W
|
39/32 |
306/126 |
7.8/3.9 |
0/0 |
17/12 |
20/23 |
206/110 |
1/2 |
0/4 |
10.3/4.1 |
512/236 |
8.7/4.0 |
09/10/16 UCF |
51-14 |
-35.5
W
|
38/43 |
142/293 |
3.7/6.8 |
0/2 |
27/6 |
41/22 |
316/38 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
7.3/1.5 |
458/331 |
5.7/4.9 |
09/17/16 Colorado |
45-28 |
-19.0
L
|
38/28 |
190/93 |
5.0/3.3 |
1/0 |
16/18 |
30/34 |
207/233 |
0/0 |
3/4 |
6.3/6.1 |
397/326 |
5.6/4.9 |
09/24/16 Penn St. |
49-10 |
-19.0
W
|
46/22 |
330/97 |
7.2/4.4 |
0/1 |
21/16 |
35/27 |
189/94 |
0/1 |
0/6 |
5.4/2.8 |
519/191 |
6.4/3.5 |
10/01/16 Wisconsin |
14-7 |
-10.0
L
|
40/25 |
162/97 |
4.1/3.9 |
0/0 |
20/9 |
32/25 |
187/75 |
1/3 |
4/2 |
5.2/2.8 |
349/172 |
4.6/3.3 |
10/08/16 @ Rutgers |
78-0 |
-29.5
W
|
53/32 |
485/69 |
9.2/2.2 |
1/1 |
8/2 |
16/18 |
119/-23 |
0/0 |
0/4 |
7.4/-1.0 |
604/46 |
8.8/0.9 |
10/22/16 Illinois |
41-8 |
-37.0
L
|
53/21 |
293/97 |
5.5/4.6 |
1/1 |
20/4 |
28/15 |
274/82 |
0/1 |
2/1 |
9.1/5.1 |
567/179 |
6.8/4.8 |
10/29/16 @ Michigan St. |
32-23 |
-24.5
L
|
41/39 |
194/241 |
4.7/6.2 |
0/0 |
16/13 |
25/28 |
244/174 |
1/1 |
0/2 |
9.8/5.8 |
438/415 |
6.6/6.0 |
11/05/16 Maryland |
59-3 |
-31.0
W
|
38/34 |
274/100 |
7.2/2.9 |
0/0 |
21/17 |
27/28 |
386/267 |
0/2 |
1/4 |
13.8/8.3 |
660/367 |
10.0/5.6 |
11/12/16 @ Iowa |
13-14 |
-21.5
L
|
33/44 |
108/191 |
3.3/4.3 |
1/0 |
11/8 |
26/19 |
93/46 |
1/1 |
2/3 |
3.3/2.1 |
201/237 |
3.3/3.6 |
11/19/16 Indiana |
20-10 |
-25.0
L
|
47/33 |
235/92 |
5.0/2.8 |
0/0 |
7/14 |
16/30 |
50/169 |
0/0 |
2/3 |
2.8/5.1 |
285/261 |
4.4/4.0 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
2016 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
09/03/16 Bowling Green |
77-10 |
-28.0
W
|
55/26 |
362/92 |
6.6/3.5 |
0/0 |
27/21 |
39/44 |
417/152 |
1/3 |
0/2 |
10.7/3.3 |
779/244 |
8.3/3.4 |
09/10/16 Tulsa |
48-3 |
-28.0
W
|
46/34 |
277/98 |
6.0/2.9 |
1/2 |
14/15 |
22/32 |
145/109 |
0/4 |
1/2 |
6.3/3.2 |
422/207 |
6.1/3.0 |
09/17/16 @ Oklahoma |
45-24 |
-1.0
W
|
45/32 |
303/204 |
6.7/6.4 |
0/0 |
14/17 |
20/32 |
144/200 |
0/2 |
1/3 |
6.9/5.7 |
447/404 |
6.8/6.0 |
10/01/16 Rutgers |
58-0 |
-38.0
W
|
53/34 |
410/110 |
7.7/3.2 |
0/0 |
25/3 |
34/16 |
259/15 |
1/0 |
0/3 |
7.6/0.8 |
669/125 |
7.7/2.4 |
10/08/16 Indiana |
38-17 |
-28.0
L
|
49/39 |
296/103 |
6.0/2.6 |
1/1 |
9/14 |
21/28 |
92/180 |
1/1 |
1/1 |
4.2/6.2 |
388/283 |
5.5/4.2 |
10/15/16 @ Wisconsin |
30-23 |
-10.5
L
|
43/42 |
197/270 |
4.6/6.4 |
0/0 |
17/16 |
29/28 |
214/180 |
1/1 |
2/4 |
6.9/5.6 |
411/450 |
5.6/6.1 |
10/22/16 @ Penn St. |
21-24 |
-19.5
L
|
34/32 |
211/166 |
6.2/5.2 |
0/1 |
28/8 |
43/23 |
207/153 |
0/0 |
6/1 |
4.2/6.4 |
418/319 |
5.0/5.7 |
10/29/16 Northwestern |
24-20 |
-23.0
L
|
38/28 |
220/156 |
5.8/5.6 |
0/0 |
21/23 |
32/44 |
217/250 |
0/1 |
1/1 |
6.6/5.6 |
437/406 |
6.2/5.6 |
11/05/16 Nebraska |
62-3 |
-17.0
W
|
42/24 |
238/78 |
5.7/3.3 |
1/0 |
32/9 |
44/33 |
352/126 |
0/2 |
0/0 |
8.0/3.8 |
590/204 |
6.9/3.6 |
11/12/16 @ Maryland |
62-3 |
-29.5
W
|
41/35 |
267/71 |
6.5/2.0 |
0/1 |
24/15 |
36/27 |
316/107 |
0/1 |
2/5 |
8.3/3.3 |
583/178 |
7.4/2.7 |
11/19/16 @ Michigan St. |
17-16 |
-21.5
L
|
39/33 |
248/222 |
6.4/6.7 |
1/0 |
10/8 |
22/21 |
67/114 |
0/2 |
3/2 |
2.7/5.0 |
315/336 |
4.9/6.0 |