(25) Memphis @

SMU

Sat, Oct 3
ESPN2
12:30 PM Pacific
Rotation: 125
Odds: SMU PK, Total: 74.5

Game Analysis

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Memphis (pick)  35   SMU  34

I like this SMU team and they’ve played up to my expectations so far this season but the Mustangs only rate at 7.2 points better than an average team and Memphis is still the superior team. My ratings actually favor Memphis by 3.3 points but SMU does apply to a very good 91-25-1 ATS home momentum situation. I’d prefer not to pick either side here, but I’ll lean slightly with my ratings over the situation that favors the Mustangs.

I think the better play is on the under. Both of these teams have a reputation of being very fast paced teams but that actually isn’t the case. Memphis was just a couple of snaps per game higher paced than average last season and SMU’s 2.45 plays per minute of possession is not that extreme (2.30 is average this season).

  • Team Stats
  • Game Log
  • Memphis
  • SMU
MEM
Offense
Defense

Rush

  • Run Plays 44.0 33.0
  • Run Yards 238.0 129.0
  • YPRP 5.4 4.7




Pass





  • Pass Comp 26.0 27.0
  • Pass Att 36.0 43.0
  • Comp % 72.2% 62.8%
  • Pass Yards 275.0 300.0
  • Sacks 0.0 3.0
  • Sack Yards 0.0 26.0
  • Sack % 0.0% 6.5%
  • Pass Plays 36.0 46.0
  • Net Pass Yards 275.0 274.0
  • YPPP 7.6 6.0

Total

  • Total Plays 80.0 79.0
  • Total Yards 513.0 429.0
  • YPPL 6.4 5.4

TO


  • Int 1.0 2.0
  • Int % 2.8% 4.7%
  • Fumbles 0.0 1.0
  • Turnovers 1.0 3.0
 
  • Points 37.0 24.0
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