Miami Fla @

North Carolina

Sat, Oct 16
12:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 125
Odds: North Carolina -7.5, Total: 63

Game Analysis

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NORTH CAROLINA (-7.5)  35   Miami-Florida  22

Miami has allowed 33.8 points per game against FBS opponents this season, but the Hurricanes do have a good defense. The 5.9 yppl the Canes have allowed have been against good offensive teams that would combine to average 6.5 yppl against an average team. Miami’s facing another strong offense in this game, as the Tarheels have averaged 35.5 points per game and 7.0 yppl against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average offense. North Carolina should move the ball well on the ground, which is where the Canes’ defense is weakest and I project 501 yards at 6.2 yppl for the Heels in a game that will feature a lot of possessions.

Miami’s issue has been their offense, which has managed just 20.8 points and 5.1 yppl against FBS teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average attack. That unit is likely going to be worse without quarterback D’Eriq King. Miami scored 28 points and averaged 5.4 yppl last week in a 2-point home loss to Virginia with backup quarterback Tyler Van Dyke averaging just 5.5 yppl against a horrible Cavaliers’ pass defense. North Carolina is a bit worse than average defensively (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.5 yppl against an average team) but they’re more than good enough to contain a bad Miami offense that’s likely worse with Van Dyke at quarterback.

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Miami Fla
  • North Carolina
MIA
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 30.5 35.8
  • Run Yards 143.8 182.8
  • YPRP 4.7 5.1




Pass





  • Pass Comp 24.0 23.0
  • Pass Att 38.0 37.0
  • Comp % 63.2% 62.2%
  • Pass Yards 242.5 270.5
  • Sacks 3.3 2.0
  • Sack Yards 17.5 13.5
  • Sack % 7.9% 5.1%
  • Pass Plays 41.3 39.0
  • Net Pass Yards 225.0 257.0
  • YPPP 5.5 6.6

Total

  • Total Plays 71.8 74.8
  • Total Yards 368.8 439.8
  • YPPL 5.1 5.9

TO


  • Int 1.0 0.5
  • Int % 2.6% 1.4%
  • Fumbles 0.8 0.3
  • Turnovers 1.8 0.8
 
  • Points 30.4 27.0
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