Game Analysis
Miami-Ohio (+1) 21 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 20
Northern Illinois has had to play their 3rd and 4th string quarterbacks the last 3 games (and apparently the rest of the season) and their two star running backs, Waylee and Brown, were both out last week and are questionable tonight. Those two have combined for 1455 yards at 5.7 ypr this season and freshman Jaiden Cradle averaged just 3.8 ypr on 36 runs last week. QB Justin Lynch added 83 yards on 6 runs but it’s doubtful that performance can be repeated given that he’s averaged 4.8 yards on 53 runs for the season.
If one or both of NIU’s stud running backs is out then the value leans towards Miami (if both are out then I get Miami-Ohio by 3.2 points). Miami’s QB Brett Gabbert is also questionable with an ankle sprain, but he hasn’t been much better than his backup, who has played more snaps this season.
Rush
-
Run Plays
32.6
31.4
-
Run Yards
161.5
131.3
-
YPRP
5.0
4.2
Pass
-
Pass Comp
14.0
22.0
-
Pass Att
24.3
36.1
-
Comp %
57.6%
60.9%
-
Pass Yards
158.8
249.7
-
Sacks
2.7
2.5
-
Sack Yards
13.6
14.0
-
Sack %
10.0%
6.5%
-
Pass Plays
27.0
38.6
-
Net Pass Yards
145.2
235.7
-
YPPP
5.4
6.1
Total
-
Total Plays
59.6
70.0
-
Total Yards
306.7
367.0
-
YPPL
5.1
5.2
TO
-
Int
0.4
0.7
-
Int %
1.6%
1.9%
-
Fumbles
0.5
0.9
-
Turnovers
0.9
1.6
Rush
-
Run Plays
40.1
32.9
-
Run Yards
210.0
150.8
-
YPRP
5.2
4.6
Pass
-
Pass Comp
15.3
18.4
-
Pass Att
27.3
30.0
-
Comp %
56.1%
61.5%
-
Pass Yards
182.8
247.7
-
Sacks
1.1
2.7
-
Sack Yards
6.4
18.2
-
Sack %
3.9%
8.2%
-
Pass Plays
28.4
32.7
-
Net Pass Yards
176.3
229.5
-
YPPP
6.2
7.0
Total
-
Total Plays
68.6
65.6
-
Total Yards
386.3
380.2
-
YPPL
5.6
5.8
TO
-
Int
1.2
0.6
-
Int %
4.5%
1.9%
-
Fumbles
0.2
0.9
-
Turnovers
1.4
1.5
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/03/22 @ Kentucky |
13-37 |
+15.0
L
|
29/21 |
131/76 |
4.5/3.6 |
1/0 |
22/21 |
32/32 |
161/277 |
0/1 |
3/4 |
4.6/7.7 |
292/353 |
4.6/6.2 |
| 09/10/22 Robert Morris |
31-14 |
0.0
W
|
40/26 |
241/57 |
6.0/2.2 |
2/0 |
16/18 |
27/29 |
192/178 |
1/2 |
0/1 |
7.1/5.9 |
433/235 |
6.5/4.2 |
| 09/17/22 Cincinnati |
17-38 |
+22.5
W
|
30/33 |
91/162 |
3.0/4.9 |
0/2 |
9/26 |
21/35 |
103/318 |
1/1 |
4/3 |
4.1/8.4 |
194/480 |
3.5/6.8 |
| 09/24/22 @ Northwestern |
17-14 |
+7.5
W
|
40/30 |
246/109 |
6.2/3.6 |
0/2 |
7/26 |
19/44 |
46/256 |
0/0 |
3/0 |
2.1/5.8 |
292/365 |
4.7/4.9 |
| 10/01/22 @ Buffalo |
20-24 |
+2.5
L
|
37/33 |
241/94 |
6.5/2.8 |
0/1 |
14/19 |
26/35 |
118/188 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
4.4/5.4 |
359/282 |
5.6/4.1 |
| 10/08/22 Kent State |
27-24 |
+5.0
W
|
49/31 |
238/121 |
4.9/3.9 |
0/1 |
9/23 |
14/40 |
179/298 |
1/0 |
0/4 |
12.8/6.8 |
417/419 |
6.6/5.6 |
| 10/15/22 @ Bowling Green |
13-17 |
-7.0
L
|
30/37 |
121/198 |
4.0/5.4 |
1/1 |
9/16 |
17/29 |
68/130 |
0/1 |
4/4 |
3.2/3.9 |
189/328 |
3.7/4.7 |
| 10/22/22 Western Mich |
10-16 |
-6.5
L
|
21/42 |
124/193 |
5.9/4.6 |
1/0 |
21/16 |
38/33 |
181/112 |
0/0 |
7/2 |
4.0/3.2 |
305/305 |
4.6/4.0 |
| 10/29/22 @ Akron |
27-9 |
-8.0
W
|
32/21 |
103/87 |
3.2/4.1 |
0/2 |
13/30 |
23/49 |
170/260 |
0/1 |
2/4 |
6.8/4.9 |
273/347 |
4.8/4.7 |
| 11/08/22 Ohio |
21-37 |
+1.5
L
|
18/40 |
79/216 |
4.4/5.4 |
0/0 |
20/25 |
26/35 |
234/340 |
0/0 |
3/3 |
8.1/8.9 |
313/556 |
6.7/7.1 |
Straight Up: ,
Against the Spread:
* game log stats denoted as Off/Def
| 2022 Game Log |
RUSHING PLAYS |
PASSING PLAYS |
TOTAL |
| Opponent |
Score |
Spread |
Atts |
Yds |
Yprp |
Fum |
Comp |
Att |
Yds |
Int |
Sack |
Yppp |
Yds |
Yppl |
| 09/01/22 Eastern Illinois |
34-27 |
0.0
W
|
32/28 |
188/176 |
5.9/6.3 |
0/0 |
14/25 |
22/34 |
192/265 |
0/2 |
1/2 |
8.3/7.4 |
380/441 |
6.9/6.9 |
| 09/10/22 @ Tulsa |
35-38 |
+6.0
W
|
37/33 |
126/123 |
3.4/3.7 |
0/1 |
18/19 |
31/32 |
259/308 |
1/1 |
0/3 |
8.4/8.8 |
385/431 |
5.7/6.3 |
| 09/17/22 Vanderbilt |
28-38 |
-2.5
L
|
30/36 |
152/178 |
5.1/4.9 |
0/1 |
19/18 |
26/28 |
202/251 |
1/0 |
1/0 |
7.5/9.0 |
354/429 |
6.2/6.7 |
| 09/24/22 @ Kentucky |
23-31 |
+27.0
W
|
33/28 |
128/111 |
3.9/4.0 |
0/1 |
14/18 |
26/26 |
199/282 |
0/0 |
0/5 |
7.7/9.1 |
327/393 |
5.5/6.7 |
| 10/01/22 @ Ball St. |
38-44 |
-4.5
L
|
54/29 |
360/93 |
6.7/3.2 |
1/0 |
17/40 |
29/58 |
166/391 |
1/2 |
3/1 |
5.2/6.6 |
526/484 |
6.1/5.5 |
| 10/08/22 Toledo |
32-52 |
+5.5
L
|
39/32 |
151/177 |
3.9/5.5 |
0/0 |
28/15 |
49/21 |
255/170 |
4/0 |
2/2 |
5.0/7.4 |
406/347 |
4.5/6.3 |
| 10/15/22 @ Eastern Mich |
39-10 |
+3.0
W
|
46/22 |
310/78 |
6.7/3.5 |
0/1 |
12/11 |
16/23 |
110/148 |
0/1 |
2/5 |
6.1/5.3 |
420/226 |
6.6/4.5 |
| 10/22/22 @ Ohio |
17-24 |
-3.0
L
|
45/30 |
284/175 |
6.3/5.8 |
0/0 |
9/14 |
18/26 |
106/182 |
0/0 |
1/2 |
5.6/6.5 |
390/357 |
6.1/6.2 |
| 11/02/22 Central Mich |
22-35 |
-4.5
L
|
32/53 |
159/253 |
5.0/4.8 |
1/3 |
13/16 |
33/26 |
157/186 |
1/1 |
1/0 |
4.6/7.2 |
316/439 |
4.8/5.6 |
| 11/09/22 @ Western Mich |
24-21 |
0.0
W
|
45/33 |
220/169 |
4.9/5.1 |
0/1 |
8/15 |
18/30 |
133/147 |
3/0 |
0/6 |
7.4/4.1 |
353/316 |
5.6/4.6 |
Miami Ohio
@ 
Northern Ill